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Kent State vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 76-75
36-39 40-36
Position#74
Record14-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game64.4
vs
Position#54
Record18-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kent State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kent StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#243
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A08/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
68-49
68
49
+19
A10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H15/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H18/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A22/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H29/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H01/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
70-49
70
49
+21
A04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
36-39
35-21
33-29
24-20
44-29
40-46
43-48
41-32
20-38
44-30
39-34
29-28
30-33
41-23
34-34
31-48
40-37
33-24
37-25
135.9Avg total
70.5Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)70.064.4134.4+5.664%
Season at home (11)73.868.4142.2+5.555%
Season away (11)66.260.5126.6+5.773%
Last 10 (10)70.565.4135.9+5.150%
Last 5 (5)71.663.2134.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.770.3120.0-20.70%
vs Similar ◀ (12)66.867.3134.2-0.542%
vs Weaker (13)74.863.7138.5+11.285%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A04/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A10/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H17/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
85-59
85
59
+26
H18/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H24/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H25/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A30/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-33
23-34
31-41
31-35
34-43
50-35
44-24
39-39
44-19
41-40
30-25
35-30
36-34
44-31
37-41
44-27
39-33
46-41
35-29
37-48
144.1Avg total
75.9Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.669.6148.2+9.075%
Season at home (13)78.064.8142.8+13.285%
Season away (11)79.375.4154.6+3.964%
Last 10 (10)75.968.2144.1+7.770%
Last 5 (5)76.667.8144.4+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.078.0147.0-9.050%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.177.6159.8+4.562%
vs Weaker (18)76.166.3142.4+9.778%
This opponent (Kent State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +3.0+3.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +3.0+3.0
Kent StateArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kent StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#243
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A08/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H15/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A22/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A25/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H29/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H01/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A04/02
NCAA
65.7Avg total
34.9Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.530.262.7+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.231.466.5+3.854%-
Last 30 away (17)30.529.459.8+1.165%-
Last 10 (10)34.930.865.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.630.666.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)20.732.753.3-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.531.863.3-0.358%-
vs Weaker (13)34.527.862.4+6.777%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/01
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H17/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
44-19
44
19
+25
H18/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H25/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A06/02
NCAA
69.1Avg total
36.9Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.032.670.7+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.129.868.8+9.375%-
Last 30 away (14)36.935.972.8+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)36.932.269.1+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)35.432.467.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.535.571.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.839.877.5-2.038%-
vs Weaker (18)37.429.566.9+7.978%-
This opponent (Kent State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kent State wins
0
Arkansas State wins
No previous meetings.
Kent Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25AEastern Michigan70-49
01/02/25HAkron71-85
29/01/25HBowling Green75-57
25/01/25AOhio59-61
22/01/25AToledo83-64
18/01/25HMiami (Ohio)61-70
15/01/25HWestern Michigan83-94
10/01/25ABuffalo68-49
08/01/25ANorthern Illinois68-50
04/01/25HBall State67-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25AMarshall72-77
01/02/25ATexas State85-74
30/01/25ASouthern Miss81-68
25/01/25HTexas State80-65
24/01/25HAppalachian State65-55
18/01/25HGeorgia State85-59
17/01/25HLouisiana Lafayette83-63
11/01/25ATroy84-78
10/01/25ASouth Alabama62-76
04/01/25AJames Madison62-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kent State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW64%
HomeLLLWL55%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%55%73%
Points / game70.073.866.2
Allowed / game64.468.460.5
Point differential+5.6+5.5+5.7
Avg total134.4142.2126.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%36%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %75%85%64%
Points / game78.678.079.3
Allowed / game69.664.875.4
Point differential+9.0+13.2+3.9
Avg total148.2142.8154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)2318578%81.472.3+9.1
2 Akron2217577%83.972.9+11.0
3 Kent State2214864%70.064.4+5.6
4 Toledo2214864%79.177.9+1.2
5 Ohio22121055%80.575.2+5.4
6 Central Michigan22101245%74.070.3+3.6
7 Ball State22101245%76.074.0+2.0
8 Eastern Michigan22101245%72.277.5-5.3
9 UMass23101343%75.775.1+0.6
10 Bowling Green2281436%75.576.3-0.8
11 Buffalo2271532%72.581.9-9.5
12 Western Michigan2371630%70.476.2-5.7
13 Northern Illinois2251723%71.776.8-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State2418675%78.669.6+9.0
2 South Alabama2416867%72.162.2+9.9
3 Troy2415962%72.965.3+7.5
4 James Madison2415962%72.868.5+4.3
5 Appalachian State2314961%69.263.3+5.9
6 Marshall25151060%75.571.4+4.2
7 Georgia Southern25131252%74.676.7-2.1
8 Texas State24121250%76.172.7+3.4
9 Old Dominion24111346%68.071.3-3.3
10 Southern Miss24101442%72.075.0-3.0
11 Georgia State2491538%74.579.5-5.0
12 Coastal Carolina2481633%67.071.2-4.1
13 Louisiana Lafayette2471729%66.574.6-8.1
14 Louisiana Monroe2561924%68.673.8-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kent State364076
Arkansas State393675
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