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Kentucky vs Missouri Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 90-77
47-42 43-35
Position#50
Record11-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game74.3
Kentucky 🏆
USA
vs
Missouri
USA
Position#345
Record8-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kentucky v Missouri
07 Jan 2026
KENT68
MISS73
09 Jan 2024
KENT90
MISS77
29 Dec 2021
KENT83
MISS56
04 Jan 2020
KENT71
MISS59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#363
W
101-67
101
67
+34
H18/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
96-88 OT
96
88
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
118-82
118
82
+36
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H02/12
NCAA
Penn
#295
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H09/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H16/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
95-76
95
76
+19
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H30/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
58-37
43-30
41-38
36-39
69-41
49-41
42-37
53-36
33-41
40-39
–
–
40-38
47-45
53-33
42-43
45-30
51-40
37-45
50-40
169.9Avg total
92.9Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.874.3165.1+16.585%
Season at home (11)90.773.2163.9+17.582%
Season away (2)91.080.5171.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)92.977.0169.9+15.990%
Last 5 (5)89.276.0165.2+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.054.0120.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (14)76.974.2151.1+2.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.769.5155.1+16.280%
This opponent (Missouri) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#253
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H19/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H23/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#354
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A29/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H03/12
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A09/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H17/12
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
73-97
73
97
-24
A23/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
92-59
92
59
+33
H30/12
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-34
35-39
35-37
47-22
35-31
43-39
38-35
33-29
41-34
41-38
29-41
35-32
38-42
49-51
24-49
49-48
46-31
46-28
38-40
30-35
150.4Avg total
76.9Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.971.6147.5+4.457%
Season at home (10)78.570.0148.5+8.560%
Season away (4)69.575.5145.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)76.973.5150.4+3.450%
Last 5 (5)76.879.4156.2-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.174.4145.5-3.345%
vs Similar (13)73.769.3143.0+4.462%
vs Weaker (6)84.574.0158.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.7+8.71st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +4.7+4.7
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.7+8.71st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: +4.7+4.7
KentuckyMissouri
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#363
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H18/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/11
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
69-41
69
41
+28
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H02/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H30/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A06/01
NCAA
84.2Avg total
46.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.034.773.7+4.259%-
Last 30 at home (20)40.134.574.7+5.665%-
Last 30 away (9)36.435.171.6+1.344%-
Last 10 (9)46.437.884.2+8.778%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.479.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.019.058.0+20.0100%-
vs Similar (14)36.435.571.9+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.535.176.6+6.464%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jackson State
#253
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H19/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#354
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H25/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A29/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H03/12
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A09/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H17/12
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A23/12
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#336
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H30/12
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H06/01
NCAA
73.5Avg total
36.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.036.372.3-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.834.572.3+3.363%-
Last 30 away (11)32.939.472.3-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.473.5-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.675.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.936.270.1-2.336%-
vs Similar (13)35.034.969.9+0.154%-
vs Weaker (6)42.039.581.5+2.567%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kentucky wins
2
Missouri wins
DateGameScore
29/12/22Missouri v Kentucky89-75
30/12/21Kentucky v Missouri83-56
04/02/21Missouri v Kentucky75-70
04/01/20Kentucky v Missouri71-59
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AFlorida87-85
30/12/23HIllinois State96-70
21/12/23ALouisville95-76
16/12/23HNorth Carolina87-83
09/12/23HPenn81-66
02/12/23HNC Wilmington73-80
29/11/23HMiami (FL)95-73
25/11/23HMarshall118-82
21/11/23HSaint Josephs Hawks96-88 OT
18/11/23HStonehill101-67
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HGeorgia68-75
30/12/23HCentral Arkansas92-59
23/12/23AIllinois73-97
17/12/23HSeton Hall87-93
09/12/23AKansas64-73
03/12/23HWichita State82-72
29/11/23APittsburgh71-64
25/11/23HLoyola Maryland78-70
23/11/23HSouth Carolina St82-59
19/11/23HJackson State72-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %85%82%100%
Points / game90.890.791.0
Allowed / game74.373.280.5
Point differential+16.5+17.5+10.5
Avg total165.1163.9171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%64%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%9%0%
Missouri
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL57%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %57%60%50%
Points / game75.978.569.5
Allowed / game71.670.075.5
Point differential+4.4+8.5-6.0
Avg total147.5148.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma1413193%81.763.2+18.5
2 South Carolina1413193%74.963.0+11.9
3 Ole Miss1413193%76.469.4+7.1
4 Auburn1412286%84.765.6+19.1
5 Kentucky1311285%90.874.3+16.5
6 Tennessee1411379%78.764.3+14.4
7 Texas1411379%78.365.3+13.0
8 Mississippi St.1411379%75.263.1+12.1
9 Georgia1411379%75.469.3+6.1
10 Florida1410471%86.274.6+11.6
11 Alabama149564%91.875.8+16.0
12 LSU149564%76.167.9+8.3
13 Texas A&M149564%74.566.7+7.8
14 Arkansas149564%80.176.9+3.2
15 Missouri148657%75.971.6+4.4
16 Vanderbilt145936%68.971.5-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky474390
Missouri423577
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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