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Kaspiy Aktau vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 May 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 71-79
8-21 18-13 29-26 16-19
Position#2
Record23-16
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Astana 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#1
Record32-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game68.5
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - Final
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kaspiy Aktau v Astana
28 May 2026
KASP71
AST79
27 May 2026
KASP53
AST68
03 Mar 2026
KASP73
AST68
02 Mar 2026
KASP53
AST75
03 Dec 2025
KASP63
AST75
02 Dec 2025
KASP71
AST97
06 Apr 2022
KASP52
AST108
05 Apr 2022
KASP64
AST97
01 Nov 2021
KASP54
AST94
31 Oct 2021
KASP59
AST97
30 Apr 2021
KASP52
AST85
23 Nov 2020
KASP75
AST90
22 Nov 2020
KASP66
AST110
16 Oct 2019
KASP52
AST83
15 Oct 2019
KASP54
AST90
13 Nov 2018
KASP35
AST102
12 Nov 2018
KASP40
AST102
11 Apr 2018
KASP67
AST86
15 Mar 2018
KASP65
AST94
14 Mar 2018
KASP52
AST89
07 Nov 2016
KASP52
AST70
06 Nov 2016
KASP57
AST92
17 Apr 2016
KASP71
AST83
03 Apr 2016
KASP88
AST84
02 Apr 2016
KASP70
AST74
25 Nov 2014
KASP76
AST98
16 Oct 2014
KASP109
AST46
15 Oct 2014
KASP111
AST43
23 Nov 2013
KASP73
AST87
22 Nov 2013
KASP95
AST99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kaspiy Aktau winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#4
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A30/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
A10/04
National League
Astana
#1
W
80-75 OT
80
75
+5
A11/04
National League
Almaty
#3
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H11/05
National League
Almaty
#3
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H12/05
National League
Almaty
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A16/05
National League
Almaty
#3
W
101-80
101
80
+21
A17/05
National League
Astana
#1
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A23/05
National League
Astana
#1
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A24/05
National League
Astana
#1
L
53-68
53
68
-15
H27/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
18-16
22-21
17-28
13-24
23-23
14-21
17-23
16-14
17-22
22-13
12-18
25-22
13-12
29-19
21-20
24-19
12-17
22-20
23-14
19-15
20-23
15-20
15-19
27-18
19-22
31-17
24-23
19-16
20-19
19-22
16-15
20-25
21-25
19-16
29-19
13-12
8-21
17-17
15-18
156.0Avg total
78.8Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)81.076.3157.3+4.759%
Season at home (19)80.276.7156.8+3.547%
Season away (20)81.875.8157.6+6.070%
Last 10 (10)78.877.2156.0+1.670%
Last 5 (5)77.276.4153.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.278.4147.7-9.244%
vs Similar (9)85.875.3161.1+10.478%
vs Weaker (12)88.974.1163.0+14.875%
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
91-67
91
67
+24
H10/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
75-80 OT
75
80
-5
H11/04
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
102-79
102
79
+23
H10/05
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
H11/05
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A15/05
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A16/05
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H19/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H23/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H24/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A27/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
23-23
21-14
23-17
14-16
22-17
13-22
18-12
31-21
25-15
23-22
23-21
26-27
7-25
30-21
13-17
22-29
17-24
21-19
28-11
18-22
23-23
24-12
13-22
30-18
20-23
25-23
13-23
16-19
19-20
22-19
15-16
25-20
25-21
16-19
19-29
12-13
21-8
17-17
18-15
160.4Avg total
82.3Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)86.768.5155.2+18.280%
Season at home (21)85.672.8158.4+12.871%
Season away (19)87.963.8151.7+24.189%
Last 10 (10)82.378.1160.4+4.250%
Last 5 (5)78.276.4154.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)84.970.5155.4+14.473%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
Kaspiy AktauAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A30/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A10/04
National League
Astana
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A11/04
National League
Almaty
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H11/05
National League
Almaty
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H12/05
National League
Almaty
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A16/05
National League
Almaty
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A17/05
National League
Astana
#1
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A23/05
National League
Astana
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A24/05
National League
Astana
