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Kastela vs Dakovo Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#6
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game85.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 19· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kastela v Dakovo
27 Feb 2027
KAST v DAKO
upcoming
18 Apr 2026
KAST119
DAKO82
08 Mar 2025
KAST108
DAKO74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dakovo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#1
W
87-81
87
81
+6
86avg 81
H06/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
58avg 81
A09/05
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
61-97
61
97
-36
42avg 81
A16/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
82-101
82
101
-19
72avg 81
H20/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#1
L
67-72
67
72
-5
no box
H11/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
A17/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
L
65-66
65
66
-1
no box
H25/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
A31/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
H08/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#6
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
A14/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
19-20
22-18
15-22
19-17
22-24
8-26
19-24
15-29
18-16
7-21
21-31
23-39
29-18
13-31
17-13
12-23
16-16
18-19
21-14
17-22
18-12
19-16
14-21
17-14
21-16
11-19
16-17
19-18
25-18
19-23
19-11
16-24
19-15
23-22
16-12
20-20
23-22
21-19
24-18
154.3Avg total
74.2Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.071.8145.8+2.250%
Season at home (3)68.770.3139.0-1.733%
Season away (3)79.373.3152.7+6.067%
Last 10 (10)74.280.1154.3-5.940%
Last 5 (5)75.471.8147.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.090.0160.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)73.679.1152.8-5.538%
vs Weaker (19)86.464.3150.7+22.184%
This opponent (Dakovo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DakovoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDakovo
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
102-84
102
84
+18
108avg 85
H28/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
61-65
61
65
-4
51avg 85
A01/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 85
H12/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
82-119
82
119
-37
68avg 85
A18/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
H10/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
88-81
88
81
+7
no box
A17/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
118-93
118
93
+25
no box
H24/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
no box
A31/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#13
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H07/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
H14/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
17-25
29-19
25-17
14-16
19-12
11-17
17-20
18-26
22-9
19-20
25-24
21-37
14-26
21-39
26-17
20-21
22-24
26-22
9-16
18-23
19-21
27-17
24-20
36-25
25-25
36-17
21-26
17-17
24-13
18-24
16-21
21-17
23-17
19-23
23-20
20-20
22-23
19-21
18-24
171.6Avg total
85.8Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.285.2173.3+3.050%
Season at home (4)90.085.2175.2+4.850%
Season away (2)84.585.0169.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)85.885.8171.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)90.485.6176.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)89.191.6180.7-2.444%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.086.2166.2-6.217%
vs Weaker (9)93.180.4173.6+12.789%
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
KastelaDakovo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#1
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H06/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/05
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A16/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H20/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#1
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H11/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A17/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H25/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A31/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H08/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A14/11
Prva Liga
80.3Avg total
39.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.877.2+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.735.380.0+9.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.136.374.4+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.480.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.275.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.747.084.7-9.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.139.876.9-2.638%-
vs Weaker (19)43.832.476.2+11.489%-
This opponent (Dakovo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DakovoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H28/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A01/04
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
35-63
35
63
-28
A18/04
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H10/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A17/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H24/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A31/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#13
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H14/11
Prva Liga
84.3Avg total
42.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.444.187.4-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.843.188.8+2.750%-
Last 30 away (14)40.645.285.9-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)42.342.084.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.285.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.647.388.9-5.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.341.482.8-0.150%-
vs Weaker (9)47.944.392.2+3.644%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.9 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.517.8
56.5%
53.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.0
36.0%
32.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws10.46.9
66.3%
71.7%6.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dakovotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dakovo: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.426.1
57.5%
53.1%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.7
31.8%
32.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
71.7%14.7
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WWWLLLLLLW
Dakovo
LWLWWLLWLW
#7
League position
#6
+1.7
Net rating
-2.3
93.6
Offensive rating
98.7
91.9
Defensive rating
101.0
55.2%
Effective FG%
54.1%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
59.4%
18.5%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.0%
3-point %
31.8%
74.5%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 98.7Defence91.9 · 101.0Shooting55.2% · 54.1%3-point %36.0% · 31.8%Ball care18.5% · 15.8%Free throws0.16 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Kastela   ■ Dakovo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kastela wins
1
Dakovo wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26Dakovo v Kastela79-88
18/04/26Kastela v Dakovo119-82
17/01/26Dakovo v Kastela79-76
08/03/25Kastela v Dakovo108-74
23/11/24Dakovo v Kastela80-99
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ADakovo88-79
08/11/26HHermes74-73
31/10/26ASonik Puntamika82-70
25/10/26HOmis65-66
17/10/26ANovi Zagreb68-71
11/10/26HGKK Sibenka67-72
20/05/26HDinamo Zagreb82-101
16/05/26ADinamo Zagreb61-97
09/05/26ASkrljevo68-91
06/05/26HSkrljevo87-81
Dakovolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKastela79-88
07/11/26HGorica86-77
31/10/26AHermes81-89 OT
24/10/26HSonik Puntamika118-93
17/10/26AOmis88-81
10/10/26HNovi Zagreb77-83
18/04/26AKastela82-119
12/04/26HKK Zagreb84-79
01/04/26ACrikvenica61-65
28/03/26HOsijek102-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game74.068.779.3
Allowed / game71.870.373.3
Point differential+2.2-1.7+6.0
Avg total145.8139.0152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dakovo
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game88.290.084.5
Allowed / game85.285.285.0
Point differential+3.0+4.8-0.5
Avg total173.3175.2169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 GKK Sibenka660100%85.271.3+13.8
2 Jazine64267%84.078.0+6.0
3 KK Zagreb64267%77.271.2+6.0
4 Hermes64267%73.571.3+2.2
5 Novi Zagreb64267%76.774.8+1.8
6 Dakovo63350%88.285.2+3.0
7 Kastela63350%74.071.8+2.2
8 Marsonia63350%75.575.8-0.3
9 Crikvenica63350%73.073.8-0.8
10 Sonik Puntamika63350%81.284.3-3.2
11 Radnik Krizevci62433%77.275.5+1.7
12 Omis62433%71.575.8-4.3
13 Gorica61517%78.783.2-4.5
14 Mladost6060%66.790.2-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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