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Kentucky vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 79-89
45-46 34-43
Position#71
Record15-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#118
Record12-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kentucky v Arkansas
01 Feb 2025
KENT79
ARKA89
02 Mar 2024
KENT111
ARKA102
07 Feb 2023
KENT73
ARKA88
09 Feb 2021
KENT80
ARKA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#26
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
65-85
65
85
-20
H21/12
NCAA
Brown
#184
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H31/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
W
106-100
106
100
+6
H04/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A08/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A12/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H15/01
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
97-102
97
102
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-40
47-45
30-39
35-46
39-27
49-27
52-42
54-58
34-47
35-35
49-44
46-46
35-32
46-37
45-47
52-55
27-41
42-33
30-33
48-40
165.5Avg total
84.1Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.675.8163.4+11.875%
Season at home (13)92.974.4167.3+18.585%
Season away (7)77.778.6156.3-0.957%
Last 10 (10)84.181.4165.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)84.081.6165.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.880.0165.8+5.8100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.381.2165.5+3.258%
vs Weaker (14)91.174.4165.5+16.879%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#337
W
82-57
82
57
+25
A14/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H21/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H31/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
52-76
52
76
-24
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H09/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H11/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H23/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-28
36-29
54-31
41-36
42-39
50-23
27-42
25-34
33-33
33-40
25-28
38-43
36-34
38-44
35-52
30-31
26-38
42-27
31-35
31-30
141.6Avg total
71.9Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.268.1144.2+8.160%
Season at home (12)78.462.2140.6+16.375%
Season away (8)72.877.0149.8-4.238%
Last 10 (10)71.969.7141.6+2.240%
Last 5 (5)66.472.4138.8-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.080.7152.7-8.720%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.572.4147.9+3.160%
vs Weaker (10)86.667.4154.0+19.280%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +2.7+2.7
KentuckyArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#26
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H21/12
NCAA
Brown
#184
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H31/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H04/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A08/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A12/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H15/01
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A25/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A29/01
NCAA
77.9Avg total
38.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.078.0+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.436.180.5+8.479%-
Last 30 away (11)34.938.773.6-3.836%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.277.9-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.476.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.541.882.2-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.338.176.4+0.250%-
vs Weaker (14)43.334.878.1+8.579%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#337
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A14/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H31/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H09/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H11/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H23/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H26/01
NCAA
71.5Avg total
35.5Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.272.9+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.832.869.6+3.947%-
Last 30 away (13)36.740.677.3-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)35.536.071.5-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)30.637.468.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.538.874.3-3.330%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.836.671.4-1.830%-
vs Weaker (10)39.933.273.1+6.760%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kentucky wins
3
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Kentucky v Arkansas111-102
27/01/24Arkansas v Kentucky57-63
04/03/23Arkansas v Kentucky79-88
08/02/23Kentucky v Arkansas73-88
26/02/22Arkansas v Kentucky75-73
10/02/21Kentucky v Arkansas80-81
18/01/20Arkansas v Kentucky66-73
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/25ATennessee78-73
25/01/25AVanderbilt69-74
18/01/25HAlabama97-102
15/01/25HTexas A&M81-69
12/01/25AMississippi St.95-90
08/01/25AGeorgia69-82
04/01/25HFlorida106-100
31/12/24HBrown88-54
21/12/24HOhio State65-85
14/12/24HLouisville93-85
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HOklahoma62-65
23/01/25HGeorgia68-65
18/01/25AMissouri65-83
15/01/25ALSU74-78
11/01/25HFlorida63-71
09/01/25HOle Miss66-73
04/01/25ATennessee52-76
31/12/24HOakland92-62
21/12/24HN. Carolina A&T95-67
14/12/24ACentral Arkansas82-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW75%
HomeLWWWL85%
AwayWLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %75%85%57%
Points / game87.692.977.7
Allowed / game75.874.478.6
Point differential+11.8+18.5-0.9
Avg total163.4167.3156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%69%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)0% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %5%0%14%
Arkansas
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL60%
HomeWLLWL75%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %60%75%38%
Points / game76.278.472.8
Allowed / game68.162.277.0
Point differential+8.1+16.2-4.2
Avg total144.2140.6149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn2120195%84.566.5+18.0
2 Alabama2219386%90.278.3+11.9
3 Florida2118386%83.365.3+18.0
4 Tennessee2218482%74.558.6+15.9
5 Missouri2117481%83.468.6+14.8
6 Texas A&M2217577%75.466.2+9.2
7 Vanderbilt2116576%81.270.9+10.3
8 Oklahoma2116576%80.270.5+9.7
9 Kentucky2015575%87.675.8+11.8
10 Ole Miss2216673%77.767.7+10.0
11 Mississippi St.2216673%79.971.2+8.7
12 Texas2215768%78.966.2+12.7
13 Georgia2215768%75.867.2+8.5
14 Arkansas2012860%76.268.1+8.1
15 LSU2112957%78.071.9+6.2
16 South Carolina22101245%70.569.2+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky453479
Arkansas464389
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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