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Valur vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 104-80
25-21 19-21 27-25 33-13
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game96.7
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#10
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game103.7
Allowed / game103.3
IcelandPremier leagueRound 4· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valur v Keflavik
18 Mar 2027
VALU v KEFL
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
VALU90
KEFL76
11 Apr 2026
VALU79
KEFL78
02 Apr 2026
VALU75
KEFL78
12 Jan 2026
VALU93
KEFL94
11 Dec 2025
VALU111
KEFL91
24 Oct 2024
VALU104
KEFL80
18 Jan 2024
VALU105
KEFL82
02 Dec 2022
VALU75
KEFL100
05 Mar 2022
VALU88
KEFL74
12 Feb 2021
VALU85
KEFL72
29 Jan 2020
VALU68
KEFL96
14 Dec 2018
VALU77
KEFL86
04 Jan 2018
VALU84
KEFL87
31 Oct 2013
VALU76
KEFL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
88-91
88
91
-3
73avg 79
A11/05
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
71avg 79
H14/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
89-79
89
79
+10
88avg 79
H17/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
89-93
89
93
-4
84avg 79
A20/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
80-62
80
62
+18
72avg 79
H23/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 79
A26/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
80-73
80
73
+7
76avg 79
H29/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
81-95
81
95
-14
63avg 79
A04/10
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
78avg 79
H10/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
94avg 79
A17/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
31-22
19-24
16-20
27-29
17-21
16-15
25-17
21-22
16-15
32-21
20-21
29-20
23-25
21-21
16-27
21-19
16-18
27-11
16-14
25-23
18-21
15-14
20-22
27-22
22-18
19-17
12-16
18-17
16-23
31-26
16-29
14-25
27-12
20-31
20-13
20-19
17-21
19-27
32-21
171.1Avg total
86.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.796.7187.3-6.033%
Season at home (1)88.095.0183.0-7.00%
Season away (2)92.097.5189.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)86.185.0171.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)86.088.6174.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.095.0176.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.385.1170.4+0.164%
vs Weaker (15)92.382.8175.1+9.580%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
83avg 88
H19/04
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
114-85
114
85
+29
121avg 88
A23/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
94-102
94
102
-8
81avg 88
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
79avg 88
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
71-96
71
96
-25
56avg 88
A08/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
89-82
89
82
+7
85avg 88
H12/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
63-112
63
112
-49
48avg 88
A14/05
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
97avg 88
A03/10
Premier league
Hottur
#11
L
115-120 OT
115
120
-5
96avg 88
A10/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
71avg 88
H18/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
25-16
25-25
19-15
28-14
30-25
33-21
23-25
23-26
31-30
18-21
22-25
26-17
18-24
18-20
22-22
19-21
16-26
27-30
9-19
27-16
26-25
16-14
20-27
17-10
23-31
9-40
14-31
30-25
25-23
18-31
23-17
27-32
31-20
21-20
24-31
30-25
22-17
24-23
12-24
186.8Avg total
91.4Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)103.7103.3207.0+0.333%
Season at home (1)88.089.0177.0-1.00%
Season away (2)111.5110.5222.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)91.495.4186.8-4.050%
Last 5 (5)92.6100.8193.4-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.097.0182.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)93.493.9187.3-0.461%
vs Weaker (9)107.290.3197.6+16.989%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.8-4.8
ValurKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A11/05
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H14/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A20/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H23/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A26/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H29/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A04/10
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H10/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A17/10
Premier league
84.4Avg total
42.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.042.186.1+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.540.884.3+2.756%-
Last 30 away (14)44.643.688.2+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.784.4+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.281.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.040.074.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.843.687.4+0.243%-
vs Weaker (15)44.940.985.8+4.160%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H19/04
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A23/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A08/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H12/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A14/05
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A03/10
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A10/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H18/10
Premier league
94.4Avg total
49.3Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.145.694.8+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.545.294.7+4.364%-
Last 30 away (16)48.846.094.8+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)49.345.194.4+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)51.644.896.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.047.090.0-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)47.346.593.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker (9)53.344.097.3+9.367%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.1
48.5%
53.7%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.0
33.4%
34.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.716.1
70.9%
75.6%16.1
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.2
48.7%
53.7%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.812.9
34.1%
34.4%38.7
🏀 Free throws21.017.4
82.9%
75.6%17.4
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WLLWLWLWWL
Keflavik
LLWLWLWLWW
#5
League position
#10
+1.4
Net rating
-5.5
105.8
Offensive rating
107.7
104.5
Defensive rating
113.2
49.3%
Effective FG%
50.0%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.4%
3-point %
34.1%
55.7%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 107.7Defence104.5 · 113.2Shooting49.3% · 50.0%3-point %33.4% · 34.1%Ball care15.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds28.9% · 27.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Valur   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valur wins
6
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
18/01/24Valur v Keflavik105-82
19/10/23Keflavik v Valur87-86
10/03/23Keflavik v Valur80-111
02/12/22Valur v Keflavik75-100
05/03/22Valur v Keflavik88-74
19/11/21Keflavik v Valur79-78
07/05/21Keflavik v Valur101-82
12/02/21Valur v Keflavik85-72
29/01/20Valur v Keflavik68-96
31/10/19Keflavik v Valur92-82
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24AAlftanes103-100 OT
10/10/24HThorl88-95 OT
04/10/24AStjarnan81-95
29/05/24HGrindavik80-73
26/05/24AGrindavik78-80
23/05/24HGrindavik80-62
20/05/24AGrindavik89-93
17/05/24HGrindavik89-79
14/05/24HNjardvik85-82
11/05/24ANjardvik88-91
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/24HNjardvik88-89
10/10/24AHottur115-120 OT
03/10/24AAlftanes108-101 OT
14/05/24AGrindavik63-112
12/05/24HGrindavik89-82
08/05/24AGrindavik71-96
04/05/24HGrindavik84-83
30/04/24AGrindavik94-102
23/04/24AAlftanes114-85
19/04/24HAlftanes88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game90.788.092.0
Allowed / game96.795.097.5
Point differential-6.0-7.0-5.5
Avg total187.3183.0189.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %67%100%50%
Keflavik
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game103.788.0111.5
Allowed / game103.389.0110.5
Point differential+0.3-1.0+1.0
Avg total207.0177.0222.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %67%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik330100%101.781.7+20.0
2 Stjarnan330100%99.785.0+14.7
3 Tindastoll32167%94.784.7+10.0
4 KR Basket32167%92.388.0+4.3
5 Njardvik32167%89.387.0+2.3
6 Thorl32167%93.391.7+1.7
7 Hottur32167%104.0102.7+1.3
8 Keflavik31233%103.7103.3+0.3
9 Valur31233%90.796.7-6.0
10 Alftanes3030%93.7100.0-6.3
11 IR Reykjavik3030%83.7103.3-19.7
12 Haukar3030%79.3102.0-22.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur25192733104
Keflavik2121251380
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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