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Toledo vs Kent State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 64-83
30-44 34-39
Position#167
Record10-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#74
Record11-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game64.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toledo v Kent State
05 Dec 2026
TOLE v KENT
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
TOLE72
KENT75
21 Jan 2025
TOLE64
KENT83
14 Mar 2024
TOLE59
KENT67
08 Mar 2024
TOLE86
KENT71
11 Mar 2023
TOLE78
KENT93
15 Feb 2022
TOLE59
KENT72
23 Jan 2021
TOLE76
KENT74
28 Jan 2020
TOLE70
KENT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kent State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#220
L
52-85
52
85
-33
H01/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
111-49
111
49
+62
H07/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A14/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
49-78
49
78
-29
A19/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A29/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A04/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H08/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H11/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-34
29-51
55-23
56-26
39-44
48-49
22-39
27-39
28-39
36-44
35-33
41-37
46-33
44-54
34-30
35-37
42-30
36-55
44-40
49-35
154.1Avg total
76.9Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.377.5155.8+0.859%
Season at home (8)79.875.4155.1+4.475%
Season away (9)77.079.4156.4-2.444%
Last 10 (10)76.977.2154.1-0.350%
Last 5 (5)81.276.8158.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.283.9158.1-9.730%
vs Similar (13)78.674.4153.0+4.269%
vs Weaker (7)90.371.1161.4+19.186%
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kent StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#142
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A01/12
NCAA
Portland
#309
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H07/12
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H15/12
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
54-81
54
81
-27
A22/12
NCAA
Heidelberg
#372
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H29/12
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A08/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
68-49
68
49
+19
A10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H15/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
32-31
31-28
45-29
36-24
46-33
24-39
30-42
36-42
48-38
31-36
36-39
35-21
33-29
24-20
44-29
40-46
43-48
41-32
20-38
138.3Avg total
71.0Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)69.564.8134.3+4.865%
Season at home (9)74.067.8141.8+6.256%
Season away (8)64.561.4125.9+3.175%
Last 10 (10)71.067.3138.3+3.760%
Last 5 (5)69.467.6137.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.272.2126.5-18.00%
vs Similar (11)66.365.9132.2+0.445%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)75.162.9138.0+12.285%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: +2.1+2.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -2.6-2.62nd half: +2.1+2.1
ToledoKent State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#220
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H01/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
55-23
55
23
+32
H07/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A19/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A29/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A04/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H11/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A15/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A18/01
NCAA
71.3Avg total
36.8Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.734.672.4+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.131.368.3+5.860%-
Last 30 away (15)38.438.076.4+0.460%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.571.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.233.273.4+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.738.773.4-4.040%-
vs Similar (13)36.833.470.2+3.554%-
vs Weaker (7)43.731.174.9+12.6100%-
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kent StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#142
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A01/12
NCAA
Portland
#309
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H15/12
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A22/12
NCAA
Heidelberg
#372
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H29/12
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A08/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H15/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H18/01
NCAA
65.0Avg total
33.3Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.729.762.4+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.630.465.0+4.357%-
Last 30 away (16)31.029.160.1+1.962%-
Last 10 (10)33.331.765.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)34.231.065.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)22.833.856.5-11.00%-
vs Similar (11)31.930.362.2+1.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)34.827.562.4+7.377%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toledo wins
6
Kent State wins
DateGameScore
14/03/24Toledo v Kent State59-67
09/03/24Toledo v Kent State86-71
10/01/24Kent State v Toledo75-89
12/03/23Toledo v Kent State78-93
11/01/23Kent State v Toledo75-63
15/02/22Toledo v Kent State59-72
01/01/22Kent State v Toledo66-63
23/01/21Toledo v Kent State76-74
05/01/21Kent State v Toledo82-84
29/01/20Toledo v Kent State70-83
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25ABall State93-75
15/01/25AAkron78-85
11/01/25HCentral Michigan69-67
08/01/25HEastern Michigan90-87
04/01/25AWestern Michigan76-70
29/12/24APurdue64-83
19/12/24AHouston49-78
14/12/24AYoungstown State87-93
07/12/24HDefiance College111-49
01/12/24HOakland52-85
Kent Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HMiami (Ohio)61-70
15/01/25HWestern Michigan83-94
10/01/25ABuffalo68-49
08/01/25ANorthern Illinois68-50
04/01/25HBall State67-75
29/12/24HHeidelberg84-80
22/12/24AAlabama54-81
15/12/24HMercyhurst Lakers82-57
07/12/24HPortland76-57
01/12/24AKennesaw State67-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW59%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%75%44%
Points / game78.379.877.0
Allowed / game77.575.479.4
Point differential+0.8+4.4-2.4
Avg total155.8155.1156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kent State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL65%
HomeWWLLL56%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%56%75%
Points / game69.574.064.5
Allowed / game64.867.861.4
Point differential+4.8+6.2+3.1
Avg total134.3141.8125.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)1713476%82.870.9+11.9
2 Akron1712571%82.873.9+8.9
3 Kent State1711665%69.564.8+4.8
4 Toledo1710759%78.377.5+0.8
5 Ohio1810856%81.475.9+5.4
6 Eastern Michigan189950%73.178.2-5.1
7 Central Michigan178947%73.270.1+3.2
8 Ball State178947%75.973.0+2.9
9 UMass1981142%76.476.4-0.1
10 Bowling Green1771041%76.674.6+1.9
11 Buffalo1761135%72.681.0-8.4
12 Western Michigan1741324%72.676.9-4.2
13 Northern Illinois1741324%70.576.4-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo303464
Kent State443983
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