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Kaspiy Aktau vs Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-80
25-18 19-15 25-22 15-25
Position#6
Record12-15
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#4
Record16-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game71.8
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - Quarter-finals· Sports hall Astana Academy
Other2024-25Neutral venue
Meetings · Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty
12 May 2026
KASP81
ALMA70
11 May 2026
KASP88
ALMA73
30 Jan 2026
KASP95
ALMA75
29 Jan 2026
KASP91
ALMA78
26 Oct 2025
KASP72
ALMA78
25 Oct 2025
KASP71
ALMA80
11 Apr 2025
KASP84
ALMA80
06 Jan 2025
KASP91
ALMA68
05 Jan 2025
KASP72
ALMA74
07 Nov 2023
KASP84
ALMA82
06 Nov 2023
KASP75
ALMA86
27 Mar 2021
KASP87
ALMA52
26 Mar 2021
KASP89
ALMA85
31 Oct 2020
KASP65
ALMA71
30 Oct 2020
KASP62
ALMA68
18 Mar 2019
KASP94
ALMA89
17 Mar 2019
KASP84
ALMA94
18 Nov 2018
KASP56
ALMA78
17 Nov 2018
KASP72
ALMA80
17 Nov 2017
KASP88
ALMA64
21 Feb 2016
KASP81
ALMA70
20 Feb 2016
KASP78
ALMA70
02 Dec 2014
KASP73
ALMA77
01 Dec 2014
KASP49
ALMA63
06 Nov 2014
KASP66
ALMA89
27 Nov 2013
KASP96
ALMA72
26 Nov 2013
KASP108
ALMA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kaspiy Aktau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Almaty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktau
Date
Competition
Almaty
#4
W
91-68
91
68
+23
105avg 73
H06/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
63-75
63
75
-12
58avg 73
H13/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
55-71
55
71
-16
46avg 73
H14/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
81-94
81
94
-13
83avg 73
H03/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
61-74
61
74
-13
59avg 73
H04/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
82-79 OT
82
79
+3
81avg 73
H08/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
96-75
96
75
+21
99avg 73
H09/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
71-62
71
62
+9
73avg 73
A14/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
85-60
85
60
+25
96avg 73
A15/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
59avg 73
A07/04
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
29-16
20-18
20-17
20-23
15-12
15-18
13-22
12-19
15-20
13-19
15-13
18-20
17-33
26-21
20-20
16-22
13-12
17-21
15-19
22-25
26-11
12-21
14-17
29-21
16-16
29-17
22-21
22-15
14-17
21-16
14-14
32-18
14-18
20-15
19-9
18-30
15-19
22-18
19-22
150.6Avg total
75.9Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.875.4149.1-1.644%
Season at home (14)77.075.1152.1+1.950%
Season away (13)70.375.7146.0-5.438%
Last 10 (10)75.974.7150.6+1.250%
Last 5 (5)81.673.0154.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.581.3150.7-11.818%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.275.7148.8-2.538%
vs Weaker (6)82.073.8155.8+8.283%
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
98-101
98
101
-3
88avg 76
H01/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
88-72
88
72
+16
79avg 76
H02/03
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H08/03
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H09/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
54avg 76
A09/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
62avg 76
A10/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
70avg 76
H10/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
69avg 76
A24/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A25/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
89-74
89
74
+15
80avg 76
H07/04
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
21-35
31-21
22-22
24-22
28-8
22-20
14-22
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
19-23
15-24
25-15
11-26
16-19
21-23
14-31
24-11
25-14
18-17
21-19
13-28
17-26
19-20
30-25
15-21
–
–
–
–
30-18
19-15
18-22
22-19
122.7Avg total
61.8Scored
60.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.971.8146.7+3.159%
Season at home (15)77.167.1144.2+10.180%
Season away (12)72.277.7149.8-5.533%
Last 10 (10)61.860.9122.7+0.940%
Last 5 (5)64.469.6134.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.687.2161.8-12.59%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.478.8161.2+3.669%
vs Weaker (6)67.249.3116.5+17.8100%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.0-4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.0-4.0
Kaspiy AktauAlmaty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#4
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H06/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H13/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H14/01
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H03/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H04/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H08/03
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H09/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A14/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A15/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A07/04
National League
76.9Avg total
38.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.338.774.0-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.137.174.2+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)33.540.373.8-6.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.538.476.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.079.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.940.672.5-8.79%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.739.476.1-2.754%-
vs Weaker (6)38.733.572.2+5.267%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H01/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H02/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A09/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A10/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H10/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A24/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H07/04
National League
83.3Avg total
42.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)42.340.482.8+1.959%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.838.683.4+6.271%-
Last 30 away (13)39.742.582.2-2.846%-
Last 10 (7)42.341.083.3+1.343%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.879.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.146.289.3-3.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.437.478.8+4.069%-
vs Weaker (4)43.536.079.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kaspiy Aktau wins
6
Almaty wins
DateGameScore
07/04/25Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau89-74
06/01/25Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty91-68
05/01/25Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty72-74
27/10/24Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau70-68
26/10/24Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau76-58
12/01/24Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau91-79
11/01/24Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau81-84
07/11/23Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty84-82
06/11/23Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty75-86
27/03/21Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty87-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/25AAlmaty74-89
15/03/25AAtyrau85-60
14/03/25AAtyrau71-62
09/03/25HPavlodar96-75
08/03/25HPavlodar82-79 OT
04/03/25HIrbis Almaty61-74
03/03/25HIrbis Almaty81-94
14/01/25HTobol Kostanay55-71
13/01/25HTobol Kostanay63-75
06/01/25HAlmaty91-68
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/25HKaspiy Aktau89-74
25/03/25ATobol Kostanay0-20
24/03/25ATobol Kostanay81-92
10/03/25HIrbis Almaty77-78
10/03/25AIrbis Almaty75-84
09/03/25AIrbis Almaty70-88
09/03/25HAktobe20-0
08/03/25HAktobe20-0
02/03/25HTobol Kostanay88-72
01/03/25HTobol Kostanay98-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kaspiy Aktau
National League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL44%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game73.877.070.3
Allowed / game75.475.175.7
Point differential-1.6+1.9-5.4
Avg total149.1152.1146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Almaty
National League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW59%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %59%80%33%
Points / game74.977.172.2
Allowed / game71.867.177.7
Point differential+3.1+10.1-5.5
Avg total146.7144.2149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay2823582%86.074.9+11.1
2 Irbis Almaty2419579%81.170.9+10.2
3 Almaty27161159%74.971.8+3.1
4 Atyrau26141254%79.976.3+3.5
5 Kaspiy Aktau27121544%73.875.4-1.6
6 Astana 226101638%74.780.3-5.6
7 Aktobe1631319%67.575.6-8.1
8 Pavlodar2842414%71.886.6-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kaspiy Aktau2519251584
Almaty1815222580
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