#1
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H27/05
National League
75.7Avg total
37.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.281.6+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.637.280.8+6.467%-
Last 30 away (15)43.239.282.4+4.067%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.175.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.276.4-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.139.974.0-5.833%-
vs Similar (9)44.436.881.2+7.778%-
vs Weaker (12)49.638.087.6+11.683%-
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H10/04
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H11/04
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H10/05
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H11/05
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A15/05
National League
Atyrau
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A16/05
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H23/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H24/05
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A27/05
National League
81.7Avg total
42.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.035.578.5+7.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.236.480.6+7.876%-
Last 30 away (13)41.434.475.8+7.069%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.781.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.479.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)43.035.578.5+7.573%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kaspiy Aktautheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kaspiy Aktau: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.918.6
44.4%
50.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.8
30.0%
30.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.416.0
71.4%
69.6%16.0
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.7
51.6%
50.5%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.0
32.6%
30.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.313.9
72.0%
69.6%13.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kaspiy Aktau
LWWWLWWWLW
Astana
WLLWLWLWLW
#2
League position
#1
-1.6
Net rating
+5.6
99.0
Offensive rating
108.9
100.5
Defensive rating
103.3
44.6%
Effective FG%
50.3%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.0%
3-point %
32.6%
87.1%
Assist %
75.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 108.9Defence100.5 · 103.3Shooting44.6% · 50.3%3-point %30.0% · 32.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Kaspiy Aktau   ■ Astana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kaspiy Aktau wins
6
Astana wins
DateGameScore
27/05/26Kaspiy Aktau v Astana53-68
24/05/26Astana v Kaspiy Aktau85-89
23/05/26Astana v Kaspiy Aktau72-74
11/04/26Astana v Kaspiy Aktau75-80 OT
10/04/26Astana v Kaspiy Aktau91-67
03/03/26Kaspiy Aktau v Astana73-68
02/03/26Kaspiy Aktau v Astana53-75
03/12/25Kaspiy Aktau v Astana63-75
02/12/25Kaspiy Aktau v Astana71-97
04/11/25Astana v Kaspiy Aktau87-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/26HAstana53-68
24/05/26AAstana89-85
23/05/26AAstana74-72
17/05/26AAlmaty101-80
16/05/26AAlmaty69-77
12/05/26HAlmaty81-70
11/05/26HAlmaty88-73
11/04/26AAstana80-75 OT
10/04/26AAstana67-91
30/03/26AAtyrau86-81
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/26AKaspiy Aktau68-53
24/05/26HKaspiy Aktau85-89
23/05/26HKaspiy Aktau72-74
19/05/26HAtyrau88-87
16/05/26AAtyrau78-79
15/05/26AAtyrau88-83
11/05/26HAtyrau76-90
10/05/26HAtyrau102-79
11/04/26HKaspiy Aktau75-80 OT
10/04/26HKaspiy Aktau91-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kaspiy Aktau
National League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL59%
HomeWWWWL47%
AwayWLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %59%47%70%
Points / game81.080.281.8
Allowed / game76.376.775.8
Point differential+4.7+3.5+6.0
Avg total157.3156.8157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%42%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)50% (2)100% (5)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Astana
National League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW80%
HomeWLWLL71%
AwayWWWLW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %80%71%89%
Points / game86.785.687.9
Allowed / game68.572.863.8
Point differential+18.1+12.8+24.1
Avg total155.2158.4151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%62%84%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana4032880%86.768.5+18.1
2 Kaspiy Aktau39231659%81.076.3+4.7
3 Almaty41212051%81.179.0+2.1
4 Atyrau42202248%81.781.2+0.5
5 Tobol Kostanay343319%68.296.4-28.1
6 Turan2020%60.592.0-31.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kaspiy Aktau818291671
Astana2113261979
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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