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Stjarnan vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 97-93
20-28 30-22 22-17 25-26
Position#2
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game101.3
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game95.9
IcelandPremier leagueRound 10· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Stjarnan v Keflavik
12 Nov 2026
STJA v KEFL
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
STJA116
KEFL98
12 Dec 2024
STJA97
KEFL93
26 Oct 2023
STJA87
KEFL81
11 Jan 2023
STJA89
KEFL83
13 Oct 2022
STJA86
KEFL92
16 Mar 2022
STJA95
KEFL93
21 Jan 2022
STJA98
KEFL95
29 Jan 2021
STJA115
KEFL75
25 Oct 2019
STJA91
KEFL103
27 Jan 2019
STJA99
KEFL83
05 Mar 2018
STJA99
KEFL67
28 Oct 2016
STJA99
KEFL82
10 Mar 2016
STJA73
KEFL71
15 Jan 2015
STJA99
KEFL92
24 Mar 2014
STJA98
KEFL89
10 Oct 2013
STJA63
KEFL88
28 Mar 2013
STJA82
KEFL77
21 Mar 2013
STJA102
KEFL86
11 Oct 2012
STJA101
KEFL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
W
95-81
95
81
+14
92avg 86
H04/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
87-86
87
86
+1
83avg 86
A10/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
117-88
117
88
+29
112avg 86
H17/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
114-87
114
87
+27
110avg 86
A25/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
104-98
104
98
+6
99avg 86
H31/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 86
A03/11
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
77avg 86
H14/11
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
124-82
124
82
+42
124avg 86
H30/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
97-77
97
77
+20
63avg 86
A06/12
Premier league
Thorl
#13
W
108-81
108
81
+27
106avg 86
A09/12
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
23-16
26-31
29-16
18-28
25-18
23-24
21-16
28-11
28-23
27-29
34-25
32-29
33-16
25-18
24-24
23-25
29-23
32-18
20-32
24-28
21-27
28-19
14-18
21-25
19-13
29-16
18-26
31-25
40-15
23-15
30-27
23-20
30-23
29-17
15-17
27-22
27-26
24-23
30-10
187.2Avg total
102.0Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)101.385.7187.0+15.789%
Season at home (5)105.485.8191.2+19.6100%
Season away (4)96.285.5181.8+10.875%
Last 10 (10)102.085.2187.2+16.890%
Last 5 (5)100.682.4183.0+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)87.690.8178.4-3.260%
vs Similar (10)84.088.9172.9-4.920%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)99.383.6182.9+15.792%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
97avg 88
A03/10
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
115-120 OT
115
120
-5
96avg 88
A10/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
71avg 88
H18/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
80-104
80
104
-24
64avg 88
A24/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 88
H01/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
91-79
91
79
+12
89avg 88
A08/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
117-85
117
85
+32
111avg 88
H14/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
96-104
96
104
-8
56avg 88
H29/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
120-93
120
93
+27
126avg 88
H06/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#12
W
81-70
81
70
+11
78avg 88
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
25-23
18-31
23-17
27-32
31-20
21-20
24-31
30-25
22-17
24-23
12-24
21-25
21-19
25-27
13-33
31-29
18-22
27-10
18-27
32-22
27-21
21-19
11-17
26-23
31-19
34-22
26-21
24-26
23-34
32-18
17-26
28-20
31-30
32-19
29-24
23-24
27-21
16-17
15-8
192.3Avg total
99.0Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)101.095.9196.9+5.156%
Season at home (5)103.091.8194.8+11.260%
Season away (4)98.5101.0199.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)99.093.3192.3+5.760%
Last 5 (5)101.086.2187.2+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)104.091.0195.0+13.050%
vs Similar (19)91.594.4185.9-2.958%
vs Weaker (8)110.290.5200.8+19.888%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +7.5+7.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -4.0-4.0
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +7.5+7.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -4.0-4.0
StjarnanKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H04/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A10/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H17/10
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
65-45
65
45
+20
A25/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H31/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A03/11
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H14/11
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
71-40
71
40
+31
H30/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A06/12
Premier league
Thorl
