Astana vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	87.8	65.9	153.7	+22.0	88%
Season at home (16)	85.9	69.4	155.3	+16.6	81%
Season away (16)	89.8	62.4	152.1	+27.4	94%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	67.4	148.1	+13.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	63.4	149.4	+22.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	87.5	66.1	153.6	+21.4	87%

This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Atyrau

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana

69-85

-16

A25/02

National League

Astana

72-79

-7

A26/02

National League

Almaty

69-72

-3

A14/03

National League

Almaty

72-74

-2

A15/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

97-82

+15

H23/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

106-66

106

+40

H24/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

86-79

H29/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

81-86

-5

H30/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

89-62

+27

H22/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

115-84

115

+31

A23/04

National League

16-23

17-20

15-19

21-23

15-20

10-22

24-16

23-21

22-29

15-17

14-17

18-9

12-22

18-23

18-14

24-15

22-24

26-18

18-20

31-20

30-13

26-18

32-18

18-17

16-21

20-19

29-20

21-19

16-29

16-18

21-22

28-17

27-22

22-9

23-17

17-14

42-19

31-28

18-16

24-21

162.5Avg total

85.6Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	81.7	80.8	162.5	+0.9	50%
Season at home (17)	81.2	82.8	164.0	-1.5	47%
Season away (17)	82.1	78.9	161.0	+3.2	53%
Last 10 (10)	85.6	76.9	162.5	+8.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	95.4	75.4	170.8	+20.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	70.7	85.2	155.9	-14.6	17%
vs Similar (8)	84.9	82.9	167.8	+2.0	50%
vs Weaker (10)	95.5	72.2	167.7	+23.3	90%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AstanaAtyrau

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	17.6	39.5	+4.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	18.1	39.9	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	17.0	39.1	+5.1	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	21.9	17.6	39.5	+4.3	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	21.3	43.8	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	21.5	44.1	+1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	21.1	43.6	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.2	44.0	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	20.8	47.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.9	22.4	41.3	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.0	22.6	45.6	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	26.6	18.8	45.4	+7.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	15.5	38.0	+7.0	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	15.9	38.5	+6.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	15.0	37.4	+7.4	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	16.6	39.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	14.8	37.4	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	22.5	15.5	38.0	+7.0	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.8	39.3	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.9	39.3	-2.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	15.9	22.4	38.3	-6.5	8%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.9	21.5	38.4	-4.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.0	18.2	41.2	+4.8	60%	-

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

46-29

+17

A02/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

34-36

-2

A03/03

National League

Almaty

44-44

H07/03

National League

Almaty

30-35

-5

H08/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

46-45

H15/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

49-26

+23

H16/03

National League

Almaty

34-32

A21/03

National League

Almaty

42-31

+11

A22/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

47-36

+11

H10/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

36-33

H11/04

National League

75.5Avg total

40.8Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	33.1	77.5	+11.3	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.3	34.1	78.4	+10.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.5	32.0	76.5	+12.5	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	34.7	75.5	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	31.6	73.2	+10.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	44.4	33.1	77.5	+11.3	83%	-

This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana

33-43

-10

A25/02

National League

Astana

25-42

-17

A26/02

National League

Almaty

37-46

-9

A14/03

National League

Almaty

30-45

-15

A15/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

48-42

H23/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

56-31

+25

H24/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

36-40

-4

H29/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

32-47

-15

H30/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

49-31

+18

H22/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

73-47

+26

A23/04

National League

83.3Avg total

41.9Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	42.0	83.1	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	42.1	83.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.0	41.9	82.9	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	41.4	83.3	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	39.2	88.4	+10.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	34.8	44.8	79.7	-10.0	8%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.9	44.1	84.0	-4.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	49.6	37.0	86.6	+12.6	90%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	16.7	38.5	+5.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	16.0	39.1	+7.1	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	16.5	35.9	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.0	36.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	21.8	16.7	38.5	+5.0	77%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.5	40.9	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	19.2	40.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	17.9	39.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.6	43.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.2	21.1	41.2	-0.9	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.4	17.9	42.3	+6.5	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	15.8	36.9	+5.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	17.1	37.6	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	14.4	36.1	+7.4	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	14.9	34.6	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	14.2	35.8	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	21.1	15.8	36.9	+5.2	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	17.6	40.1	+4.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	15.7	19.3	35.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.9	18.5	43.4	+6.4	75%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.5	17.3	38.8	+4.2	90%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	32.6	75.4	+10.3	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	34.5	75.6	+6.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.8	30.4	75.1	+14.4	93%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	31.4	70.5	+7.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	29.2	72.0	+13.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)	42.8	32.6	75.4	+10.3	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	38.0	79.4	+3.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	38.7	80.8	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	37.2	77.9	+3.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	35.5	79.2	+8.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	36.2	82.4	+10.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	35.8	40.4	76.2	-4.6	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	44.1	37.8	81.9	+6.4	88%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.9	35.2	81.1	+10.7	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 80.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.5	17.0	50.7%	50.5%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.1	11.0	33.2%	30.4%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	21.3	13.7	64.3%	69.6%	13.7

