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Avellino vs Cibona Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 75-57
25-17 16-12 23-21 11-7
Position#10
Record6-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#37
Record3-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game86.6
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 10
European cup2016
Meetings · Avellino v Cibona
21 Dec 2016
AVE75
CIB57
15 Jan 2009
AVE79
CIB75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cibona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#42
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A15/11
Champions League
Sassari
#5
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A20/11
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H23/11
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H27/11
Lega A
Juventus
#17
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A29/11
Champions League
Venezia
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H04/12
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H07/12
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A12/12
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A14/12
Champions League
Cremona
#16
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A18/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
16-17
17-13
17-16
24-16
11-25
18-14
22-15
17-27
16-11
21-17
21-21
20-15
20-15
16-19
20-24
21-24
18-19
19-22
27-10
14-21
21-13
14-23
29-23
21-15
16-18
22-10
26-18
17-28
20-10
20-9
17-28
12-15
8-21
17-14
20-13
16-21
19-18
26-16
25-18
148.0Avg total
76.7Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.771.2147.9+5.467%
Season at home (4)76.070.8146.8+5.250%
Season away (5)77.271.6148.8+5.680%
Last 10 (10)76.771.3148.0+5.460%
Last 5 (5)76.070.4146.4+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.583.0156.5-9.50%
vs Similar (15)78.175.6153.7+2.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.272.9153.2+7.383%
This opponent (Cibona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CibonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#10
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H25/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#12
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H27/11
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A30/11
Champions League
Mega Bemax
#6
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A04/12
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
84-106
84
106
-22
A07/12
Champions League
Cedevita
#4
L
71-90
71
90
-19
A09/12
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H11/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#40
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H13/12
Champions League
Igokea
#5
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H18/12
ABA League
Alkar
#12
W
98-80
98
80
+18
A19/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
28-22
18-18
28-25
24-17
18-6
20-19
20-31
17-25
22-21
18-12
13-24
20-16
18-20
31-17
13-18
21-21
17-27
19-36
27-22
23-19
15-27
12-20
21-24
23-18
25-13
20-19
20-15
22-23
26-16
23-14
16-24
23-17
23-11
21-11
17-22
22-19
41-24
18-13
17-24
162.8Avg total
84.0Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.686.6167.1-6.033%
Season at home (5)82.081.2163.2+0.860%
Season away (4)78.893.2172.0-14.50%
Last 10 (10)84.078.8162.8+5.270%
Last 5 (5)85.674.6160.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.890.8167.6-14.010%
vs Similar (8)83.577.6161.1+5.962%
vs Weaker (12)90.475.8166.2+14.792%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -3.7-3.7
AvellinoCibona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#42
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A15/11
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A20/11
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/11
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H27/11
Lega A
Juventus
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A29/11
Champions League
Venezia
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/12
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/12
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A12/12
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A14/12
Champions League
Cremona
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A18/12
Lega A
72.3Avg total
35.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.137.474.5-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.636.575.1+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)35.638.373.9-2.720%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.072.3-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)32.836.068.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.541.074.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (15)35.837.373.1-1.527%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.136.775.8+2.458%-
This opponent (Cibona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CibonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#12
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H27/11
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A30/11
Champions League
Mega Bemax
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A04/12
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A07/12
