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Arkansas vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 57-63
26-24 31-39
Position#224
Record10-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game77.5
Arkansas
USA
vs
Kentucky 🏆
USA
Position#50
Record14-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game77.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Arkansas v Kentucky
31 Jan 2026
ARKA77
KENT85
27 Jan 2024
ARKA57
KENT63
04 Mar 2023
ARKA79
KENT88
26 Feb 2022
ARKA75
KENT73
18 Jan 2020
ARKA66
KENT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#104
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A09/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H16/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H22/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
W
106-90
106
90
+16
H30/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
51-83
51
83
-32
H06/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A11/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
68-90
68
90
-22
A13/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H17/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H20/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-37
45-42
41-33
28-33
28-35
55-38
48-42
58-48
30-37
21-46
24-34
42-42
33-46
35-44
46-32
32-45
27-39
37-38
26-38
25-39
149.4Avg total
70.6Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.277.5153.7-1.353%
Season at home (13)80.275.4155.5+4.877%
Season away (6)67.782.2149.8-14.50%
Last 10 (10)70.678.8149.4-8.240%
Last 5 (5)65.479.4144.8-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.181.2155.3-7.133%
vs Similar (13)73.670.5144.1+3.262%
vs Weaker (2)91.571.0162.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn
#295
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H09/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H16/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
95-76
95
76
+19
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H30/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
A13/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H20/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
–
–
40-38
47-45
53-33
42-43
45-30
51-40
37-45
50-40
47-42
43-35
45-46
44-43
47-29
43-48
54-35
51-61
25-33
37-46
169.1Avg total
88.5Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)89.977.3167.3+12.678%
Season at home (14)91.675.4167.0+16.386%
Season away (4)84.084.2168.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)88.580.6169.1+7.980%
Last 5 (5)87.885.2173.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.054.0120.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (12)77.874.6152.3+3.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.975.2163.1+12.871%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +0.8+0.8
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: +6.9+6.92nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: +0.8+0.8
ArkansasKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#104
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A09/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H16/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H22/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H30/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H06/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A11/01
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A13/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H17/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H20/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A25/01
NCAA
70.1Avg total
32.8Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.668.0+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.632.569.1+4.171%-
Last 30 away (13)31.535.266.6-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)32.837.370.1-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)31.237.869.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.237.171.3-2.947%-
vs Similar (13)33.730.764.4+3.062%-
vs Weaker (2)40.027.067.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#19
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H30/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A13/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H20/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A24/01
NCAA
80.4Avg total
43.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.835.175.9+5.766%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.634.176.8+8.580%-
Last 30 away (9)36.737.374.0-0.733%-
Last 10 (9)43.736.880.4+6.967%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.080.6+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.019.058.0+20.0100%-
vs Similar (12)37.235.472.7+1.858%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.635.979.5+7.669%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Arkansas wins
2
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23Arkansas v Kentucky79-88
08/02/23Kentucky v Arkansas73-88
26/02/22Arkansas v Kentucky75-73
10/02/21Kentucky v Arkansas80-81
18/01/20Arkansas v Kentucky66-73
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24AOle Miss51-77
20/01/24HSouth Carolina64-77
17/01/24HTexas A&M78-77
13/01/24AFlorida68-90
11/01/24AGeorgia66-76
06/01/24HAuburn51-83
30/12/23HNC Wilmington106-90
22/12/23HAbilene Christian83-73
16/12/23HLipscomb69-66
09/12/23AOklahoma70-79
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24ASouth Carolina62-79
20/01/24HGeorgia105-96
18/01/24HMississippi St.90-77
13/01/24ATexas A&M92-97 OT
10/01/24HMissouri90-77
06/01/24AFlorida87-85
30/12/23HIllinois State96-70
21/12/23ALouisville95-76
16/12/23HNorth Carolina87-83
09/12/23HPenn81-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL53%
HomeWWLWL77%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %53%77%0%
Points / game76.280.267.7
Allowed / game77.575.482.2
Point differential-1.3+4.8-14.5
Avg total153.7155.5149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL78%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18144
Win %78%86%50%
Points / game89.991.684.0
Allowed / game77.375.484.2
Point differential+12.6+16.3-0.2
Avg total167.3167.0168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%64%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%7%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina2017385%73.264.5+8.8
2 Ole Miss1916384%76.770.2+6.5
3 Auburn2016480%82.065.9+16.1
4 Tennessee1814478%79.766.3+13.4
5 Kentucky1814478%89.977.3+12.6
6 Oklahoma2015575%78.566.5+12.0
7 Texas2014670%76.867.8+8.9
8 Florida2014670%85.476.8+8.6
9 Mississippi St.2014670%74.266.0+8.2
10 Georgia2014670%77.373.2+4.2
11 Alabama1913668%88.674.9+13.7
12 Texas A&M1912763%74.168.2+5.9
13 LSU1911858%76.170.2+5.9
14 Arkansas1910953%76.277.5-1.3
15 Missouri2081240%73.673.5+0.1
16 Vanderbilt1851328%67.271.9-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas263157
Kentucky243963
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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