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Kauno Atletas vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-82
25-19 18-18 16-24 18-21
Position#11
Record10-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game78.6
Kauno Atletas
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
Position#12
Record4-22
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game84.8
LithuaniaNKL· Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 2
07 Nov 2026
KAUN v NEPT
upcoming
18 Jan 2024
KAUN77
NEPT82
11 Nov 2023
KAUN77
NEPT83
24 Nov 2022
KAUN88
NEPT54
22 Mar 2022
KAUN78
NEPT70
17 Mar 2022
KAUN70
NEPT61
04 Dec 2021
KAUN97
NEPT92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kauno Atletas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kauno AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletas
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
W
102-58
102
58
+44
103avg 67
A02/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
82avg 67
H06/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
70-66
70
66
+4
57avg 67
A09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
73-69
73
69
+4
63avg 67
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
81-73
81
73
+8
76avg 67
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
63-88
63
88
-25
50avg 67
A21/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 67
H23/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
73avg 67
H04/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
68-69
68
69
-1
60avg 67
A06/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
83-62
83
62
+21
74avg 67
H09/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
39-13
20-14
26-8
14-14
26-17
18-17
24-22
13-11
19-17
22-14
16-24
15-18
17-22
22-15
19-14
25-17
21-17
19-19
16-20
19-20
19-18
20-25
5-25
22-22
22-23
16-26
18-14
22-24
17-19
21-20
18-23
15-17
11-22
25-21
17-9
16-19
21-13
19-11
27-19
150.4Avg total
77.8Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.978.6154.5-2.738%
Season at home (13)77.880.7158.5-2.938%
Season away (13)74.076.5150.5-2.538%
Last 10 (10)77.872.6150.4+5.260%
Last 5 (5)74.078.0152.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.282.9152.1-13.710%
vs Similar ◀ (18)75.477.2152.6-1.744%
vs Weaker (2)96.070.0166.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Silute
#14
W
76-68
76
68
+8
73avg 69
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
83-85
83
85
-2
79avg 69
A02/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
68-69
68
69
-1
61avg 69
H07/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
64-78
64
78
-14
58avg 69
A09/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 69
A14/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
68avg 69
H16/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
92-95
92
95
-3
74avg 69
A21/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
58-75
58
75
-17
46avg 69
H23/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 69
A04/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
69-68
69
68
+1
66avg 69
H06/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
17-14
18-19
18-18
18-18
19-25
18-20
28-22
18-19
16-13
14-16
20-21
19-19
15-18
13-23
17-18
5-23
19-16
15-21
35-27
26-26
19-19
16-22
22-23
18-28
29-24
18-19
27-24
19-28
7-21
12-15
20-11
17-24
28-20
13-26
14-16
17-15
22-11
21-25
9-17
154.0Avg total
73.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.684.8160.3-9.215%
Season at home (13)74.681.8156.5-7.223%
Season away (13)76.587.7164.2-11.28%
Last 10 (10)73.980.1154.0-6.220%
Last 5 (5)74.882.8157.6-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)73.985.1159.1-11.211%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.084.4163.4-5.425%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.3+1.3
Kauno AtletasNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kauno AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas 2
#13
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A02/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H06/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H23/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H04/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A06/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H09/01
NKL
75.6Avg total
39.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.677.3-2.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.140.579.6-1.527%-
Last 30 away (15)36.238.774.9-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.036.675.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.476.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.140.876.9-4.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)36.839.476.2-2.628%-
vs Weaker (2)52.536.088.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#14
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A02/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A14/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H16/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A21/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H23/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A04/01
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H06/01
NKL
76.9Avg total
37.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.242.981.1-4.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.540.479.9-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)36.845.482.2-8.620%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.876.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.283.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.344.782.1-7.428%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.440.279.6-0.842%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kauno Atletastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kauno Atletas: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.8
50.9%
51.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.1
31.3%
33.3%18.3
🏀 Free throws21.115.3
72.5%
70.3%15.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.3
46.6%
51.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.2
30.9%
33.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.413.9
75.5%
70.3%13.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kauno Atletas
WLLLLWWWWW
Neptunas 2
WLLLLLLLLW
#11
League position
#12
+7.7
Net rating
-8.1
105.7
Offensive rating
99.0
98.1
Defensive rating
107.1
49.7%
Effective FG%
46.5%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.5%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.3%
3-point %
30.9%
53.4%
Assist %
71.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 99.0Defence98.1 · 107.1Shooting49.7% · 46.5%3-point %31.3% · 30.9%Ball care18.4% · 17.5%Off. rebounds33.3% · 27.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Kauno Atletas   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Kauno Atletas wins
2
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas69-68
11/11/23Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 277-83
24/11/22Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 288-54
08/10/22Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas81-86 OT
22/03/22Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 278-70
19/03/22Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas75-89
17/03/22Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 270-61
04/12/21Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 297-92 OT
09/10/21Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas82-88
Kauno Atletaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24HDelikatesas Joniskis83-62
06/01/24ANeptunas 268-69
04/01/24HSuduva-Mantinga78-86
23/12/23HKretinga78-85
21/12/23ABC Olimpas Palanga63-88
14/12/23AVytis VDU81-73
12/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas 273-69
09/12/23ASilute70-66
06/12/23HUkmerges Stekas82-70
02/12/23ARytas 2102-58
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HKauno Atletas69-68
04/01/24ATelsiai72-86
23/12/23HBC Olimpas Palanga58-75
21/12/23ARytas 292-95
16/12/23HVytis VDU83-90
14/12/23ADelikatesas Joniskis74-87
09/12/23AUkmerges Stekas64-78
07/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas 268-69
02/12/23AVilkaviskis83-85
30/11/23HSilute76-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kauno Atletas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWWLLW38%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%38%38%
Points / game75.977.874.0
Allowed / game78.680.776.5
Point differential-2.7-2.9-2.5
Avg total154.5158.5150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW15%
HomeWLLLW23%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %15%23%8%
Points / game75.674.676.5
Allowed / game84.881.887.7
Point differential-9.2-7.2-11.2
Avg total160.3156.5164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2623388%87.873.0+14.8
2 Telsiai2622485%83.872.0+11.8
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2621581%82.072.1+10.0
4 Vytis VDU26141254%86.383.6+2.7
5 Jurbarkas26141254%80.079.1+0.9
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 226131350%75.573.2+2.2
7 Ukmerges Stekas26131350%74.976.2-1.3
8 Vilkaviskis26131350%81.384.3-2.9
9 Delikatesas Joniskis26121446%77.384.3-7.0
10 Kauno Atletas26101638%75.978.6-2.7
11 Kretinga2691735%77.382.3-5.1
12 Rytas 22681831%81.989.9-8.0
13 Silute2662023%76.782.9-6.3
14 Neptunas 22642215%75.684.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kauno Atletas2518161877
Neptunas 21918242182
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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