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Vilkaviskis vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 85-83
18-18 25-19 20-18 22-28
Position#9
Record9-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game80.0
Vilkaviskis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 2
Lithuania
Position#12
Record3-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game86.5
LithuaniaNKL· Vilkavi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 2
11 Dec 2025
VILK72
NEPT62
07 Mar 2025
VILK81
NEPT69
23 Nov 2024
VILK93
NEPT78
02 Dec 2023
VILK85
NEPT83
02 Mar 2023
VILK95
NEPT71
17 Jan 2023
VILK73
NEPT72
16 Oct 2021
VILK91
NEPT78
04 Feb 2021
VILK81
NEPT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
66-89
66
89
-23
48avg 72
H21/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
63avg 72
A26/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
92-72
92
72
+20
85avg 72
H28/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
99-104 OT
99
104
-5
no box
H31/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
84avg 72
H04/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
56avg 72
A09/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 72
A16/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
87-72
87
72
+15
80avg 72
H18/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
95-93
95
93
+2
83avg 72
A25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
73avg 72
A30/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
19-22
19-22
10-26
24-22
10-23
20-18
22-25
27-14
22-22
18-17
25-19
20-22
23-29
24-15
17-18
26-17
24-27
23-20
16-22
19-17
9-13
14-22
32-23
24-10
20-22
12-27
32-15
21-19
23-22
16-14
27-17
24-30
28-24
20-23
23-16
27-22
19-19
12-26
22-18
168.4Avg total
84.6Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.380.0163.3+3.360%
Season at home (9)83.077.6160.6+5.467%
Season away (6)83.783.7167.3+0.050%
Last 10 (10)84.683.8168.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)84.879.8164.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.088.5159.5-17.50%
vs Similar ◀ (23)84.180.5164.7+3.648%
vs Weaker (5)90.472.6163.0+17.880%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
L
98-107
98
107
-9
100avg 71
A28/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
85-101
85
101
-16
89avg 71
H02/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
68-89
68
89
-21
62avg 71
A04/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
59-92
59
92
-33
49avg 71
H09/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
84avg 71
A11/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
66avg 71
H16/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
68-90
68
90
-22
61avg 71
A18/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
69avg 71
H23/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
69avg 71
A25/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
76-68
76
68
+8
73avg 71
H30/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-36
27-23
26-19
30-29
15-24
29-21
21-30
20-26
13-26
18-22
16-18
21-23
15-23
16-21
12-27
16-21
23-19
21-23
19-18
20-17
26-24
20-17
6-18
22-24
20-16
11-20
21-25
16-29
14-25
22-21
24-20
15-15
12-18
18-27
18-20
27-23
23-17
17-14
18-19
18-18
163.7Avg total
76.1Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.686.5163.1-9.918%
Season at home (9)76.984.7161.6-7.822%
Season away (8)76.288.6164.9-12.412%
Last 10 (10)76.187.6163.7-11.520%
Last 5 (5)73.682.0155.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)75.186.9162.0-11.818%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.884.8163.5-6.025%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
VilkaviskisNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H21/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A26/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H28/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H31/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H04/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A09/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A16/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H18/11
NKL
Silute
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A30/11
NKL
84.2Avg total
42.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.138.782.7+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.737.983.6+7.881%-
Last 30 away (14)42.239.681.8+2.657%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.584.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.682.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.543.078.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)43.639.382.8+4.370%-
vs Weaker (5)49.834.284.0+15.6100%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A28/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H02/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A04/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H09/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A11/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H16/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A18/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H23/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A25/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/11
NKL
81.2Avg total
37.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.443.881.2-6.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.142.180.1-4.033%-
Last 30 away (15)36.745.682.3-8.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.543.781.2-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.876.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.145.181.3-9.018%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.840.281.0+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.225.4
53.8%
51.9%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.25.9
27.8%
33.3%17.7
🏀 Free throws19.313.7
71.0%
70.3%13.7
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.7
51.5%
51.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.8
33.5%
33.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.313.5
73.8%
70.3%13.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
LWWWLWLWLL
Neptunas 2
WLLLLWLLLL
#9
League position
#12
+2.6
Net rating
-15.2
105.0
Offensive rating
101.1
102.5
Defensive rating
116.3
50.1%
Effective FG%
51.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
17.9%
Turnover %
21.6%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.8%
3-point %
33.5%
49.2%
Assist %
72.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 101.1Defence102.5 · 116.3Shooting50.1% · 51.1%3-point %27.8% · 33.5%Ball care17.9% · 21.6%Off. rebounds32.2% · 30.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Vilkaviskis wins
1
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
12/10/23Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis87-89
02/03/23Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 295-71
09/02/23Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis68-99
17/01/23Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 273-72
20/10/22Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis66-73
11/12/21Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis76-79
16/10/21Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 291-78
04/02/21Vilkaviskis v Neptunas 281-75
26/01/21Neptunas 2 v Vilkaviskis88-72
Vilkaviskislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23AKauno Atletas80-85
25/11/23ASilute95-93
18/11/23HDelikatesas Joniskis87-72
16/11/23ADelikatesas Joniskis88-74
09/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas 274-75
04/11/23HJurbarkas89-86
31/10/23HVytis VDU99-104 OT
28/10/23HRytas 292-72
26/10/23ATelsiai76-88
21/10/23HBC Olimpas Palanga66-89
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HSilute76-68
25/11/23AJurbarkas75-88
23/11/23HSuduva-Mantinga75-81
18/11/23AKretinga68-90
16/11/23HKretinga74-83
11/11/23AKauno Atletas83-77
09/11/23HTelsiai59-92
04/11/23ABC Olimpas Palanga68-89
02/11/23HRytas 285-101
28/10/23AVytis VDU98-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game83.383.083.7
Allowed / game80.077.683.7
Point differential+3.3+5.4+0.0
Avg total163.3160.6167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%11%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW18%
HomeLLLLW22%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %18%22%12%
Points / game76.676.976.2
Allowed / game86.584.788.6
Point differential-9.9-7.8-12.4
Avg total163.1161.6164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga1412286%83.773.1+10.6
2 Telsiai1613381%82.872.8+10.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1712571%80.571.5+9.1
4 Vytis VDU149564%88.683.6+5.1
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 21610662%78.473.7+4.8
6 Vilkaviskis159660%83.380.0+3.3
7 Jurbarkas1710759%80.878.1+2.8
8 Delikatesas Joniskis157847%77.984.9-7.1
9 Ukmerges Stekas156940%73.578.9-5.3
10 Kretinga1761135%77.782.1-4.4
11 Rytas 21651131%82.086.8-4.8
12 Silute1751229%79.183.5-4.5
13 Kauno Atletas1641225%74.782.3-7.6
14 Neptunas 21731418%76.686.5-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vilkaviskis1825202285
Neptunas 21819182883
← all games of the day
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