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Keila KK vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 80-79 (OT)
11-13 25-14 20-18 10-21 14-13
Position#5
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#6
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game72.3
EstoniaKorvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - Quarter-finals· Keila Tervisekeskus
Other2023-24
Meetings · Keila KK v Parnu
09 Jan 2027
KEIL v PAR
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
KEIL70
PAR97
28 Dec 2024
KEIL68
PAR98
01 May 2024
KEIL80
PAR79
26 Apr 2024
KEIL93
PAR69
26 Jan 2024
KEIL88
PAR93
07 Oct 2022
KEIL90
PAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
W
97-89
97
89
+8
89avg 68
H09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
65-89
65
89
-24
44avg 68
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 68
H06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
74-79
74
79
-5
56avg 68
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
59-113
59
113
-54
40avg 68
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
83-74
83
74
+9
79avg 68
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
59avg 68
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
52avg 68
A24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
93-69
93
69
+24
88avg 68
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
53-60
53
60
-7
38avg 68
A28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
31-26
21-28
19-20
21-28
16-26
16-15
12-20
11-24
14-20
25-17
22-16
19-22
22-16
13-18
20-23
11-31
20-30
13-30
15-22
21-12
29-21
7-21
26-20
16-17
19-22
24-17
18-24
20-22
9-19
21-22
21-16
22-18
24-19
27-20
20-12
11-14
7-13
20-12
15-21
155.3Avg total
74.4Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.369.3141.7+3.033%
Season at home (1)93.069.0162.0+24.0100%
Season away (2)62.069.5131.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)74.480.9155.3-6.530%
Last 5 (5)75.472.4147.8+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)77.492.9170.4-15.56%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.078.4158.4+1.643%
vs Weaker (6)88.381.3169.7+7.083%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
56-61
56
61
-5
46avg 70
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 70
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 70
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
82-75
82
75
+7
85avg 70
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
74-101
74
101
-27
69avg 70
A23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 70
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
52avg 70
H01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#5
W
79-71
79
71
+8
87avg 70
H24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
69-93
69
93
-24
63avg 70
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
60-53
60
53
+7
57avg 70
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
8-10
7-15
23-17
21-20
25-26
19-15
19-21
22-19
11-16
18-25
22-22
17-14
26-14
16-22
23-25
15-24
28-23
20-28
11-26
30-13
12-25
18-25
17-20
16-18
19-18
13-17
15-24
22-20
19-9
22-21
16-21
18-22
19-24
20-27
12-20
14-11
13-7
12-20
21-15
149.5Avg total
71.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.372.3141.7-3.067%
Season at home (2)69.562.0131.5+7.5100%
Season away (1)69.093.0162.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)71.777.8149.5-6.140%
Last 5 (5)69.675.4145.0-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.984.4158.3-10.515%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.875.8150.6-1.060%
vs Weaker (7)84.969.9154.7+15.086%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.2-3.2
Keila KKParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
31-61
31
61
-30
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
18-27
18
27
-9
A28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
78.4Avg total
36.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.645.384.9-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.545.486.9-3.929%-
Last 30 away (16)37.945.283.1-7.225%-
Last 10 (10)36.941.578.4-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.471.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.749.286.9-11.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.340.078.3-1.729%-
vs Weaker (6)46.540.587.0+6.067%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#5
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
27-18
27
18
+9
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
72.5Avg total
37.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.276.7+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.535.873.2+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)39.541.180.6-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)37.335.272.5+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.433.469.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.643.180.7-5.523%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.835.171.9+1.760%-
vs Weaker (7)42.333.776.0+8.671%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.8 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.714.6
42.1%
47.8%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.1
34.4%
31.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.313.9
76.0%
69.4%13.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.8 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.5
50.3%
47.8%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.8
29.9%
31.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.814.5
69.7%
69.4%14.5
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
LWLLWLLLLW
Parnu
WLWLLLWLWL
#5
League position
#6
-8.6
Net rating
-7.9
96.7
Offensive rating
95.4
105.3
Defensive rating
103.3
46.4%
Effective FG%
47.9%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
19.9%
19.3%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.4%
3-point %
29.9%
54.3%
Assist %
74.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 95.4Defence105.3 · 103.3Shooting46.4% · 47.9%3-point %34.4% · 29.9%Ball care15.2% · 19.9%Off. rebounds19.3% · 23.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Keila KK   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keila KK wins
6
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
28/04/24Parnu v Keila KK60-53
26/04/24Keila KK v Parnu93-69
24/04/24Parnu v Keila KK79-71
26/01/24Keila KK v Parnu88-93
27/09/23Parnu v Keila KK83-66
18/01/23Parnu v Keila KK89-66
07/10/22Keila KK v Parnu90-92
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24AParnu53-60
26/04/24HParnu93-69
24/04/24AParnu71-79
24/03/24HValmiera Glass Via77-80
20/03/24HTallinna Kalev83-74
17/03/24APrometey59-113
09/03/24ALatvijas Universitate74-79
06/03/24HVEF Riga72-77
02/03/24ABK Ogre65-89
09/02/24HBK Liepaja97-89
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24HKeila KK60-53
26/04/24AKeila KK69-93
24/04/24HKeila KK79-71
01/04/24HBC Kalev/Cramo63-77
29/03/24ABC Kalev/Cramo77-83
23/03/24APrometey74-101
17/03/24ATallinna Kalev82-75
09/03/24HBK Ogre73-82
07/03/24HTartu Ulikool84-82
05/03/24AValmiera Glass Via56-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game72.393.062.0
Allowed / game69.369.069.5
Point differential+3.0+24.0-7.5
Avg total141.7162.0131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game69.369.569.0
Allowed / game72.362.093.0
Point differential-3.0+7.5-24.0
Avg total141.7131.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo330100%86.059.3+26.7
2 Tartu Ulikool330100%87.369.0+18.3
3 Tal Tech32167%83.379.0+4.3
4 Parnu32167%69.372.3-3.0
5 Keila KK31233%72.369.3+3.0
6 Rapla31233%79.083.3-4.3
7 Viimsi3030%69.087.3-18.3
8 Tallinna Kalev3030%59.386.0-26.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Keila KK112520101480
Parnu131418211379
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