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Karaganda vs BC Almaty 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 75-98
18-26 12-19 20-23 25-30
Position#7
Record10-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#5
Record15-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game73.0
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Karaganda v BC Almaty 2
29 Mar 2026
KARA75
BC A98
27 Mar 2026
KARA79
BC A106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karaganda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Almaty 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Karaganda
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 68.1
83.2▲ 15.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 70.2
75.6▲ 5.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 52%
52%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.7
18.7▲ 0.0
🔥 Form · BC Almaty 2
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.9
96.4▲ 13.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 73.0
70.6▼ 2.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
58%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.1
19.0▲ 0.9
KaragandaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
58-95
58
95
-37
A16/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
H17/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H10/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A11/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
101-63
101
63
+38
H12/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
97-86
97
86
+11
A13/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
84-36
84
36
+48
H14/02
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A26/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
79-106
79
106
-27
H27/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A28/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
11-32
21-22
16-22
13-18
22-14
15-15
26-29
24-14
22-17
19-12
19-15
22-16
24-20
19-15
26-29
29-7
15-23
29-17
28-16
31-17
16-22
20-21
30-26
26-2
18-12
28-6
12-16
16-19
25-19
18-18
19-27
25-30
20-27
18-28
16-21
16-24
22-21
22-10
18-12
158.5Avg total
82.9Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.079.0159.0+1.043%
Season at home (11)84.278.2162.4+6.036%
Season away (12)76.279.7155.8-3.550%
Last 10 (10)82.975.6158.5+7.360%
Last 5 (5)83.275.6158.8+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)52.375.3127.6-23.10%
vs Similar (3)55.765.7121.3-10.00%
vs Weaker (12)87.967.9155.8+20.083%
This opponent (BC Almaty 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Almaty 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
92-60
92
60
+32
A07/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
104-57
104
57
+47
H08/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A09/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
70-45
70
45
+25
H02/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
103-99
103
99
+4
A03/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H04/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
105-78
105
78
+27
A05/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
92-64
92
64
+28
H26/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
106-79
106
79
+27
A27/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H28/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
29-16
18-9
20-11
34-15
30-14
27-18
13-10
13-14
19-10
12-14
13-7
29-4
20-9
11-9
10-23
24-23
25-30
28-27
26-19
18-19
18-19
28-12
21-13
21-14
38-17
30-17
16-30
35-17
21-16
20-13
16-18
30-25
27-20
28-18
21-16
25-15
22-18
22-15
25-21
156.7Avg total
90.8Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.973.0155.9+9.965%
Season at home (12)86.370.2156.6+16.175%
Season away (11)79.276.0155.2+3.255%
Last 10 (10)90.865.9156.7+24.9100%
Last 5 (5)96.470.6167.0+25.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.092.8153.8-31.80%
vs Similar (2)86.593.0179.5-6.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)88.567.2155.8+21.388%
This opponent (Karaganda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +8.4+8.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +8.0+8.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.3+1.3
KaragandaBC Almaty 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KaragandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
21-51
21
51
-30
A16/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H17/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A11/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H12/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A13/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
44-14
44
14
+30
H14/02
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A26/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H27/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A28/03
Higher League
78.0Avg total
40.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)38.439.878.2-1.446%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.537.778.2+2.854%-
Last 30 away (13)36.341.978.2-5.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.378.0+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.681.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)31.145.876.9-14.88%-
vs Similar (2)45.037.582.5+7.5100%-
vs Weaker (12)44.634.278.8+10.475%-
This opponent (BC Almaty 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Almaty 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A07/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
64-29
64
29
+35
H08/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A09/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
49-13
49
13
+36
H02/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A03/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H04/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
59-31
59
31
+28
A05/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H26/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A27/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H28/03
Higher League
84.2Avg total
50.3Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.636.983.5+9.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.134.183.2+15.179%-
Last 30 away (16)44.439.483.8+4.956%-
Last 10 (10)50.333.984.2+16.480%-
Last 5 (5)51.036.087.0+15.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.053.085.0-21.00%-
vs Similar (2)41.042.583.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)49.533.883.3+15.779%-
This opponent (Karaganda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karagandatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karaganda: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.024.0
61.5%
49.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.05.3
18.4%
28.5%16.0
🏀 Free throws17.714.3
81.1%
63.9%14.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Almaty 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Almaty 2: 93.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.428.8
57.1%
49.5%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.5
28.6%
28.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws26.016.5
63.5%
63.9%16.5
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karaganda
WLLWWWWWLL
BC Almaty 2
WWWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#5
-8.8
Net rating
+29.4
98.7
Offensive rating
115.7
107.5
Defensive rating
86.3
47.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
43.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
18.4%
3-point %
28.6%
63.6%
Assist %
51.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 115.7Defence107.5 · 86.3Shooting47.1% · 52.7%3-point %18.4% · 28.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 100%
■ Karaganda   ■ BC Almaty 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Karaganda wins
5
BC Almaty 2 wins
DateGameScore
27/03/26Karaganda v BC Almaty 279-106
07/04/23BC Almaty 2 v Karaganda81-67
16/11/22BC Almaty 2 v Karaganda80-65
21/10/22BC Almaty 2 v Karaganda93-76
17/12/20BC Almaty 2 v Karaganda79-64
25/11/20BC Almaty 2 v Karaganda51-85
Karagandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26ACHAMP1ON78-67
27/03/26HBC Almaty 279-106
26/03/26ACHAMP1ON78-83
14/02/26HPavlodar84-36
13/02/26AArlans97-86
12/02/26HAiRom101-63
11/02/26AArlans91-80
10/02/26HAiRom84-58
17/01/26HAktobe79-82 OT
16/01/26AAktobe58-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HPavlodar94-69
27/03/26AKaraganda106-79
26/03/26HPavlodar92-64
05/03/26AChelSU Kostanay105-78
04/03/26HTobol Kostanay 285-63
03/03/26AChelSU Kostanay103-99
02/03/26HTobol Kostanay 270-45
09/01/26AAiRom57-45
08/01/26HArlans104-57
07/01/26AAiRom92-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karaganda
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW43%
HomeLWWWL36%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%36%50%
Points / game80.084.276.2
Allowed / game79.078.279.7
Point differential+1.0+6.0-3.5
Avg total159.0162.4155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%36%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %9%18%0%
BC Almaty 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWWWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%75%55%
Points / game82.986.379.2
Allowed / game73.070.276.0
Point differential+9.9+16.1+3.2
Avg total155.9156.6155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%75%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan24240100%89.760.0+29.7
2 Shymkent2421388%95.268.1+27.2
3 Aktobe2420483%83.866.0+17.8
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2419579%85.960.0+25.9
5 Atyrau 22216673%77.767.9+9.9
6 BC Almaty 22315865%82.973.0+9.9
7 CHAMP1ON24131154%74.773.3+1.4
8 ChelSU Kostanay24131154%76.480.0-3.6
9 Karaganda23101343%80.079.0+1.0
10 Tigers-KazATU24101442%67.575.7-8.2
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
13 Tobol Kostanay 22442017%68.483.1-14.8
14 Pavlodar242228%56.189.5-33.4
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karaganda1812202575
BC Almaty 22619233098
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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