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Karhu Basket vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 80-85
18-12 17-21 14-22 31-30
Position#42
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game91.8
vs
Position#22
Record2-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game82.4
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6· IKH Areena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Jonava
#33
L
88-104
88
104
-16
76avg 69
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 69
A21/10
Korisliiga
Rostock
#5
L
65-93
65
93
-28
52avg 69
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
75-76
75
76
-1
65avg 69
H28/10
Korisliiga
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
75-66
75
66
+9
69avg 69
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bisons Loimaa
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
66avg 69
A05/11
Korisliiga
Jonava
#33
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
81avg 69
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
106-59
106
59
+47
100avg 69
H11/11
Korisliiga
Rostock
#5
L
92-98
92
98
-6
85avg 69
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Kobrat
#9
L
68-77
68
77
-9
49avg 69
A18/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
27-24
16-31
31-31
24-20
29-26
23-18
12-15
26-12
12-30
16-22
11-29
21-12
15-18
21-20
18-26
16-16
15-17
21-20
23-13
18-27
20-22
21-12
21-24
24-25
23-19
19-27
21-16
27-12
25-15
31-13
23-19
19-22
21-23
27-24
25-29
14-21
23-26
11-15
20-15
166.6Avg total
83.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.891.8174.6-9.020%
Season at home (2)90.0101.0191.0-11.00%
Season away (3)78.085.7163.7-7.733%
Last 10 (10)83.183.5166.6-0.430%
Last 5 (5)88.083.4171.4+4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)76.883.2160.0-6.525%
vs Similar (14)75.982.2158.1-6.429%
vs Weaker (11)89.878.4168.2+11.573%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
93-71
93
71
+22
100avg 70
H14/10
Division A
Rostock
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 70
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
L
60-62
60
62
-2
47avg 70
A22/10
Division A
Jonava
#33
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 70
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Karhu Basket
#42
L
66-75
66
75
-9
56avg 70
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#3
W
76-58
76
58
+18
71avg 70
H04/11
Division A
Rostock
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
70avg 70
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
90-71
90
71
+19
90avg 70
A12/11
Division A
Jonava
#33
L
84-95
84
95
-11
74avg 70
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 70
H18/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
29-13
18-17
20-21
24-27
22-18
15-20
17-11
12-14
17-14
17-18
14-16
21-13
22-22
18-22
26-23
16-16
17-15
20-21
13-23
26-14
18-17
17-20
15-7
25-25
13-22
19-27
16-12
23-22
25-16
21-10
21-23
19-24
20-24
19-19
26-28
14-12
20-20
15-17
28-18
152.5Avg total
78.4Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.682.4160.0-4.840%
Season at home (3)76.082.0158.0-6.033%
Season away (2)80.083.0163.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)78.474.1152.5+4.360%
Last 5 (5)80.075.4155.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.083.0153.0-13.033%
vs Similar (6)78.071.8149.8+6.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.366.3150.6+18.085%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
Karhu BasketAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#33
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A21/10
Korisliiga
Rostock
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H28/10
Korisliiga
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bisons Loimaa
#11
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A05/11
Korisliiga
Jonava
#33
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H11/11
Korisliiga
Rostock
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Kobrat
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A18/11
Korisliiga
81.8Avg total
41.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.679.8+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.337.476.7+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)41.241.782.9-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.581.8+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.485.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.237.573.8-1.225%-
vs Similar (14)38.840.379.1-1.550%-
vs Weaker (11)44.239.583.6+4.764%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H14/10
Division A
Rostock
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A22/10
Division A
Jonava
#33
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Karhu Basket
#42
