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Mladost vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 94-93
24-29 21-28 20-18 29-18
Position#2
Record9-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game76.8
Mladost 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#3
Record8-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game70.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 13· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mladost v Kastela
26 Apr 2026
MLAD59
KAST63
15 Mar 2026
MLAD52
KAST74
30 Apr 2025
MLAD71
KAST67
24 Apr 2025
MLAD72
KAST64
19 Jan 2025
MLAD94
KAST93
04 Nov 2023
MLAD76
KAST98
06 Nov 2022
MLAD75
KAST83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
75-68
75
68
+7
70avg 73
H27/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
91-99
91
99
-8
88avg 73
A02/11
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
87-71
87
71
+16
75avg 73
H09/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
92-75
92
75
+17
86avg 73
A16/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
62avg 73
H20/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 73
A01/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
87-67
87
67
+20
93avg 73
H08/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 73
H14/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
89-80
89
80
+9
75avg 73
H22/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 73
A12/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
20-22
14-15
26-18
29-33
16-23
29-25
17-18
26-12
28-21
19-19
14-19
25-14
19-19
31-21
17-21
21-24
18-12
17-15
17-19
15-28
18-23
26-23
23-9
18-13
20-17
17-14
32-23
19-20
20-21
18-16
23-19
21-23
26-15
14-22
28-20
20-18
14-21
20-21
12-19
159.0Avg total
82.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.276.8158.9+5.475%
Season at home (7)83.073.7156.7+9.3100%
Season away (5)81.081.0162.0+0.040%
Last 10 (10)82.276.8159.0+5.470%
Last 5 (5)80.877.0157.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.789.1165.8-12.415%
vs Similar (7)80.075.7155.7+4.357%
vs Weaker (10)82.574.5157.0+8.090%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
75-65
75
65
+10
76avg 79
H02/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
88-64
88
64
+24
88avg 79
A10/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
83-63
83
63
+20
91avg 79
H16/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
99-80
99
80
+19
102avg 79
A23/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
90avg 79
H27/11
Croatian Cup
Samobor
#1
W
102-72
102
72
+30
104avg 79
H01/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
127-64
127
64
+63
121avg 79
H07/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
105-69
105
69
+36
114avg 79
H14/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
71avg 79
H11/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
64avg 79
A15/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
18-20
20-15
19-13
18-11
21-9
24-23
25-21
18-8
17-18
20-17
28-20
28-30
20-9
31-21
20-20
26-21
20-17
20-18
22-17
20-20
23-21
26-18
33-13
38-19
29-12
29-11
31-22
28-14
21-17
32-15
24-23
23-21
14-17
21-19
20-23
17-27
22-13
16-16
14-15
161.5Avg total
91.4Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.270.5156.8+15.867%
Season at home (7)91.168.1159.3+23.086%
Season away (5)79.473.8153.2+5.640%
Last 10 (10)91.470.1161.5+21.380%
Last 5 (5)96.271.2167.4+25.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.074.0137.0-11.00%
vs Similar (7)73.072.9145.9+0.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.271.9159.1+15.384%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +4.9+4.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +4.9+4.9
MladostKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H27/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A02/11
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H09/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A16/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H20/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A01/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H08/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H14/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H22/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A12/01
Prva Liga
80.0Avg total
40.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.583.8-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.439.783.1+3.869%-
Last 30 away (14)38.845.784.5-6.929%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.280.0+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.878.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.847.685.5-9.823%-
vs Similar (7)40.939.680.4+1.357%-
vs Weaker (10)46.037.983.9+8.180%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H02/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A10/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H16/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A23/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H27/11
Croatian Cup
Samobor
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
67-31
67
31
+36
H07/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H14/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H11/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A15/01
Prva Liga
78.0Avg total
43.9Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.235.375.5+4.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.234.674.8+5.656%-
Last 30 away (14)40.236.176.4+4.157%-
Last 10 (10)43.934.178.0+9.870%-
Last 5 (5)47.036.283.2+10.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.339.771.0-8.30%-
vs Similar (7)34.337.171.4-2.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.533.877.3+9.668%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.1
51.7%
52.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.7
31.5%
33.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.513.7
78.3%
70.4%13.7
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.523.2
60.3%
52.0%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.010.9
43.6%
33.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws14.711.8
80.3%
70.4%11.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
LWWWLWWWLW
Kastela
LLWWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#3
+7.9
Net rating
+28.8
104.2
Offensive rating
120.3
96.4
Defensive rating
91.4
49.9%
Effective FG%
62.3%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.5%
3-point %
43.6%
62.1%
Assist %
64.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 120.3Defence96.4 · 91.4Shooting49.9% · 62.3%3-point %31.5% · 43.6%Ball care18.7% · 17.4%Off. rebounds30.7% · 24.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Mladost   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mladost wins
4
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Kastela v Mladost84-66
04/11/23Mladost v Kastela76-98
04/02/23Kastela v Mladost70-57
06/11/22Mladost v Kastela75-83
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25AKK Zagreb66-79
22/12/24HHermes89-80
14/12/24HDakovo80-76
08/12/24HMarsonia87-67
01/12/24AJazine82-83
20/11/24HSkrljevo73-70
16/11/24AGorica92-75
09/11/24HBosco87-71
02/11/24ASamobor91-99
27/10/24HOmis75-68
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25AKK Zagreb69-71
11/01/25HGorica78-80
14/12/24HBosco105-69
07/12/24HHermes127-64
01/12/24HSamobor102-72
27/11/24HOsijek88-73
23/11/24ADakovo99-80
16/11/24HOmis83-63
10/11/24AMarsonia88-64
02/11/24HSonik Puntamika75-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%100%40%
Points / game82.283.081.0
Allowed / game76.873.781.0
Point differential+5.4+9.3+0.0
Avg total158.9156.7162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%86%40%
Points / game86.291.179.4
Allowed / game70.568.173.8
Point differential+15.8+23.0+5.6
Avg total156.8159.3153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%71%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor1211192%88.480.6+7.8
2 Jazine1310377%94.583.0+11.5
3 Skrljevo129375%90.777.8+12.9
4 Mladost129375%82.276.8+5.4
5 Kastela128467%86.270.5+15.8
6 Marsonia128467%85.078.3+6.7
7 Gorica127558%77.280.7-3.4
8 KK Zagreb137654%75.474.5+0.9
9 Omis135838%76.077.2-1.2
10 Crikvenica134931%68.078.8-10.8
11 Sonik Puntamika123925%72.374.5-2.2
12 Dakovo1331023%78.086.8-8.8
13 Hermes1221017%77.293.6-16.4
14 Bosco131128%72.588.7-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost2421202994
Kastela2928181893
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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