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Thorl vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 106-100
20-27 29-26 22-16 35-31
Position#4
Record14-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game89.9
Thorl 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#3
Record15-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game91.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 22· Icelandic Glacial hollin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Thorl v Keflavik
30 Jan 2026
THOR78
KEFL98
27 Mar 2025
THOR114
KEFL119
04 Apr 2024
THOR106
KEFL100
21 Nov 2022
THOR116
KEFL102
11 Feb 2022
THOR114
KEFL89
25 Jun 2021
THOR81
KEFL66
19 Jun 2021
THOR88
KEFL83
07 Mar 2021
THOR88
KEFL94
13 Dec 2019
THOR89
KEFL81
07 Mar 2019
THOR99
KEFL103
02 Feb 2018
THOR76
KEFL79
14 Oct 2016
THOR74
KEFL71
16 Oct 2015
THOR101
KEFL104
24 Oct 2014
THOR80
KEFL75
07 Feb 2014
THOR93
KEFL94
07 Dec 2012
THOR108
KEFL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Thorl winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Valur
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
73avg 87
A04/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
98-92
98
92
+6
87avg 87
H12/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
87avg 87
A19/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
83avg 87
H25/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
104-94
104
94
+10
101avg 87
A01/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
84-92
84
92
-8
79avg 87
H08/02
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
105-82
105
82
+23
109avg 87
A15/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
100-110
100
110
-10
98avg 87
H07/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
87-79
87
79
+8
84avg 87
A14/03
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
104-96
104
96
+8
98avg 87
A28/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
21-19
24-27
19-29
31-33
22-24
22-23
23-12
24-19
25-20
23-21
19-21
23-33
22-24
22-13
22-22
26-28
24-25
30-17
24-24
22-18
21-22
21-24
20-28
30-12
28-28
25-24
22-18
30-35
18-16
30-36
22-23
18-19
22-20
24-19
23-21
35-12
19-29
29-21
21-34
185.2Avg total
94.4Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)92.089.9181.9+2.167%
Season at home (10)92.290.5182.7+1.760%
Season away (11)91.889.4181.2+2.573%
Last 10 (10)94.490.8185.2+3.660%
Last 5 (5)96.091.8187.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.292.8177.0-8.50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)90.590.0180.5+0.465%
vs Weaker (6)98.387.3185.7+11.0100%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Hottur
#8
W
123-93
123
93
+30
121avg 92
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
W
97-89
97
89
+8
83avg 92
H26/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
104-93
104
93
+11
100avg 92
A01/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
114-109 OT
114
109
+5
no box
A16/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
54avg 92
H08/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
110-71
110
71
+39
111avg 92
H11/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
108-89
108
89
+19
101avg 92
A14/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
113-94
113
94
+19
115avg 92
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#2
W
92-79
92
79
+13
86avg 92
A23/03
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
W
127-114
127
114
+13
124avg 92
H28/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
25-15
37-31
32-26
25-22
25-21
26-32
21-14
31-35
30-26
22-19
21-13
21-28
23-26
20-17
23-16
11-32
21-16
20-16
22-23
35-16
27-23
22-17
26-15
32-25
24-13
25-21
27-30
27-24
23-17
34-26
29-27
21-22
21-22
31-23
19-12
28-29
29-25
30-33
40-27
198.0Avg total
106.2Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)98.091.0189.1+7.071%
Season at home (11)98.488.5186.9+9.882%
Season away (10)97.793.8191.5+3.960%
Last 10 (10)106.291.8198.0+14.490%
Last 5 (5)110.089.4199.4+20.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.995.6183.4-7.729%
vs Similar ◀ (11)99.492.9192.3+6.564%
vs Weaker (11)102.387.7190.0+14.591%
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +5.7+5.7
ThorlKeflavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A04/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H12/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A19/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H25/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A01/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H08/02
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A15/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H07/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A14/03
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A28/03
Premier league
93.0Avg total
47.9Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.144.390.4+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.044.992.9+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)44.443.988.3+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)47.945.193.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)48.642.290.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.240.881.0-0.575%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)45.546.091.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (6)52.041.293.2+10.883%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hottur
#8
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A01/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A16/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H08/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H11/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A14/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/03
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A23/03
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H28/03
Premier league
96.6Avg total
50.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.245.493.6+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.545.594.0+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)47.945.293.1+2.747%-
Last 10 (10)50.845.896.6+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)53.443.296.6+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.146.088.1-3.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)48.546.494.8+2.155%-
vs Weaker (11)51.044.395.3+6.755%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.324.4
57.7%
51.2%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.811.1
33.8%
34.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws15.511.1
71.6%
74.4%11.1
They take 75.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 102.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.6
56.4%
51.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.614.6
38.8%
34.2%43.8
🏀 Free throws22.117.2
77.8%
74.4%17.2
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Thorl
WWLWLWLWWL
Keflavik
WWWWWLWWWW
#4
League position
#3
+3.9
Net rating
+13.9
114.8
Offensive rating
120.2
110.8
Defensive rating
106.3
54.7%
Effective FG%
57.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
11.9%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.8%
3-point %
38.8%
63.9%
Assist %
62.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 120.2Defence110.8 · 106.3Shooting54.7% · 57.4%3-point %33.8% · 38.8%Ball care15.6% · 11.9%Off. rebounds32.5% · 22.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Thorl   ■ Keflavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Thorl wins
2
Keflavik wins
DateGameScore
15/12/23Keflavik v Thorl102-103
17/02/23Keflavik v Thorl83-104
21/11/22Thorl v Keflavik116-102
11/02/22Thorl v Keflavik114-89
04/11/21Keflavik v Thorl80-89
25/06/21Thorl v Keflavik81-66
22/06/21Keflavik v Thorl97-83
19/06/21Thorl v Keflavik88-83
16/06/21Keflavik v Thorl73-91
07/03/21Thorl v Keflavik88-94
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24AHamar104-96
14/03/24ATindastoll87-79
07/03/24HNjardvik100-110
15/02/24ABreidablik105-82
08/02/24HGrindavik84-92
01/02/24AAlftanes104-94
25/01/24HHottur89-92
19/01/24AHaukar91-81
12/01/24HStjarnan98-92
04/01/24AValur82-90
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24HNjardvik127-114
23/03/24ATindastoll92-79
19/03/24HStjarnan113-94
14/03/24ABreidablik108-89
11/03/24HHottur110-71
08/03/24HGrindavik74-87
16/02/24AAlftanes114-109 OT
01/02/24AHaukar104-93
26/01/24HStjarnan97-89
21/01/24AHottur123-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Thorl
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWLLL60%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %67%60%73%
Points / game92.092.291.8
Allowed / game89.990.589.4
Point differential+2.1+1.7+2.5
Avg total181.9182.7181.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%20%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keflavik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayWLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%82%60%
Points / game98.098.497.7
Allowed / game91.088.593.8
Point differential+7.0+9.8+3.9
Avg total189.1186.9191.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%55%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur2117481%92.083.1+8.9
2 Keflavik2115671%98.091.0+7.0
3 Njardvik2115671%95.088.1+6.8
4 Grindavik2114767%93.387.0+6.4
5 Thorl2114767%92.089.9+2.1
6 Alftanes2112957%85.082.9+2.0
7 Hottur21111052%84.085.0-1.0
8 Tindastoll21101148%85.684.7+1.0
9 Stjarnan21101148%86.485.7+0.7
10 Haukar2151624%87.391.1-3.8
11 Breidablik2121910%86.0101.0-15.0
12 Hamar211205%83.898.8-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Thorl20292235106
Keflavik27261631100
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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