Champions League
Cedevita
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A09/12
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H11/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#40
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H13/12
Champions League
Igokea
#5
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H18/12
ABA League
Alkar
#12
W
63-43
63
43
+20
A19/12
Premijer liga
82.8Avg total
44.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.684.1+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.636.681.2+8.088%-
Last 30 away (14)42.245.287.4-3.036%-
Last 10 (10)44.838.082.8+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)48.637.486.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.846.183.9-8.320%-
vs Similar (8)45.138.183.2+7.088%-
vs Weaker (12)47.237.884.9+9.483%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.6
52.5%
52.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.7
35.5%
34.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.413.1
67.5%
73.8%13.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cibonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cibona: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.123.9
58.2%
52.6%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.47.2
37.1%
34.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.114.3
74.9%
73.8%14.3
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WLLWLWWLWW
Cibona
WWWWLLWLWW
#10
League position
#37
+6.7
Net rating
+9.5
108.0
Offensive rating
110.4
101.2
Defensive rating
100.9
52.8%
Effective FG%
57.4%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
21.3%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.5%
3-point %
37.1%
61.1%
Assist %
69.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 110.4Defence101.2 · 100.9Shooting52.8% · 57.4%3-point %35.5% · 37.1%Ball care17.7% · 21.3%Off. rebounds31.2% · 33.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Avellino   ■ Cibona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Avellino wins
1
Cibona wins
DateGameScore
01/11/16Cibona v Avellino83-84
15/01/09Avellino v Cibona79-75
26/11/08Cibona v Avellino82-79 OT
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16ACremona86-73
14/12/16AStrasbourg57-63
12/12/16ACantu74-75
07/12/16HMega Bemax85-61
04/12/16HVenezia78-80
29/11/16AJuventus85-75
27/11/16HBrindisi76-73
23/11/16HTenerife75-76
20/11/16ASassari75-70
15/11/16AMornar Bar76-67
Cibonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/16AAlkar98-80
18/12/16HIgokea84-61
13/12/16HMega Bemax87-77
11/12/16HKK Krka Novo mesto88-65
09/12/16ACedevita71-90
07/12/16ATenerife84-106
04/12/16AMega Bemax82-71
30/11/16AOostende70-82
27/11/16HZadar82-73
25/11/16HZabok94-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Champions League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%50%80%
Points / game76.776.077.2
Allowed / game71.270.871.6
Point differential+5.4+5.2+5.6
Avg total147.9146.8148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cibona
Champions League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game80.682.078.8
Allowed / game86.681.293.2
Point differential-6.0+0.8-14.5
Avg total167.1163.2172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco109190%75.064.7+10.3
2 Tenerife108280%83.266.8+16.4
3 Neptunas108280%75.467.0+8.4
4 Banvit108280%80.672.7+7.9
5 Besiktas108280%81.073.8+7.2
6 Lyon-Villeurbanne108280%77.670.7+6.9
7 Aris107370%77.767.4+10.3
8 Nymburk107370%81.572.7+8.8
9 Ludwigsburg107370%83.074.4+8.6
10 Le Mans107370%73.965.9+8.0
11 Venezia107370%73.870.3+3.5
12 Strasbourg96367%77.269.4+7.8
13 Avellino96367%76.771.2+5.4
14 Juventus128467%76.977.4-0.5
15 AEK Athens106460%80.771.1+9.6
16 Karsiyaka106460%74.769.0+5.7
17 Oldenburg106460%73.170.5+2.6
18 Partizan106460%74.674.8-0.2
19 Kataja127558%79.576.4+3.1
20 CSM Oradea148657%68.469.6-1.2
21 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
22 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
23 Ventspils105550%77.473.5+3.9
24 PAOK105550%73.071.1+1.9
25 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
26 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
27 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
28 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
29 Oostende94544%71.270.9+0.3
30 Usak Sportif125742%76.276.9-0.8
31 Ironi Nahariya125742%71.174.3-3.2
32 Saratov104640%85.785.0+0.7
33 Sassari104640%77.277.0+0.2
34 Maccabi Rishon104640%70.872.9-2.1
35 Zielona Gora104640%73.275.7-2.5
36 Frankfurt104640%65.970.6-4.7
37 Spirou Charleroi104640%73.379.0-5.7
38 Cibona93633%80.686.6-6.0
39 Mega Bemax103730%70.576.5-6.0
40 HydroTruck Radom103730%69.076.4-7.4
41 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
42 Mornar Bar123925%69.179.5-10.4
43 Varese123925%69.380.2-10.9
44 Bakken Bears123925%71.285.9-14.7
45 Helios Domzale101910%58.766.9-8.2
46 Khimik101910%64.576.9-12.4
47 Szolnoki Olaj101910%68.986.1-17.2
48 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
49 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
50 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
51 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino2516231175
Cibona171221757
← all games of the day
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