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Kentucky vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 111-102
53-48 58-54
Position#50
Record20-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game78.3
Kentucky 🏆
USA
vs
Arkansas
USA
Position#224
Record14-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game77.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kentucky v Arkansas
01 Feb 2025
KENT79
ARKA89
02 Mar 2024
KENT111
ARKA102
07 Feb 2023
KENT73
ARKA88
09 Feb 2021
KENT80
ARKA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#224
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A27/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
92-103
92
103
-11
H04/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
109-77
109
77
+32
A07/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H10/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A17/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#67
W
117-95
117
95
+22
H24/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-26
39-31
41-36
43-48
42-46
50-57
54-38
55-39
32-42
53-47
43-29
32-34
39-29
31-30
36-27
38-48
58-42
59-53
35-43
56-46
166.8Avg total
86.7Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.878.3167.1+10.571%
Season at home (19)91.778.9170.6+12.874%
Season away (9)82.677.1159.7+5.467%
Last 10 (10)86.780.1166.8+6.660%
Last 5 (5)85.476.2161.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.574.0151.5+3.550%
vs Similar (9)84.684.1168.7+0.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.574.5164.0+14.984%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#109
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A25/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H27/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A01/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A03/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
63-92
63
92
-29
H15/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H24/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-38
25-39
26-24
31-39
47-28
44-56
30-45
44-50
34-29
44-46
40-46
23-46
29-34
38-37
35-31
43-40
36-34
52-39
31-35
51-50
151.5Avg total
72.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.977.9153.9-2.050%
Season at home (18)78.376.0154.3+2.367%
Season away (10)71.681.4153.0-9.820%
Last 10 (10)72.978.6151.5-5.740%
Last 5 (5)75.678.4154.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.779.6152.4-6.935%
vs Similar (11)78.175.0153.1+3.173%
vs Weaker (2)84.081.0165.0+3.050%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -4.7-4.7
KentuckyArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#224
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A27/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H04/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A07/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H10/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H14/02
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A17/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A22/02
NCAA
Alabama
#67
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H24/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A28/02
NCAA
76.2Avg total
40.4Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.336.078.3+6.369%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.936.581.4+8.484%-
Last 30 away (10)37.434.972.3+2.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.876.2+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.076.2+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.535.571.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (9)40.338.879.1+1.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.134.678.7+9.478%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#109
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A25/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A01/02
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A03/02
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H10/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H15/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A17/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H24/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H28/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
33.4Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.935.068.9-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.433.368.7+2.167%-
Last 30 away (12)31.737.669.2-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)33.434.467.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.070.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.237.071.2-2.847%-
vs Similar (11)33.532.465.8+1.155%-
vs Weaker (2)34.033.067.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kentucky wins
3
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Arkansas v Kentucky57-63
04/03/23Arkansas v Kentucky79-88
08/02/23Kentucky v Arkansas73-88
26/02/22Arkansas v Kentucky75-73
10/02/21Kentucky v Arkansas80-81
18/01/20Arkansas v Kentucky66-73
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24AMississippi St.91-89
24/02/24HAlabama117-95
22/02/24ALSU74-75
17/02/24AAuburn70-59
14/02/24HOle Miss75-63
10/02/24HGonzaga85-89
07/02/24AVanderbilt109-77
04/02/24HTennessee92-103
01/02/24HFlorida91-94 OT
27/01/24AArkansas63-57
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/24HVanderbilt82-85
24/02/24HMissouri88-73
21/02/24ATexas A&M78-71
17/02/24AMississippi St.67-71
15/02/24HTennessee63-92
10/02/24HGeorgia78-75
03/02/24ALSU74-95
01/02/24AMissouri91-84
27/01/24HKentucky57-63
25/01/24AOle Miss51-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeLLLWW74%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games28199
Win %71%74%67%
Points / game88.891.782.6
Allowed / game78.378.977.1
Point differential+10.5+12.8+5.4
Avg total167.1170.6159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%58%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %11%11%11%
Arkansas
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeLWLWL67%
AwayLWLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281810
Win %50%67%20%
Points / game75.978.371.6
Allowed / game77.976.081.4
Point differential-2.0+2.3-9.8
Avg total153.9154.3153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)83% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina2924583%72.165.6+6.4
2 Tennessee2822679%80.767.2+13.5
3 Auburn2821775%82.868.2+14.5
4 Alabama2820871%91.579.2+12.3
5 Kentucky2820871%88.878.3+10.5
6 Florida2920969%84.477.2+7.2
7 Oklahoma2819968%75.166.9+8.2
8 Mississippi St.2819968%75.468.3+7.1
9 Ole Miss2819968%75.673.3+2.3
10 Texas28181064%75.568.6+7.0
11 Texas A&M28151354%73.070.4+2.7
12 LSU28151354%76.574.5+2.0
13 Georgia28151354%75.874.6+1.1
14 Arkansas28141450%75.977.9-2.0
15 Missouri2882029%72.175.2-3.1
16 Vanderbilt2882029%66.874.7-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky5358111
Arkansas4854102
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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