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Keila KK vs VEF Riga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record4-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record7-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus
Other2026
Meetings · Keila KK v VEF Riga
19 Dec 2026
KEIL v VRI
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
KEIL80
VRI105
09 Nov 2024
KEIL78
VRI90
06 Mar 2024
KEIL72
VRI77
02 Dec 2022
KEIL76
VRI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
54avg 64
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
60-90
60
90
-30
43avg 64
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
82-106
82
106
-24
77avg 64
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#7
W
75-70
75
70
+5
68avg 64
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
71-89
71
89
-18
56avg 64
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
81-60
81
60
+21
80avg 64
H20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
70-103
70
103
-33
58avg 64
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
74avg 64
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
58-79
58
79
-21
43avg 64
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
28-24
12-33
18-23
21-33
10-21
10-17
19-19
30-38
17-22
16-18
19-28
21-24
19-12
20-11
15-23
19-19
21-23
9-26
22-21
22-19
17-20
25-11
17-10
18-25
21-27
14-26
17-25
28-19
24-27
12-11
14-15
17-20
19-21
12-16
10-22
22-17
17-19
27-18
13-12
155.9Avg total
72.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.781.7154.3-9.044%
Season at home (5)74.081.2155.2-7.240%
Season away (4)71.082.2153.2-11.250%
Last 10 (10)72.883.1155.9-10.340%
Last 5 (5)73.276.0149.2-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)77.094.5171.5-17.510%
vs Similar (8)89.185.4174.5+3.875%
vs Weaker (1)81.060.0141.0+21.0100%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#6
W
90-70
90
70
+20
84avg 85
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
W
110-94
110
94
+16
117avg 85
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
W
89-72
89
72
+17
84avg 85
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#19
L
84-92
84
92
-8
77avg 85
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 85
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#6
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 85
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
69avg 85
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#45
W
97-65
97
65
+32
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
L
88-104
88
104
-16
no box
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
21-18
28-19
23-18
24-26
26-30
30-16
30-22
17-19
19-15
29-17
24-21
23-20
17-20
22-25
22-27
22-16
20-17
27-27
28-29
26-20
21-20
25-18
16-33
34-25
17-15
9-18
14-28
26-14
27-14
21-22
23-15
25-27
14-18
26-30
23-29
20-24
22-28
22-17
21-14
174.8Avg total
90.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.675.0164.6+14.678%
Season at home (5)87.867.8155.6+20.080%
Season away (4)91.884.0175.8+7.875%
Last 10 (10)90.284.6174.8+5.660%
Last 5 (5)86.485.8172.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)86.689.6176.2-3.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.373.5161.8+14.981%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
Keila KKVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
85.3Avg total
40.7Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.046.588.5-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.546.487.9-4.925%-
Last 30 away (14)42.546.789.2-4.236%-
Last 10 (10)40.744.685.3-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.883.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.648.188.7-7.519%-
vs Similar (8)46.043.489.4+2.662%-
vs Weaker (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#7
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#19
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Fribourg Olympic
#45
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
84.0Avg total
43.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.539.184.5+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.138.584.5+7.693%-
Last 30 away (15)44.939.784.5+5.260%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.184.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.087.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)43.539.883.2+3.888%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.038.484.4+7.771%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.9
47.2%
52.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.6
33.9%
31.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.812.4
62.6%
68.3%12.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.723.1
58.2%
52.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
31.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.018.4
70.8%
68.3%18.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
WLWLWLWLLL
VEF Riga
WLWLLWLWWW
#11
League position
#2
-15.2
Net rating
+14.5
79.3
Offensive rating
101.3
94.5
Defensive rating
86.9
48.7%
Effective FG%
53.7%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
20.2%
Turnover %
12.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.9%
3-point %
31.5%
56.9%
Assist %
77.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence79.3 · 101.3Defence94.5 · 86.9Shooting48.7% · 53.7%3-point %33.9% · 31.5%Ball care20.2% · 12.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Keila KK   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keila KK wins
9
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
29/09/26VEF Riga v Keila KK90-60
15/11/25Keila KK v VEF Riga80-105
30/09/25VEF Riga v Keila KK122-74
11/03/25VEF Riga v Keila KK94-71
09/11/24Keila KK v VEF Riga78-90
06/03/24Keila KK v VEF Riga72-77
25/11/23VEF Riga v Keila KK81-60
09/01/23VEF Riga v Keila KK95-48
02/12/22Keila KK v VEF Riga76-88
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26ARigas Juniori79-66
31/10/26HTal Tech58-79
27/10/26HViimsi78-72
24/10/26ARigas Zelli70-103
20/10/26HKeila Coolbet81-60
17/10/26HTartu Ulikool71-89
10/10/26AParnu75-70
03/10/26HValmiera Glass Via82-106
29/09/26AVEF Riga60-90
14/03/26HValmiera Glass Via74-96
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ALok. Plovdiv85-83
08/11/26AViimsi88-104
04/11/26AFribourg Olympic97-65
31/10/26HTartu Ulikool74-86
28/10/26HMykonos88-91
24/10/26AValmiera Glass Via97-89
21/10/26ACSM Oradea84-92
17/10/26HParnu89-72
14/10/26ANeftchi IK110-94
10/10/26ATal Tech90-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW44%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game72.774.071.0
Allowed / game81.781.282.2
Point differential-9.0-7.2-11.2
Avg total154.3155.2153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL78%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game89.687.891.8
Allowed / game75.067.884.0
Point differential+14.6+20.0+7.8
Avg total164.6155.6175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli880100%93.874.4+19.4
2 VEF Riga97278%89.675.0+14.6
3 Valmiera Glass Via97278%89.976.9+13.0
4 Ventspils96367%86.282.0+4.2
5 Tartu Ulikool85362%82.876.4+6.4
6 Tal Tech106460%73.773.8-0.1
7 Parnu74357%78.978.1+0.7
8 BC Kalev/Cramo84450%84.682.6+2.0
9 BK Ogre84450%87.486.4+1.0
10 BK Liepaja94544%83.676.0+7.6
11 Keila KK94544%72.781.7-9.0
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi102820%74.586.2-11.7
14 Latvijas Universitate91811%76.991.9-15.0
15 Keila Coolbet9090%70.391.1-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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