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Kaspiy Aktau vs Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 91-78
27-15 25-23 18-23 21-17
Position#2
Record7-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#3
Record11-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game78.3
KazakhstanNational League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty
12 May 2026
KASP81
ALMA70
11 May 2026
KASP88
ALMA73
30 Jan 2026
KASP95
ALMA75
29 Jan 2026
KASP91
ALMA78
26 Oct 2025
KASP72
ALMA78
25 Oct 2025
KASP71
ALMA80
11 Apr 2025
KASP84
ALMA80
06 Jan 2025
KASP91
ALMA68
05 Jan 2025
KASP72
ALMA74
07 Nov 2023
KASP84
ALMA82
06 Nov 2023
KASP75
ALMA86
27 Mar 2021
KASP87
ALMA52
26 Mar 2021
KASP89
ALMA85
31 Oct 2020
KASP65
ALMA71
30 Oct 2020
KASP62
ALMA68
18 Mar 2019
KASP94
ALMA89
17 Mar 2019
KASP84
ALMA94
18 Nov 2018
KASP56
ALMA78
17 Nov 2018
KASP72
ALMA80
17 Nov 2017
KASP88
ALMA64
21 Feb 2016
KASP81
ALMA70
20 Feb 2016
KASP78
ALMA70
02 Dec 2014
KASP73
ALMA77
01 Dec 2014
KASP49
ALMA63
06 Nov 2014
KASP66
ALMA89
27 Nov 2013
KASP96
ALMA72
26 Nov 2013
KASP108
ALMA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kaspiy Aktau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Almaty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktau
Date
Competition
Almaty
#3
W
70-67
70
67
+3
no box
A22/11
National League
Almaty
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
53avg 78
A23/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
71-97
71
97
-26
62avg 78
H02/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
no box
H03/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
92-68
92
68
+24
91avg 78
A07/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
78-64
78
64
+14
74avg 78
A08/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
73avg 78
H19/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
105-62
105
62
+43
114avg 78
H20/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
101-91
101
91
+10
105avg 78
H11/01
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
74avg 78
H12/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
17-21
16-19
20-12
21-21
10-20
18-16
20-18
20-21
16-26
20-27
15-23
18-14
18-17
11-28
16-16
20-25
28-19
22-16
22-8
19-19
22-20
26-11
11-14
23-23
23-12
12-24
17-22
29-12
21-17
25-17
30-16
29-18
29-21
22-32
21-20
25-31
18-14
11-15
19-15
155.2Avg total
79.7Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.177.2156.3+1.939%
Season at home (10)78.580.9159.4-2.420%
Season away (8)79.972.5152.4+7.462%
Last 10 (10)79.775.5155.2+4.250%
Last 5 (5)86.474.6161.0+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.082.1149.1-15.10%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.173.9150.0+2.250%
vs Weaker (12)87.075.0162.0+12.067%
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
67-70
67
70
-3
no box
H22/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
75-69
75
69
+6
67avg 79
H23/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
105-63
105
63
+42
103avg 79
A27/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
103-62
103
62
+41
101avg 79
A28/11
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
88-92
88
92
-4
74avg 79
H13/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
56avg 79
H14/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
69avg 79
A22/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
69avg 79
A23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
125-89
125
89
+36
132avg 79
H10/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
105-56
105
56
+49
104avg 79
H11/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
21-17
19-16
12-20
21-21
20-10
16-18
18-20
23-21
30-15
24-20
28-7
33-9
17-10
24-28
29-15
14-28
17-18
25-17
32-29
16-21
21-18
19-22
17-22
11-25
21-24
21-19
19-14
20-24
18-16
15-20
21-30
26-28
34-20
36-23
29-18
36-18
27-12
20-15
22-11
164.3Avg total
88.7Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.478.3165.7+9.161%
Season at home (10)85.977.5163.4+8.450%
Season away (8)89.279.4168.6+9.975%
Last 10 (10)88.775.6164.3+13.150%
Last 5 (5)89.880.0169.8+9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.384.0157.3-10.715%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.980.4163.3+2.564%
vs Weaker (6)106.364.7171.0+41.7100%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +6.6+6.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +4.1+4.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +6.6+6.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +4.1+4.1
Kaspiy AktauAlmaty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almaty
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A22/11
National League
Almaty
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A23/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H02/12
National League
Astana
#1
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H03/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A07/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A08/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H19/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H20/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H11/01
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H12/01
National League
80.9Avg total
42.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.878.2+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.236.878.0+4.467%-
