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Karpos vs Cibona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 76-70
15-17 18-18 21-17 22-18
Position#11
Record5-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game79.1
Karpos 🏆
vs
Cibona
Position#7
Record11-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game79.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 18
Domestic2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karpos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cibona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarposLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H26/11
ABA League
Peja
#2
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A29/11
BIBL
Zadar
#12
L
74-93
74
93
-19
A02/12
ABA League
Trepca
#9
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H07/12
BIBL
Mega Bemax
#6
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H10/12
ABA League
Peja
#2
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H14/12
BIBL
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A24/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H30/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A07/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
20-22
21-20
23-27
12-24
21-26
10-26
21-14
18-24
19-19
20-23
17-27
16-15
18-21
34-15
17-18
25-12
13-25
17-21
20-14
21-19
24-22
14-19
23-15
25-16
15-10
24-13
19-17
16-23
18-27
13-16
24-13
24-11
13-18
23-16
15-18
17-21
14-13
16-26
25-16
152.4Avg total
77.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.179.1153.2-4.929%
Season at home (8)79.874.8154.5+5.062%
Season away (9)69.182.9152.0-13.80%
Last 10 (10)77.075.4152.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)76.669.8146.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.682.3155.9-8.736%
vs Similar (10)75.277.2152.4-2.020%
vs Weaker (6)73.775.5149.2-1.850%
This opponent (Cibona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CibonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#12
W
98-80
98
80
+18
A19/12
Premijer liga
Avellino
#10
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A21/12
Champions League
GKK Sibenik
#1
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H23/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#8
L
57-92
57
92
-35
A27/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H30/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#42
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A03/01
Champions League
Split
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A05/01
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#13
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H08/01
ABA League
Zagreb
#8
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A10/01
Premijer liga
Juventus
#17
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H11/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
41-24
18-13
17-24
17-25
12-16
21-23
7-11
17-26
22-11
27-20
28-26
15-24
14-16
15-26
13-26
17-16
19-22
16-28
25-16
13-23
29-21
24-13
26-24
27-24
18-15
14-24
16-19
21-14
22-27
26-17
18-21
25-27
25-13
20-19
20-11
21-20
14-22
19-18
27-12
160.4Avg total
80.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.179.4161.5+2.765%
Season at home (9)85.376.3161.7+9.078%
Season away (8)78.582.9161.4-4.450%
Last 10 (10)80.879.6160.4+1.260%
Last 5 (5)85.076.8161.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.088.7166.7-10.718%
vs Similar (9)79.279.3158.6-0.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.675.4166.0+15.2100%
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
KarposCibona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarposLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H26/11
ABA League
Peja
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A29/11
BIBL
Zadar
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A02/12
ABA League
Trepca
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H07/12
BIBL
Mega Bemax
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/12
ABA League
Peja
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/12
BIBL
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A24/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H30/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A07/01
ABA League
75.4Avg total
37.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.977.2-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.737.777.4+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)34.742.276.9-7.513%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.075.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.073.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.941.279.1-3.336%-
vs Similar (10)33.939.072.9-5.130%-
vs Weaker (6)41.238.579.7+2.750%-
This opponent (Cibona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CibonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#12
W
63-43
63
43
+20
A19/12
Premijer liga
Avellino
#10
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A21/12
Champions League
GKK Sibenik
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H23/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#8
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A27/12
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H30/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#42
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A03/01
Champions League
Split
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A05/01
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#13
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/01
ABA League
Zagreb
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A10/01
Premijer liga
Juventus
#17
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/01
Champions League
81.6Avg total
41.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.482.8+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.236.980.1+6.381%-
Last 30 away (14)41.544.485.9-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.581.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.284.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.244.181.3-6.927%-
vs Similar (9)42.138.480.6+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)48.438.086.4+10.490%-
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karpostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karpos: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.616.6
52.5%
51.9%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.8
34.5%
34.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.214.6
72.3%
73.3%14.6
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cibonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cibona: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.6
55.0%
51.9%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.57.0
34.1%
34.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.412.0
73.2%
73.3%12.0
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karpos
LWLWWWWLLW
Cibona
WWWLWLLWLW
#11
League position
#7
+0.1
Net rating
-2.3
100.8
Offensive rating
103.7
100.7
Defensive rating
105.9
52.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
18.2%
Turnover %
20.7%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.5%
3-point %
34.1%
65.4%
Assist %
67.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 103.7Defence100.7 · 105.9Shooting52.2% · 53.7%3-point %34.5% · 34.1%Ball care18.2% · 20.7%Off. rebounds21.4% · 30.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Karpos   ■ Cibona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karpos wins
1
Cibona wins
DateGameScore
15/10/16Cibona v Karpos102-79
Karposlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/17APartizan72-76
30/12/16HMornar Bar75-63
24/12/16AIgokea71-79
18/12/16HKK Krka Novo mesto83-56
14/12/16HPeja82-75
10/12/16HMega Bemax75-72
07/12/16HTrepca85-69
02/12/16AZadar74-93
29/11/16APeja64-90
26/11/16HCedevita89-81
Cibonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/17HJuventus81-72
10/01/17AZagreb90-70
08/01/17HMZT Skopje87-79
05/01/17ASplit75-82
03/01/17AMornar Bar92-81
30/12/16HPartizan77-82
27/12/16AMornar Bar57-92
23/12/16HGKK Sibenik94-83
21/12/16AAvellino57-75
19/12/16AAlkar98-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karpos
ABA League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL29%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%62%0%
Points / game74.179.869.1
Allowed / game79.174.882.9
Point differential-4.9+5.0-13.8
Avg total153.2154.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Cibona
ABA League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW65%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%78%50%
Points / game82.185.378.5
Allowed / game79.476.382.9
Point differential+2.7+9.0-4.4
Avg total161.5161.7161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda17170100%87.467.6+19.8
2 Partizan1714382%80.273.8+6.4
3 Buducnost1813572%81.875.9+5.9
4 Cedevita1712571%90.280.5+9.7
5 Cibona1711665%82.179.4+2.7
6 Igokea189950%74.477.1-2.6
7 Petrol Olimpija1771041%79.581.6-2.1
8 Mornar Bar1761135%78.177.4+0.6
9 FMP Beograd1761135%75.278.3-3.1
10 Zadar1861233%78.089.3-11.3
11 Mega Bemax1751229%79.683.8-4.2
12 Karpos1751229%74.179.1-4.9
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1751229%70.980.1-9.2
14 MZT Skopje1851328%77.384.2-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karpos1518212276
Cibona1718171870
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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