PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Neptunas 2 vs Kauno Atletas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 69-68
17-15 22-11 21-25 9-17
Position#12
Record3-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game85.4
Neptunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Kauno Atletas
Lithuania
Position#11
Record9-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game79.7
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas
05 Dec 2026
NEPT v KAUN
upcoming
15 Feb 2024
NEPT89
KAUN76
06 Jan 2024
NEPT69
KAUN68
08 Oct 2022
NEPT81
KAUN86
19 Mar 2022
NEPT75
KAUN89
09 Oct 2021
NEPT82
KAUN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kauno Atletas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
69avg 69
A25/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
76-68
76
68
+8
73avg 69
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
83-85
83
85
-2
79avg 69
A02/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
68-69
68
69
-1
61avg 69
H07/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
64-78
64
78
-14
58avg 69
A09/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 69
A14/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
68avg 69
H16/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
92-95
92
95
-3
74avg 69
A21/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
58-75
58
75
-17
46avg 69
H23/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
66avg 69
A04/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
18-27
18-20
27-23
23-17
17-14
18-19
18-18
18-18
19-25
18-20
28-22
18-19
16-13
14-16
20-21
19-19
15-18
13-23
17-18
5-23
19-16
15-21
35-27
26-26
19-19
16-22
22-23
18-28
29-24
18-19
27-24
19-28
7-21
12-15
20-11
17-24
28-20
13-26
14-16
156.6Avg total
74.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.885.4161.3-9.612%
Season at home (12)75.183.0158.1-7.917%
Season away (13)76.587.7164.2-11.28%
Last 10 (10)74.582.1156.6-7.610%
Last 5 (5)75.886.6162.4-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)74.885.3160.1-10.516%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.985.9165.8-6.018%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kauno AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletas
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
L
62-76
62
76
-14
56avg 67
H26/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 67
H30/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
102-58
102
58
+44
103avg 67
A02/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
82avg 67
H06/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
70-66
70
66
+4
57avg 67
A09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
73-69
73
69
+4
63avg 67
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
81-73
81
73
+8
76avg 67
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
63-88
63
88
-25
50avg 67
A21/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 67
H23/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
73avg 67
H04/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
21-17
10-16
17-24
22-27
19-19
26-12
18-22
17-23
39-13
20-14
26-8
14-14
26-17
18-17
24-22
13-11
19-17
22-14
16-24
15-18
17-22
22-15
19-14
25-17
21-17
19-19
16-20
19-20
19-18
20-25
5-25
22-22
22-23
16-26
18-14
22-24
17-19
21-20
18-23
152.5Avg total
77.4Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.979.7155.6-3.838%
Season at home (12)77.382.2159.6-4.933%
Season away (12)74.577.1151.6-2.642%
Last 10 (10)77.475.1152.5+2.360%
Last 5 (5)74.680.2154.8-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.282.9152.1-13.710%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.077.8153.8-1.844%
vs Weaker (2)96.070.0166.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
Neptunas 2Kauno Atletas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A25/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A02/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A14/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H16/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A21/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H23/12
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A04/01
NKL
77.9Avg total
36.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.943.481.3-5.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.141.380.4-2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)36.845.482.2-8.620%-
Last 10 (10)36.241.777.9-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.445.883.2-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.144.581.5-7.426%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.541.580.9-2.036%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kauno AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H26/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H30/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A02/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H06/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A09/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/12
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H23/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H04/01
NKL
78.0Avg total
40.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.878.6-1.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.040.980.9-0.927%-
Last 30 away (15)37.638.776.3-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.778.0+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.079.8-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.140.876.9-4.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.839.778.4-0.933%-
vs Weaker (2)52.536.088.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.0
46.6%
51.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.9
30.5%
33.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.913.8
77.1%
70.3%13.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kauno Atletastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kauno Atletas: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.8
52.2%
51.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.66.2
31.6%
33.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.114.8
73.6%
70.3%14.8
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
LLLLLLLLWL
Kauno Atletas
LLLWWWWWWL
#12
League position
#11
-10.4
Net rating
+4.2
97.7
Offensive rating
103.7
108.0
Defensive rating
99.5
46.3%
Effective FG%
50.7%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
17.6%
Turnover %
19.4%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.5%
3-point %
31.6%
68.3%
Assist %
52.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 103.7Defence108.0 · 99.5Shooting46.3% · 50.7%3-point %30.5% · 31.6%Ball care17.6% · 19.4%Off. rebounds26.4% · 30.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Kauno Atletas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas 2 wins
7
Kauno Atletas wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 277-83
24/11/22Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 288-54
08/10/22Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas81-86 OT
22/03/22Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 278-70
19/03/22Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas75-89
17/03/22Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 270-61
04/12/21Kauno Atletas v Neptunas 297-92 OT
09/10/21Neptunas 2 v Kauno Atletas82-88
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24ATelsiai72-86
23/12/23HBC Olimpas Palanga58-75
21/12/23ARytas 292-95
16/12/23HVytis VDU83-90
14/12/23ADelikatesas Joniskis74-87
09/12/23AUkmerges Stekas64-78
07/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas 268-69
02/12/23AVilkaviskis83-85
30/11/23HSilute76-68
25/11/23AJurbarkas75-88
Kauno Atletaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24HSuduva-Mantinga78-86
23/12/23HKretinga78-85
21/12/23ABC Olimpas Palanga63-88
14/12/23AVytis VDU81-73
12/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas 273-69
09/12/23ASilute70-66
06/12/23HUkmerges Stekas82-70
02/12/23ARytas 2102-58
30/11/23HVilkaviskis85-80
26/11/23HJurbarkas62-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %12%17%8%
Points / game75.875.176.5
Allowed / game85.483.087.7
Point differential-9.6-7.9-11.2
Avg total161.3158.1164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kauno Atletas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWWWLL33%
AwayLWWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%33%42%
Points / game75.977.374.5
Allowed / game79.782.277.1
Point differential-3.8-4.9-2.6
Avg total155.6159.6151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2421388%86.472.4+14.0
2 Telsiai2521484%84.172.0+12.1
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2520580%81.871.6+10.2
4 Jurbarkas25141156%79.978.7+1.2
5 Vytis VDU24131154%85.283.0+2.2
6 Vilkaviskis25131252%81.883.3-1.5
7 Zalgiris Kaunas 224121250%75.273.2+2.0
8 Ukmerges Stekas24121250%75.176.3-1.2
9 Delikatesas Joniskis24111346%76.983.8-6.9
10 Kauno Atletas2491538%75.979.7-3.8
11 Kretinga2591636%77.581.6-4.1
12 Rytas 22581732%81.289.4-8.1
13 Silute2561924%76.882.9-6.1
14 Neptunas 22532212%75.885.4-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 2172221969
Kauno Atletas1511251768
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.