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A09/12
Icelandic Cup
95.0Avg total
51.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.543.091.6+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.042.291.2+6.867%-
Last 30 away (15)48.143.991.9+4.267%-
Last 10 (10)51.943.195.0+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)52.644.897.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)45.245.490.6-0.240%-
vs Similar (10)44.145.990.0-1.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)53.040.593.5+12.592%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A03/10
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A10/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H18/10
Premier league
Valur
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A24/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H01/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A08/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H14/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H29/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H06/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
100.5Avg total
52.8Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.945.695.5+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.545.295.7+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)49.345.995.3+3.447%-
Last 10 (10)52.847.7100.5+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)54.448.0102.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)55.546.0101.5+9.5100%-
vs Similar (19)47.246.293.3+1.047%-
vs Weaker (8)55.044.199.1+10.975%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 99.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.025.0
53.2%
53.7%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.511.3
39.6%
34.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.315.9
78.3%
75.6%15.9
They take 75.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 98.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.3
54.9%
53.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.312.9
32.8%
34.4%38.7
🏀 Free throws23.918.9
79.1%
75.6%18.9
They take 76.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Stjarnan
WWWWLWWWWW
Keflavik
WWLWWWLLLW
#2
League position
#10
+22.5
Net rating
+6.5
121.9
Offensive rating
113.9
99.4
Defensive rating
107.4
55.6%
Effective FG%
52.0%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.7%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.6%
3-point %
32.8%
62.3%
Assist %
53.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.9 · 113.9Defence99.4 · 107.4Shooting55.6% · 52.0%3-point %39.6% · 32.8%Ball care13.9% · 15.7%Off. rebounds33.4% · 31.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Stjarnan   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Stjarnan wins
6
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
19/03/24Keflavik v Stjarnan113-94
26/01/24Keflavik v Stjarnan97-89
26/10/23Stjarnan v Keflavik87-81
20/01/23Keflavik v Stjarnan115-87
11/01/23Stjarnan v Keflavik89-83
13/10/22Stjarnan v Keflavik86-92
16/03/22Stjarnan v Keflavik95-93 OT
21/01/22Stjarnan v Keflavik98-95 OT
15/10/21Keflavik v Stjarnan80-65
23/04/21Keflavik v Stjarnan100-81
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/24AThorl108-81
06/12/24AAlftanes97-77
30/11/24HThorl124-82
14/11/24HHottur87-80
03/11/24ATindastoll87-92
31/10/24HGrindavik104-98
25/10/24AHaukar114-87
17/10/24HIR Reykjavik117-88
10/10/24AKR Basket87-86
04/10/24HValur95-81
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/24HTindastoll81-70
06/12/24HTindastoll120-93
29/11/24HGrindavik96-104
14/11/24HHaukar117-85
08/11/24AIR Reykjavik91-79
01/11/24HKR Basket94-88
24/10/24AValur80-104
18/10/24HNjardvik88-89
10/10/24AHottur115-120 OT
03/10/24AAlftanes108-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game101.3105.496.2
Allowed / game85.785.885.5
Point differential+15.7+19.6+10.8
Avg total187.0191.2181.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keflavik
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game101.0103.098.5
Allowed / game95.991.8101.0
Point differential+5.1+11.2-2.5
Avg total196.9194.8199.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %22%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan98189%101.385.7+15.7
2 Tindastoll97278%96.887.4+9.3
3 Njardvik96367%91.486.6+4.9
4 Grindavik95456%96.888.0+8.8
5 Keflavik95456%101.095.9+5.1
6 Thorl95456%86.993.0-6.1
7 KR Basket94544%88.989.4-0.6
8 Alftanes94544%90.693.2-2.7
9 Valur93633%91.292.9-1.7
10 Hottur93633%86.694.3-7.8
11 IR Reykjavik93633%85.894.7-8.9
12 Haukar91811%83.9100.0-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Stjarnan2030222597
Keflavik2822172693
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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