They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Atyrautheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atyrau: 85.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	21.0	53.4%	50.5%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	10.7	34.4%	30.4%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	16.1	11.5	71.4%	69.6%	11.5

They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	16.7	41.8%	50.5%	33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	6.3	26.2%	30.4%	18.9
🏀 Free throws	22.5	15.1	67.1%	69.6%	15.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	18.9	50.0%	50.5%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	8.1	27.5%	30.4%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	20.3	14.8	72.9%	69.6%	14.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.0	17.5	51.3%	50.5%	34.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	9.3	31.8%	30.4%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	18.1	12.7	70.5%	69.6%	12.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.4	18.9	49.2%	50.5%	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	10.6	34.6%	30.4%	31.7
🏀 Free throws	17.3	12.0	69.4%	69.6%	12.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	18.2	49.6%	50.5%	36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	8.4	32.8%	30.4%	25.3
🏀 Free throws	20.4	14.5	71.0%	69.6%	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	18.6	51.0%	50.5%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	8.3	28.7%	30.4%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	23.9	17.9	74.9%	69.6%	17.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Astana

LWWWWWLLLW

Atyrau

WWLWWWLLLL

League position

+17.7

Net rating

+11.3

107.7

Offensive rating

111.4

89.9

Defensive rating

100.1

50.3%

Effective FG%

52.6%

40.9%

Opp. effective FG%

46.1%

0.0%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.32

Free-throw rate

0.23

33.2%

3-point %

34.4%

72.5%

Assist %

56.8%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Astana ■ Atyrau

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Astana wins

Atyrau wins

Date	Game	Score
26/02/26	Astana v Atyrau	79-72
25/02/26	Astana v Atyrau	85-69
21/01/26	Atyrau v Astana	68-97
20/01/26	Atyrau v Astana	50-79
26/11/25	Astana v Atyrau	96-63
25/11/25	Astana v Atyrau	78-61
19/10/25	Atyrau v Astana	64-99
18/10/25	Atyrau v Astana	61-87
06/05/23	Atyrau v Astana	52-58
02/05/23	Astana v Atyrau	84-46

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau	75-80 OT
10/04/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau	91-67
22/03/26	A	Almaty	81-54
21/03/26	A	Almaty	82-68
16/03/26	H	Tobol Kostanay	101-48
15/03/26	H	Tobol Kostanay	88-73
08/03/26	H	Almaty	69-72
07/03/26	H	Almaty	77-86
03/03/26	A	Kaspiy Aktau	68-73
02/03/26	A	Kaspiy Aktau	75-53

Atyraulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/04/26	A	Tobol Kostanay	115-84
22/04/26	H	Tobol Kostanay	89-62
30/03/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau	81-86
29/03/26	H	Kaspiy Aktau	86-79
24/03/26	H	Tobol Kostanay	106-66
23/03/26	H	Tobol Kostanay	97-82
15/03/26	A	Almaty	72-74
14/03/26	A	Almaty	69-72
26/02/26	A	Astana	72-79
25/02/26	A	Astana	69-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana

National League 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	88%
Home	LWWWL	81%
Away	WWLWW	94%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	88%	81%	94%
Points / game	87.8	85.9	89.8
Allowed / game	65.9	69.4	62.4
Point differential	+22.0	+16.6	+27.4
Avg total	153.7	155.3	152.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	84%	75%	94%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

Atyrau

National League 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	50%
Home	WWWLW	47%
Away	LLLLW	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	50%	47%	53%
Points / game	81.7	81.2	82.1
Allowed / game	80.8	82.8	78.9
Point differential	+0.9	-1.5	+3.2
Avg total	162.5	164.0	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	35%	35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	33% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	32	28	4	88%	87.8	65.9	+22.0
2	Kaspiy Aktau	32	18	14	56%	81.4	76.5	+4.8
3	Almaty	34	18	16	53%	82.3	78.4	+3.9
4	Atyrau	34	17	17	50%	81.7	80.8	+0.9
5	Tobol Kostanay	34	3	31	9%	68.2	96.4	-28.1
6	Turan	2	0	2	0%	60.5	92.0	-31.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Astana	31	25	23	23	102
Atyrau	21	15	22	21	79

← all games of the day

Astana vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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