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Keila KK vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 63-86
16-16 20-19 12-34 15-17
Position#14
Record4-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Rapla 🏆
Position#9
Record12-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game82.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus
Other2024
Meetings · Keila KK v Rapla
04 Mar 2025
KEIL63
RAPL86
15 Dec 2023
KEIL75
RAPL86
13 Jan 2023
KEIL71
RAPL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#5
L
91-99
91
99
-8
79avg 61
A08/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
60-93
60
93
-33
50avg 61
H11/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
54-90
54
90
-36
42avg 61
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 61
H18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
L
82-91
82
91
-9
66avg 61
A25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
79-85
79
85
-6
70avg 61
A29/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
90-77
90
77
+13
82avg 61
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
71-77
71
77
-6
65avg 61
H22/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
63-90
63
90
-27
44avg 61
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 61
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-30
26-24
24-26
14-19
21-28
13-26
12-20
16-25
14-18
13-31
11-16
27-18
16-24
17-15
24-22
6-27
27-29
25-16
24-19
23-26
23-18
21-18
12-23
21-19
24-23
22-17
23-18
14-26
21-16
22-13
14-22
13-22
21-25
9-14
20-29
26-18
27-32
20-18
16-10
162.2Avg total
76.3Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)73.489.6163.0-16.217%
Season at home (13)73.185.8158.8-12.731%
Season away (11)73.894.1167.9-20.30%
Last 10 (10)76.385.9162.2-9.630%
Last 5 (5)78.481.4159.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)72.091.7163.7-19.610%
vs Similar (10)76.277.1153.3-0.940%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#5
L
57-71
57
71
-14
45avg 70
A18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 70
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
70avg 70
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
94avg 70
A15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
82-64
82
64
+18
84avg 70
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
92-80
92
80
+12
88avg 70
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
99-111 OT
99
111
-12
93avg 70
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 70
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
113-76
113
76
+37
117avg 70
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
85avg 70
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
13-23
12-6
10-17
23-21
27-22
13-27
14-12
14-24
25-24
14-21
23-21
14-24
27-11
29-18
29-28
17-18
24-19
24-16
17-11
30-24
21-22
25-19
16-15
21-18
24-23
28-23
19-28
15-24
21-23
28-15
17-23
24-15
30-15
28-17
31-29
19-28
18-21
21-20
29-14
168.6Avg total
86.3Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.882.7165.5+0.150%
Season at home (12)90.684.2174.8+6.375%
Season away (12)75.181.2156.2-6.125%
Last 10 (10)86.382.3168.6+4.050%
Last 5 (5)94.487.0181.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)68.480.0148.4-11.631%
vs Similar (9)87.989.2177.1-1.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.974.2162.1+13.688%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
Keila KKRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#5
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H11/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A25/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A29/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H22/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
85.7Avg total
39.5Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.843.779.5-7.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.242.580.7-4.338%-
Last 30 away (14)33.145.078.1-11.914%-
Last 10 (10)39.546.285.7-6.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.087.6-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.846.582.2-10.820%-
vs Similar (10)35.938.073.9-2.140%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H08/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H26/02
Latvia-Estonian League
85.3Avg total
42.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.279.9-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.740.383.0+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)36.740.176.8-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.485.3+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.687.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.938.874.7-2.838%-
vs Similar (9)41.443.084.4-1.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.939.483.2+4.575%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.7
49.6%
51.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.67.3
27.4%
32.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.412.2
74.4%
70.6%12.2
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.7
54.7%
51.9%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.6
33.5%
32.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.515.0
69.8%
70.6%15.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
WLLWLLWLLL
Rapla
WWLLWWWLLL
#14
League position
#9
-12.1
Net rating
+4.6
93.8
Offensive rating
108.9
105.9
Defensive rating
104.3
46.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
19.7%
Turnover %
15.1%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.4%
3-point %
33.5%
56.4%
Assist %
68.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 108.9Defence105.9 · 104.3Shooting46.3% · 53.1%3-point %27.4% · 33.5%Ball care19.7% · 15.1%Off. rebounds25.1% · 24.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Keila KK   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keila KK wins
4
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
15/10/24Rapla v Keila KK100-73
20/01/24Rapla v Keila KK86-94
15/12/23Keila KK v Rapla75-86
13/01/23Keila KK v Rapla71-85
29/11/22Rapla v Keila KK67-59
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HLatvijas Universitate89-78
26/02/25HTartu Ulikool63-90
22/02/25HVentspils71-77
01/02/25HBK Liepaja90-77
29/01/25AViimsi79-85
25/01/25AParnu82-91
18/01/25HKeila Coolbet84-79
14/01/25AValmiera Glass Via54-90
11/01/25HBC Kalev/Cramo60-93
08/01/25ABK Ogre91-99
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HKeila Coolbet87-83
08/02/25HParnu113-76
05/02/25ATal Tech81-85
31/01/25HBK Liepaja99-111 OT
28/01/25HTartu Ulikool92-80
21/01/25HViimsi82-64
15/01/25ABK Liepaja99-81
14/01/25AVentspils76-90
28/12/24ABC Kalev/Cramo77-82
18/12/24ABK Ogre57-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW17%
HomeWWLLW31%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %17%31%0%
Points / game73.473.173.8
Allowed / game89.685.894.1
Point differential-16.2-12.7-20.3
Avg total163.0158.8167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game82.890.675.1
Allowed / game82.784.281.2
Point differential+0.1+6.3-6.1
Avg total165.5174.8156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %12%17%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga2321291%83.468.0+15.3
2 BC Kalev/Cramo2420483%87.574.0+13.5
3 Rigas Zelli2620677%82.969.7+13.2
4 Tartu Ulikool2416867%82.780.1+2.6
5 Valmiera Glass Via25151060%82.076.8+5.2
6 BK Ogre25151060%81.977.4+4.5
7 BK Liepaja25131252%82.982.4+0.5
8 Ventspils24121250%88.885.1+3.7
9 Rapla24121250%82.882.7+0.1
10 Parnu25111444%81.383.3-2.0
11 Tal Tech24101442%79.583.5-4.0
12 Keila Coolbet2471729%78.085.0-7.1
13 Viimsi2451921%71.585.7-14.2
14 Keila KK2442017%73.489.6-16.2
15 Latvijas Universitate252238%69.885.0-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keila KK1620121563
Rapla1619341786
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