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#3
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H04/11
Division A
Rostock
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A12/11
Division A
Jonava
#33
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H18/11
Division A
77.7Avg total
40.9Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.333.975.2+7.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.531.974.3+10.687%-
Last 30 away (15)40.235.976.1+4.360%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.877.7+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.279.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.346.384.7-8.033%-
vs Similar (6)38.235.273.3+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.532.274.8+10.385%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.320.1
45.4%
52.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.8
33.1%
33.8%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.3
71.1%
73.0%12.3
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.2
51.2%
52.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.7
31.8%
33.8%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.815.3
77.3%
73.0%15.3
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
LLWLLWLLWL
AEK Larnaca
WLWLWLWLWW
#42
League position
#22
-1.3
Net rating
+6.6
104.5
Offensive rating
104.7
105.7
Defensive rating
98.1
47.1%
Effective FG%
50.0%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.6%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.1%
3-point %
31.8%
57.9%
Assist %
56.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 104.7Defence105.7 · 98.1Shooting47.1% · 50.0%3-point %33.1% · 31.8%Ball care16.5% · 17.6%Off. rebounds35.1% · 27.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Karhu Basket wins
0
AEK Larnaca wins
DateGameScore
01/11/23AEK Larnaca v Karhu Basket66-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23AKobrat68-77
15/11/23HRostock92-98
11/11/23HLahti Basketball106-59
08/11/23AJonava94-98 OT
05/11/23ABisons Loimaa80-85
01/11/23AAEK Larnaca75-66
28/10/23HHelsinki Seagulls75-76
25/10/23ARostock65-93
21/10/23AKouvot Kouvola88-79
18/10/23HJonava88-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HApollon77-67
15/11/23HJonava84-95
12/11/23AETHA Engomi90-71
08/11/23ARostock73-86
04/11/23HAnorthosis76-58
01/11/23HKarhu Basket66-75
25/10/23AJonava87-80
22/10/23AApoel BC60-62
18/10/23HRostock78-76
14/10/23HAchilleas K.93-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game82.890.078.0
Allowed / game91.8101.085.7
Point differential-9.0-11.0-7.7
Avg total174.6191.0163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game77.676.080.0
Allowed / game82.482.083.0
Point differential-4.8-6.0-3.0
Avg total160.0158.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz550100%91.068.4+22.6
2 Bilbao550100%85.468.0+17.4
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia550100%84.873.2+11.6
5 Balkan330100%84.775.7+9.0
6 Manisa87188%82.074.1+7.9
7 Bahcesehir Kol.65183%91.277.3+13.8
8 Nymburk65183%91.278.7+12.5
9 Varese65183%97.288.2+9.0
10 Basket Zaragoza65183%84.377.0+7.3
11 Leiden54180%61.454.6+6.8
12 Gottingen54180%91.485.0+6.4
13 Rostock86275%87.277.4+9.9
14 Gravelines-Dunkerque32167%75.357.3+18.0
15 Jonava64267%90.384.0+6.3
16 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
17 FC Porto85362%83.979.0+4.9
18 CSM Oradea53260%88.882.6+6.2
19 Caledonia Gladiators53260%74.479.4-5.0
20 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
21 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
22 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%73.875.2-1.5
23 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
24 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
25 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
26 Sabah Baku94544%77.783.6-5.9
27 Anwil Wloclawek52340%77.067.6+9.4
28 Levice52340%73.277.6-4.4
29 AEK Larnaca52340%77.682.4-4.8
30 Spojnia Stargard52340%77.083.6-6.6
31 Trepca52340%66.676.6-10.0
32 Peja52340%81.693.8-12.2
33 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
34 Sporting CP31233%85.088.7-3.7
35 Keravnos72529%80.982.4-1.6
36 Alba Fehervar41325%85.589.5-4.0
37 Brindisi41325%77.881.8-4.0
38 Bakken Bears51420%83.286.0-2.8
39 Den Bosch51420%82.686.4-3.8
40 Karhu Basket51420%82.891.8-9.0
41 Norrkoping51420%67.880.2-12.4
42 TSU61517%78.786.5-7.8
43 Mornar Bar61517%71.885.3-13.5
44 Kataja71614%76.385.3-9.0
45 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
46 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu5050%61.683.4-21.8
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karhu Basket1817143180
AEK Larnaca1221223085
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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