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Keflavik vs Thorl Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 105-86
31-31 30-19 20-19 24-17
Position#10
Record5-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game100.2
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#9
Record6-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game91.5
IcelandPremier leagueRound 11· Blue-hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Keflavik v Thorl
30 Oct 2025
KEFL86
THOR82
19 Dec 2024
KEFL105
THOR86
15 Dec 2023
KEFL102
THOR103
17 Feb 2023
KEFL83
THOR104
04 Nov 2021
KEFL80
THOR89
22 Jun 2021
KEFL97
THOR83
16 Jun 2021
KEFL73
THOR91
15 Jan 2021
KEFL115
THOR87
13 Mar 2020
KEFL78
THOR63
09 Dec 2018
KEFL91
THOR75
03 Nov 2017
KEFL98
THOR79
12 Jan 2017
KEFL82
THOR85
07 Jan 2016
KEFL91
THOR83
23 Jan 2015
KEFL114
THOR97
07 Nov 2013
KEFL97
THOR88
07 Mar 2013
KEFL106
THOR100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thorl winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Hottur
#11
L
115-120 OT
115
120
-5
96avg 87
A10/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
71avg 87
H18/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
80-104
80
104
-24
64avg 87
A24/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 87
H01/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
91-79
91
79
+12
89avg 87
A08/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
117-85
117
85
+32
111avg 87
H14/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
96-104
96
104
-8
56avg 87
H29/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
120-93
120
93
+27
126avg 87
H06/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#12
W
81-70
81
70
+11
78avg 87
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
78avg 87
A12/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
31-20
21-20
24-31
30-25
22-17
24-23
12-24
21-25
21-19
25-27
13-33
31-29
18-22
27-10
18-27
32-22
27-21
21-19
11-17
26-23
31-19
34-22
26-21
24-26
23-34
32-18
17-26
28-20
31-30
32-19
29-24
23-24
27-21
16-17
15-8
28-20
22-30
17-22
26-25
190.4Avg total
97.5Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)100.296.0196.2+4.250%
Season at home (5)103.091.8194.8+11.260%
Season away (5)97.4100.2197.6-2.840%
Last 10 (10)97.592.9190.4+4.650%
Last 5 (5)101.489.8191.2+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)100.393.0193.3+7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (19)91.594.4185.9-2.958%
vs Weaker (7)108.490.1198.6+18.386%
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
85avg 86
A10/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
92-97
92
97
-5
80avg 86
H18/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 86
A24/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
82-81
82
81
+1
82avg 86
H01/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
70-99
70
99
-29
56avg 86
A09/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
78-101
78
101
-23
68avg 86
H15/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
82-124
82
124
-42
76avg 86
A30/11
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
106-84
106
84
+22
115avg 86
H05/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
81-108
81
108
-27
77avg 86
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
93avg 86
H13/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
12-27
31-20
13-20
20-24
24-27
19-20
29-26
14-19
19-22
30-17
21-15
33-23
15-25
18-12
16-21
23-28
21-24
16-29
10-18
28-18
19-26
22-26
9-31
25-31
15-40
15-23
27-30
29-20
24-28
29-15
24-21
22-27
26-27
23-24
10-30
27-17
16-21
22-24
24-16
179.2Avg total
85.9Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.191.5178.6-4.460%
Season at home (6)90.088.5178.5+1.567%
Season away (4)82.896.0178.8-13.250%
Last 10 (10)85.993.3179.2-7.450%
Last 5 (5)87.299.0186.2-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.497.7181.1-14.329%
vs Similar ◀ (17)94.991.5186.4+3.465%
vs Weaker (5)93.684.0177.6+9.6100%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -7.6-7.6Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -4.5-4.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -7.6-7.6Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -4.5-4.5
KeflavikThorl
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hottur
#11
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A10/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H18/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A24/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H01/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A08/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H14/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H29/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H06/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#2
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A12/12
Premier league
100.2Avg total
52.3Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.846.095.8+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.545.295.7+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)49.146.995.9+2.240%-
Last 10 (10)52.347.9100.2+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)52.649.4102.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.747.3101.0+6.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)47.246.293.3+1.047%-
vs Weaker (7)55.145.3100.4+9.971%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A10/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H18/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A24/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H01/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H15/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
40-71
40
71
-31
A30/11
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H05/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#6
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H13/12
Premier league
92.5Avg total
43.7Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.846.993.7-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.646.494.1+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)45.947.493.3-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)43.748.892.5-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)46.251.097.2-4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.746.989.6-4.157%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)46.848.495.1-1.635%-
vs Weaker (5)52.440.693.0+11.880%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 96.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.7
53.0%
53.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.913.3
34.2%
34.4%39.9
🏀 Free throws22.117.4
78.7%
75.6%17.4
They take 76.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.1
56.6%
53.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.9
35.7%
34.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.112.6
73.7%
75.6%12.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWWLWWWLLL
Thorl
WLWLLLWWLW
#10
League position
#9
+5.9
Net rating
-15.5
113.5
Offensive rating
105.0
107.6
Defensive rating
120.5
52.1%
Effective FG%
55.2%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
15.1%
Turnover %
19.1%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.2%
3-point %
35.7%
54.2%
Assist %
65.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 105.0Defence107.6 · 120.5Shooting52.1% · 55.2%3-point %34.2% · 35.7%Ball care15.1% · 19.1%Off. rebounds29.7% · 21.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Keflavik   ■ Thorl
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keflavik wins
9
Thorl wins
DateGameScore
04/04/24Thorl v Keflavik106-100
15/12/23Keflavik v Thorl102-103
17/02/23Keflavik v Thorl83-104
21/11/22Thorl v Keflavik116-102
11/02/22Thorl v Keflavik114-89
04/11/21Keflavik v Thorl80-89
25/06/21Thorl v Keflavik81-66
22/06/21Keflavik v Thorl97-83
19/06/21Thorl v Keflavik88-83
16/06/21Keflavik v Thorl73-91
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24AStjarnan93-97
09/12/24HTindastoll81-70
06/12/24HTindastoll120-93
29/11/24HGrindavik96-104
14/11/24HHaukar117-85
08/11/24AIR Reykjavik91-79
01/11/24HKR Basket94-88
24/10/24AValur80-104
18/10/24HNjardvik88-89
10/10/24AHottur115-120 OT
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/24HAlftanes89-78
09/12/24HStjarnan81-108
05/12/24HHottur106-84
30/11/24AStjarnan82-124
15/11/24HTindastoll78-101
09/11/24AGrindavik70-99
01/11/24HHaukar82-81
24/10/24AIR Reykjavik84-73
18/10/24HKR Basket92-97
10/10/24AValur95-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game100.2103.097.4
Allowed / game96.091.8100.2
Point differential+4.2+11.2-2.8
Avg total196.2194.8197.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %20%0%40%
Thorl
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW60%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game87.190.082.8
Allowed / game91.588.596.0
Point differential-4.4+1.5-13.2
Avg total178.6178.5178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan109190%100.986.4+14.5
2 Tindastoll108280%96.586.3+10.2
3 Grindavik106460%96.888.2+8.6
4 Njardvik106460%89.987.3+2.6
5 Thorl106460%87.191.5-4.4
6 Keflavik105550%100.296.0+4.2
7 KR Basket105550%89.789.3+0.4
8 Alftanes104640%89.392.8-3.5
9 IR Reykjavik114736%86.193.4-7.3
10 Valur103730%91.193.3-2.2
11 Hottur103730%85.893.1-7.3
12 Haukar112918%85.499.1-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik31302024105
Thorl3119191786
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