Last 30 away (12)39.039.478.4-0.458%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.680.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)47.637.485.0+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.641.173.8-8.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.636.576.1+3.170%-
vs Weaker (12)46.136.882.8+9.392%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H22/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H23/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A27/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
50-19
50
19
+31
A28/11
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H13/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H14/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A22/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H10/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
63-30
63
30
+33
H11/01
National League
81.3Avg total
44.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.639.282.8+4.455%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.737.379.9+5.453%-
Last 30 away (14)44.641.285.8+3.457%-
Last 10 (10)44.137.281.3+6.960%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.287.2+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.644.585.1-3.942%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.238.878.0+0.445%-
vs Weaker (6)57.729.286.8+28.5100%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kaspiy Aktautheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kaspiy Aktau: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀32%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws28.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.016.0
50.0%
50.5%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.0
30.5%
30.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws37.528.0
74.7%
69.6%28.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Almatytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Almaty: 115.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.532.0
59.8%
50.5%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.512.0
39.3%
30.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws21.015.0
71.4%
69.6%15.0
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kaspiy Aktau
LWWLWWLLLW
Almaty
WWLLLLWWWL
#2
League position
#3
+5.1
Net rating
+51.9
110.9
Offensive rating
140.4
105.8
Defensive rating
88.5
48.0%
Effective FG%
59.5%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.61
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.5%
3-point %
39.3%
118.0%
Assist %
68.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 140.4Defence105.8 · 88.5Shooting48.0% · 59.5%3-point %30.5% · 39.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.61 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Kaspiy Aktau   ■ Almaty
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kaspiy Aktau wins
7
Almaty wins
DateGameScore
23/11/25Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau75-69
22/11/25Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau67-70
26/10/25Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty72-78
25/10/25Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty71-80
15/04/25Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau80-74
11/04/25Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty84-80
07/04/25Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau89-74
06/01/25Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty91-68
05/01/25Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty72-74
27/10/24Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau70-68
Kaspiy Aktaulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/26HAtyrau73-75
11/01/26HAtyrau101-91
20/12/25HTobol Kostanay105-62
19/12/25HTobol Kostanay75-81
08/12/25AAtyrau78-64
07/12/25AAtyrau92-68
03/12/25HAstana63-75
02/12/25HAstana71-97
23/11/25AAlmaty69-75
22/11/25AAlmaty70-67
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HTobol Kostanay105-56
10/01/26HTobol Kostanay125-89
23/12/25AAstana74-90
22/12/25AAstana72-82
14/12/25HAtyrau73-83
13/12/25HAtyrau88-92
28/11/25ATobol Kostanay103-62
27/11/25ATobol Kostanay105-63
23/11/25HKaspiy Aktau75-69
22/11/25HKaspiy Aktau67-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kaspiy Aktau
National League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL39%
HomeLLWWL20%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %39%20%62%
Points / game79.178.579.9
Allowed / game77.280.972.5
Point differential+1.9-2.4+7.4
Avg total156.3159.4152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Almaty
National League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW61%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWWWLL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %61%50%75%
Points / game87.485.989.2
Allowed / game78.377.579.4
Point differential+9.1+8.4+9.9
Avg total165.7163.4168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana20200100%92.064.7+27.4
2 Almaty1811761%87.478.3+9.1
3 Atyrau2091145%78.182.8-4.8
4 Kaspiy Aktau1871139%79.177.2+1.9
5 Tobol Kostanay201195%65.297.7-32.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kaspiy Aktau2725182191
Almaty1523231778
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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