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Kastela vs Podstrana Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 95-72
25-15 24-16 26-20 20-21
Position#6
Record5-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game76.7
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#14
Record3-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game83.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 11· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Podstrana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
L
89-90
89
90
-1
74avg 74
A08/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
85-72
85
72
+13
76avg 74
H15/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
73avg 74
H21/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
73avg 74
H28/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
98-76
98
76
+22
98avg 74
A04/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
89-52
89
52
+37
95avg 74
A11/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
88-86
88
86
+2
88avg 74
H18/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 74
A25/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
68-64
68
64
+4
64avg 74
H02/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
44avg 74
A09/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
34-20
22-20
13-24
20-20
25-20
18-14
22-18
20-21
24-23
16-17
14-18
32-21
18-19
13-21
17-25
23-30
22-17
25-14
28-15
30-8
25-1
17-21
17-22
22-27
25-19
11-16
30-24
22-19
13-25
21-19
11-26
24-16
13-21
13-14
18-13
10-18
22-25
16-16
11-14
156.4Avg total
79.7Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.776.7156.4+3.050%
Season at home (5)79.077.4156.4+1.660%
Season away (5)80.476.0156.4+4.440%
Last 10 (10)79.776.7156.4+3.050%
Last 5 (5)74.272.8147.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.876.6147.3-5.833%
vs Similar (7)80.678.4159.0+2.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.169.2150.3+11.993%
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodstranaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodstrana
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
65-94
65
94
-29
51avg 62
H08/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
57-99
57
99
-42
44avg 62
A14/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 62
H22/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
88-75
88
75
+13
88avg 62
H29/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
79-85 OT
79
85
-6
no box
A04/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 62
A18/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
74-92
74
92
-18
63avg 62
H26/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
79-93
79
93
-14
61avg 62
A03/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
62avg 62
H10/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
68-57
68
57
+11
60avg 62
H13/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
17-20
15-24
15-25
8-26
17-18
22-26
10-29
11-25
20-21
21-20
21-22
29-12
14-25
21-14
24-24
18-16
24-24
17-19
16-16
16-26
22-22
25-16
13-18
12-26
22-20
15-30
25-16
22-29
23-29
22-16
12-19
18-24
19-26
19-6
16-11
19-19
16-16
20-11
13-11
156.3Avg total
73.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.183.2156.3-10.130%
Season at home (6)73.378.8152.2-5.550%
Season away (4)72.889.8162.5-17.00%
Last 10 (10)73.183.2156.3-10.130%
Last 5 (5)73.878.2152.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.883.3156.1-10.633%
vs Similar (1)76.082.0158.0-6.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.6-2.6
KastelaPodstrana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A08/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H15/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H21/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H28/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A04/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
55-9
55
9
+46
A11/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H18/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A25/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H02/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A09/12
Prva Liga
84.0Avg total
44.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.376.1+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.835.674.4+3.267%-
Last 30 away (15)38.838.977.7-0.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.439.684.0+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.877.0+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.039.072.0-6.011%-
vs Similar (7)41.136.077.1+5.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.436.878.1+4.671%-
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PodstranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H08/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A14/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A04/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A18/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H26/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A03/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H10/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H13/12
Prva Liga
81.4Avg total
36.5Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)36.544.981.4-8.420%-
Last 30 at home (6)35.843.279.0-7.317%-
Last 30 away (4)37.547.585.0-10.025%-
Last 10 (10)36.544.981.4-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.847.485.2-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.344.680.9-8.222%-
vs Similar (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.7
52.5%
52.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.2
34.6%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws13.910.8
77.7%
71.2%10.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Podstranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podstrana: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.820.2
45.2%
52.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.8
31.8%
32.9%23.3
🏀 Free throws11.88.8
74.5%
71.2%8.8
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
LWLWWWLLWL
Podstrana
WWLLLLWLLL
#6
League position
#14
+1.9
Net rating
-12.5
105.8
Offensive rating
91.6
103.9
Defensive rating
104.1
52.2%
Effective FG%
46.1%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
21.6%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.17
34.6%
3-point %
31.8%
67.8%
Assist %
47.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 91.6Defence103.9 · 104.1Shooting52.2% · 46.1%3-point %34.6% · 31.8%Ball care17.6% · 21.6%Off. rebounds26.6% · 29.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Kastela   ■ Podstrana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kastela wins
0
Podstrana wins
No previous meetings.
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23AKvarner59-73
02/12/23HOmis68-64
25/11/23AGorica67-89
18/11/23HStoja88-86
11/11/23ASamobor89-52
04/11/23AMladost98-76
28/10/23HHermes80-86
21/10/23HOsijek74-79
15/10/23HCrikvenica85-72
08/10/23AJazine89-90
Podstranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HJazine68-57
10/12/23HMladost72-67
03/12/23AHermes79-93
26/11/23HOsijek74-92
18/11/23ACrikvenica76-82
04/11/23AKK Zagreb79-85 OT
29/10/23HMarsonia88-75
22/10/23HSamobor73-88
14/10/23AKvarner57-99
08/10/23HOmis65-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game79.779.080.4
Allowed / game76.777.476.0
Point differential+3.0+1.6+4.4
Avg total156.4156.4156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Podstrana
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW30%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%50%0%
Points / game73.173.372.8
Allowed / game83.278.889.8
Point differential-10.1-5.5-17.0
Avg total156.3152.2162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner109190%91.975.3+16.6
2 Osijek109190%88.173.6+14.5
3 KK Zagreb108280%82.669.0+13.6
4 Gorica106460%79.773.6+6.1
5 Omis106460%78.076.8+1.2
6 Kastela105550%79.776.7+3.0
7 Hermes105550%89.188.4+0.7
8 Jazine105550%84.488.0-3.6
9 Samobor105550%77.182.2-5.1
10 Marsonia103730%81.987.4-5.5
11 Podstrana103730%73.183.2-10.1
12 Stoja102820%82.190.1-8.0
13 Mladost102820%77.185.2-8.1
14 Crikvenica102820%72.587.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela2524262095
Podstrana1516202172
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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