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Tobol Kostanay vs Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 20-0
Position#2
Record20-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#4
Record15-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game73.8
KazakhstanNational League· SEC Kostanay
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Almaty
28 Feb 2026
TOBO79
ALMA73
27 Feb 2026
TOBO72
ALMA84
28 Nov 2025
TOBO62
ALMA103
27 Nov 2025
TOBO63
ALMA105
19 May 2025
TOBO94
ALMA90
11 May 2025
TOBO102
ALMA90
10 May 2025
TOBO93
ALMA98
25 Mar 2025
TOBO20
ALMA0
24 Mar 2025
TOBO92
ALMA81
31 Mar 2024
TOBO112
ALMA85
30 Mar 2024
TOBO121
ALMA89
20 Jan 2024
TOBO109
ALMA102
19 Jan 2024
TOBO108
ALMA80
24 Jan 2021
TOBO113
ALMA72
23 Jan 2021
TOBO107
ALMA75
10 Feb 2019
TOBO83
ALMA91
09 Feb 2019
TOBO109
ALMA101
15 Apr 2017
TOBO100
ALMA89
05 Apr 2017
TOBO93
ALMA84
19 Feb 2017
TOBO105
ALMA69
25 Jan 2017
TOBO97
ALMA81
25 Dec 2016
TOBO97
ALMA87
11 Dec 2016
TOBO93
ALMA64
28 Oct 2016
TOBO70
ALMA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Almaty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
71-55
71
55
+16
73avg 90
A14/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
114-70
114
70
+44
123avg 90
H24/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
112-73
112
73
+39
121avg 90
H25/01
National League
Almaty
#4
W
101-98
101
98
+3
97avg 90
A01/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
68avg 90
A02/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
96avg 90
A08/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
79-108
79
108
-29
71avg 90
A09/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
83-69
83
69
+14
87avg 90
H16/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
84-85
84
85
-1
91avg 90
H17/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
92-81
92
81
+11
95avg 90
H24/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
20-15
19-13
13-15
32-18
21-15
35-18
26-19
23-16
40-21
31-16
18-20
23-24
35-21
21-31
22-22
22-24
8-28
20-22
22-14
24-15
19-21
17-21
24-18
15-28
22-29
26-30
16-21
21-20
14-18
20-11
28-20
26-31
15-15
30-22
13-17
26-17
20-19
25-30
21-15
169.4Avg total
89.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)87.277.2164.4+10.080%
Season at home (13)89.877.4167.2+12.577%
Season away (12)84.376.9161.2+7.483%
Last 10 (10)89.280.2169.4+9.070%
Last 5 (5)84.483.6168.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)85.085.0170.0+0.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.577.2164.7+10.383%
This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
W
105-96
105
96
+9
107avg 76
H18/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
81-68
81
68
+13
77avg 76
H19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
98-101
98
101
-3
88avg 76
H01/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
88-72
88
72
+16
79avg 76
H02/03
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H08/03
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H09/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
54avg 76
A09/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
62avg 76
A10/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
70avg 76
H10/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
69avg 76
A24/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
23-21
25-28
32-21
16-17
16-22
26-13
23-16
24-23
21-35
31-21
22-22
24-22
28-8
22-20
14-22
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
19-23
15-24
25-15
11-26
16-19
21-23
14-31
24-11
25-14
18-17
21-19
13-28
17-26
19-20
30-25
15-21
139.4Avg total
71.5Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.473.8151.1+3.660%
Season at home (14)76.366.6142.9+9.779%
Season away (11)78.782.9161.6-4.236%
Last 10 (10)71.567.9139.4+3.650%
Last 5 (5)64.668.4133.0-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.994.8177.8-11.98%
vs Similar (12)81.879.2161.0+2.767%
vs Weaker (6)67.249.3116.5+17.8100%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
Tobol KostanayAlmaty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A14/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H24/01
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
63-37
63
37
+26
H25/01
National League
Almaty
#4
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A01/03
National League
Almaty
#4
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A02/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A08/03
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A09/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H16/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H17/03
National League
Almaty
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H24/03
National League
85.2Avg total
44.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.240.484.6+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.339.985.1+5.467%-
Last 30 away (15)43.141.084.1+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.785.2+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.683.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)41.443.785.1-2.314%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.039.484.5+5.674%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H18/01
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H19/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H01/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H02/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A09/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A10/03
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H10/03
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A24/03
National League
83.4Avg total
40.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.240.983.1+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.539.083.5+5.569%-
Last 30 away (15)40.242.682.8-2.447%-
Last 10 (8)40.942.583.4-1.638%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.279.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)43.245.888.9-2.633%-
vs Similar (12)40.837.878.5+3.067%-
vs Weaker (4)43.536.079.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Tobol Kostanay wins
2
Almaty wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/25HAlmaty92-81
17/03/25HIrbis Almaty84-85
16/03/25HIrbis Almaty83-69
09/03/25AAtyrau79-108
08/03/25AAtyrau84-75
02/03/25AAlmaty72-88
01/03/25AAlmaty101-98
25/01/25HAstana 2112-73
24/01/25HAstana 2114-70
14/01/25AKaspiy Aktau71-55
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/25ATobol Kostanay81-92
10/03/25HIrbis Almaty77-78
10/03/25AIrbis Almaty75-84
09/03/25AIrbis Almaty70-88
09/03/25HAktobe20-0
08/03/25HAktobe20-0
02/03/25HTobol Kostanay88-72
01/03/25HTobol Kostanay98-101
19/01/25HAtyrau81-68
18/01/25HAtyrau105-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay
National League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW80%
HomeWWWLW77%
AwayWWLWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %80%77%83%
Points / game87.289.884.3
Allowed / game77.277.476.9
Point differential+10.0+12.5+7.4
Avg total164.4167.2161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%54%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)60% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Almaty
National League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL60%
HomeLWWWL79%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %60%79%36%
Points / game77.476.378.7
Allowed / game73.866.682.9
Point differential+3.6+9.7-4.2
Avg total151.1142.9161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%64%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay2520580%87.277.2+10.0
2 Irbis Almaty2419579%81.170.9+10.2
3 Almaty25151060%77.473.8+3.6
4 Atyrau26141254%79.976.3+3.5
5 Kaspiy Aktau26121446%73.874.8-1.1
6 Astana 226101638%74.780.3-5.6
7 Aktobe1631319%67.575.6-8.1
8 Pavlodar2642215%70.885.2-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

No period scores for this game.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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