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Nevezis-OPTIBET vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 53-108
7-26 16-32 11-23 19-27
Position#10
Record6-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Position#1
Record13-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game67.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Nevezis-OPTIBET v Zalgiris Kaunas
06 Feb 2021
NOP53
ZAL108
02 Feb 2021
NOP47
ZAL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBET winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H01/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
58-81
58
81
-23
H28/12
LKL
CBet
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-98
69
98
-29
A20/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
59-94
59
94
-35
A24/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H27/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
64-89
64
89
-25
H31/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
47-78
47
78
-31
H02/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
15-24
16-16
17-22
12-27
12-23
20-18
14-13
23-17
12-33
31-16
19-21
23-24
19-18
29-23
20-31
24-23
18-17
14-22
22-20
14-29
17-21
23-23
15-25
10-27
14-17
25-30
10-20
24-15
11-14
18-19
26-28
18-24
18-12
12-32
16-21
18-22
14-23
8-12
7-21
156.8Avg total
70.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.483.9160.3-7.632%
Season at home (10)76.082.2158.2-6.250%
Season away (9)76.885.9162.7-9.111%
Last 10 (10)70.086.8156.8-16.810%
Last 5 (5)63.687.0150.6-23.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.086.2160.2-12.220%
vs Similar (9)79.081.4160.4-2.444%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#18
W
102-75
102
75
+27
H08/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A13/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A15/01
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H22/01
Euroleague
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
94-59
94
59
+35
H24/01
LKL
Valencia
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A27/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A29/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A31/01
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
78-47
78
47
+31
A02/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
17-28
39-13
24-14
11-18
21-27
20-15
21-23
14-17
22-19
13-20
16-21
30-18
24-19
22-27
27-13
26-20
19-24
18-16
18-19
27-10
17-14
30-25
20-10
20-20
27-18
13-17
19-23
20-21
16-24
12-16
20-20
28-22
24-24
24-19
11-25
22-18
23-14
12-8
21-7
157.6Avg total
83.0Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.467.7155.1+19.787%
Season at home (7)86.364.9151.1+21.486%
Season away (8)88.470.1158.5+18.288%
Last 10 (10)83.074.6157.6+8.460%
Last 5 (5)81.271.0152.2+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.081.0152.0-10.00%
vs Similar (14)79.378.3157.6+1.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.671.5164.1+21.292%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
Nevezis-OPTIBETZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H01/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
24-50
24
50
-26
H28/12
LKL
CBet
#5
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A20/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A24/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H27/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H31/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H02/02
LKL
77.3Avg total
33.8Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)37.740.978.6-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (10)38.540.078.5-1.550%-
Last 30 away (9)36.841.978.7-5.122%-
Last 10 (10)33.843.577.3-9.720%-
Last 5 (5)31.640.872.4-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.842.379.1-5.530%-
vs Similar (9)38.739.378.0-0.744%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#18
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H08/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A13/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A15/01
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H22/01
Euroleague
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H24/01
LKL
Valencia
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A27/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A29/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A31/01
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A02/02
LKL
82.5Avg total
43.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.681.7+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.338.481.7+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)41.140.681.8+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.582.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.081.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.343.077.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (14)40.241.681.9-1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.036.682.6+9.485%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.815.7
49.4%
54.2%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.7
31.3%
36.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.412.3
75.0%
75.2%12.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.8
54.6%
54.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.59.0
40.0%
36.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws13.011.1
85.4%
75.2%11.1
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LLWLLLLLLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLLWWWWLLW
#10
League position
#1
-21.4
Net rating
+11.0
91.5
Offensive rating
115.6
112.9
Defensive rating
104.6
48.2%
Effective FG%
56.6%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
25.7%
Turnover %
17.2%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
31.3%
3-point %
40.0%
61.9%
Assist %
66.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.5 · 115.6Defence112.9 · 104.6Shooting48.2% · 56.6%3-point %31.3% · 40.0%Ball care25.7% · 17.2%Off. rebounds29.2% · 30.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Nevezis-OPTIBET   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/21HZalgiris Kaunas47-78
31/01/21HPieno Zvaigzdes64-89
27/01/21HNeptunas79-76
24/01/21AZalgiris Kaunas59-94
20/01/21ALietkabelis69-98
14/01/21HAlytaus Dzukija78-82
09/01/21ARytas91-96
03/01/21ACBet85-87
28/12/20HPieno Zvaigzdes58-81
01/12/20HJuventus70-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/21ANevezis-OPTIBET78-47
31/01/21AJuventus87-90
29/01/21ABaskonia68-81
27/01/21AValencia79-78
24/01/21HNevezis-OPTIBET94-59
22/01/21HOlympiacos81-79
18/01/21HPieno Zvaigzdes103-77
15/01/21AZenit Petersburg65-77
13/01/21ACSKA Moscow73-83
08/01/21HKhimki M.102-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%50%11%
Points / game76.476.076.8
Allowed / game83.982.285.9
Point differential-7.6-6.2-9.1
Avg total160.3158.2162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW87%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWLW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %87%86%88%
Points / game87.486.388.4
Allowed / game67.764.970.1
Point differential+19.7+21.4+18.2
Avg total155.1151.1158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%71%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1513287%87.467.7+19.7
2 Rytas1712571%88.681.1+7.5
3 Juventus1812667%86.985.9+1.0
4 Lietkabelis1711665%83.175.1+8.0
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes178947%78.980.4-1.4
6 Alytaus Dzukija135838%81.382.9-1.6
7 CBet2071335%86.591.3-4.9
8 Neptunas1861233%78.385.1-6.8
9 Nevezis-OPTIBET1961332%76.483.9-7.6
10 Siauliai1651131%81.992.4-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis-OPTIBET716111953
Zalgiris Kaunas26322327108
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