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Ukmerges Stekas vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 78-64
19-19 18-15 23-13 18-17
Position#5
Record7-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game77.6
Ukmerges Stekas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 2
Lithuania
Position#12
Record3-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game85.5
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 2
03 Nov 2026
UKME64
NEPT87
11 Oct 2025
UKME70
NEPT91
20 Feb 2025
UKME84
NEPT77
11 Jan 2025
UKME91
NEPT74
01 Feb 2024
UKME79
NEPT75
09 Dec 2023
UKME78
NEPT64
26 Jan 2023
UKME102
NEPT65
12 Nov 2022
UKME83
NEPT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#8
W
82-64
82
64
+18
82avg 65
H28/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
72-89
72
89
-17
65avg 65
A02/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
89-96
89
96
-7
80avg 65
H04/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 65
H09/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
58-75
58
75
-17
51avg 65
A11/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
61-79
61
79
-18
54avg 65
H18/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
85avg 65
H25/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
68-76
68
76
-8
61avg 65
H30/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
62-54
62
54
+8
53avg 65
H02/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
70-82
70
82
-12
55avg 65
A06/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
26-13
18-13
17-18
23-27
12-17
14-18
23-27
28-17
25-22
11-26
25-31
17-19
26-8
21-23
16-27
11-20
19-23
19-18
9-14
17-24
19-21
12-16
13-18
21-17
23-15
22-25
22-27
19-17
19-16
23-27
7-16
23-17
12-18
4-12
23-7
14-14
17-26
17-18
22-24
150.6Avg total
73.0Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.677.6150.2-4.941%
Season at home (8)76.174.0150.1+2.162%
Season away (9)69.680.8150.3-11.222%
Last 10 (10)73.077.6150.6-4.640%
Last 5 (5)69.875.0144.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.279.0143.2-14.80%
vs Similar (10)71.878.4150.2-6.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.179.9165.0+5.156%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
68-89
68
89
-21
62avg 71
A04/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
59-92
59
92
-33
49avg 71
H09/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
84avg 71
A11/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
66avg 71
H16/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
68-90
68
90
-22
61avg 71
A18/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
69avg 71
H23/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
69avg 71
A25/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
76-68
76
68
+8
73avg 71
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
83-85
83
85
-2
79avg 71
A02/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
68-69
68
69
-1
61avg 71
H07/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
18-22
16-18
21-23
15-23
16-21
12-27
16-21
23-19
21-23
19-18
20-17
26-24
20-17
6-18
22-24
20-16
11-20
21-25
16-29
14-25
22-21
24-20
15-15
12-18
18-27
18-20
27-23
23-17
17-14
18-19
18-18
18-18
19-25
18-20
28-22
18-19
16-13
14-16
20-21
155.1Avg total
72.9Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.585.5162.0-9.116%
Season at home (10)76.083.1159.1-7.120%
Season away (9)77.088.2165.2-11.211%
Last 10 (10)72.982.2155.1-9.320%
Last 5 (5)75.478.2153.6-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)75.486.0161.4-10.619%
vs Similar (9)79.284.8164.0-5.622%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
Ukmerges StekasNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H28/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H04/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H09/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A11/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H18/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H25/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H30/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H02/12
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/12
NKL
76.3Avg total
39.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.677.4+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.435.178.5+8.479%-
Last 30 away (16)36.639.876.4-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.176.3+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.073.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.538.072.5-3.525%-
vs Similar (10)35.239.274.4-4.030%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.936.580.4+7.475%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A04/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H09/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H16/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A18/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H23/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A25/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A02/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/12
NKL
76.8Avg total
36.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.343.580.8-6.227%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.841.479.2-3.638%-
Last 30 away (14)36.745.982.6-9.114%-
Last 10 (10)36.040.876.8-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.474.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.044.880.8-8.819%-
vs Similar (9)40.340.680.9-0.244%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.9
49.3%
51.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.1
32.3%
33.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.511.3
64.6%
70.3%11.3
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.0
50.3%
51.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.0
33.2%
33.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.913.1
73.2%
70.3%13.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LWLWLLWLLW
Neptunas 2
LLWLLLLWLL
#5
League position
#12
-5.6
Net rating
-12.2
100.8
Offensive rating
96.6
106.4
Defensive rating
108.8
48.9%
Effective FG%
50.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
21.7%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.3%
3-point %
33.2%
71.5%
Assist %
68.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 96.6Defence106.4 · 108.8Shooting48.9% · 50.1%3-point %32.3% · 33.2%Ball care16.5% · 21.7%Off. rebounds27.4% · 24.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ukmerges Stekas wins
2
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
19/10/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas72-67
23/02/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas90-89 OT
26/01/23Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 2102-65
14/01/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas53-62
12/11/22Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 283-71
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23AKauno Atletas70-82
02/12/23HJurbarkas62-54
30/11/23HSuduva-Mantinga68-76
25/11/23HRytas 288-84
18/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas 261-79
11/11/23ATelsiai58-75
09/11/23HSilute80-77
04/11/23HVytis VDU89-96
02/11/23ADelikatesas Joniskis72-89
28/10/23HKretinga82-64
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas 268-69
02/12/23AVilkaviskis83-85
30/11/23HSilute76-68
25/11/23AJurbarkas75-88
23/11/23HSuduva-Mantinga75-81
18/11/23AKretinga68-90
16/11/23HKretinga74-83
11/11/23AKauno Atletas83-77
09/11/23HTelsiai59-92
04/11/23ABC Olimpas Palanga68-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL41%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%62%22%
Points / game72.676.169.6
Allowed / game77.674.080.8
Point differential-4.9+2.1-11.2
Avg total150.2150.1150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL16%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %16%20%11%
Points / game76.576.077.0
Allowed / game85.583.188.2
Point differential-9.1-7.1-11.2
Avg total162.0159.1165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga1614288%84.472.2+12.2
2 Telsiai1915479%83.272.8+10.4
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1914574%80.171.7+8.4
4 Vytis VDU1510567%88.383.1+5.2
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 21812667%78.173.3+4.8
6 Jurbarkas1911858%79.376.6+2.6
7 Vilkaviskis1810856%82.981.2+1.7
8 Ukmerges Stekas1771041%72.677.6-4.9
9 Delikatesas Joniskis1871139%76.284.2-8.0
10 Kauno Atletas1861233%76.680.3-3.7
11 Kretinga1961332%77.481.6-4.2
12 Silute1961332%78.283.7-5.5
13 Rytas 21851328%79.988.2-8.3
14 Neptunas 21931616%76.585.5-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas1918231878
Neptunas 21915131764
← all games of the day
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