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Kentucky vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 66-83
27-44 39-39
Position#107
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game64.8
Kentucky
USA
vs
Michigan State 🏆
USA
Position#29
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#89
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H14/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
70-99
70
99
-29
A15/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H21/03
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H23/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A28/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
77-51
77
51
+26
H05/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
107-59
107
59
+48
H08/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
99-53
99
53
+46
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-29
53-54
40-38
45-46
38-45
32-54
35-27
41-30
37-32
47-43
28-43
37-35
28-15
49-36
58-26
49-33
46-53
42-43
47-19
52-34
157.7Avg total
84.2Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.864.8157.5+28.075%
Season at home (3)94.354.3148.7+40.0100%
Season away (1)88.096.0184.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)84.273.5157.7+10.770%
Last 5 (5)87.267.4154.6+19.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)90.796.7187.3-6.033%
vs Similar (21)80.181.3161.4-1.252%
vs Weaker (6)91.056.3147.3+34.7100%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#44
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H09/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H14/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H15/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
W
87-62
87
62
+25
H22/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H24/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H28/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A30/03
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H04/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H09/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
50-28
29-34
42-32
32-32
33-37
41-40
33-28
54-34
29-31
42-32
31-33
42-37
24-33
40-37
37-34
43-35
36-39
33-27
46-23
33-37
141.3Avg total
75.0Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.065.0141.0+11.0100%
Season at home (3)76.065.0141.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.066.3141.3+8.780%
Last 5 (5)73.067.0140.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)71.766.1137.8+5.673%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.466.8145.2+11.689%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +4.4+4.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +4.4+4.4
KentuckyMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri
#89
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A08/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A15/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H21/03
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H23/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A28/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
28-15
28
15
+13
H05/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
58-26
58
26
+32
H08/11
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H15/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
39.5Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.775.8+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.432.673.1+7.878%-
Last 30 away (12)37.142.879.9-5.833%-
Last 10 (10)39.532.772.2+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.431.272.6+10.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)44.048.092.0-4.033%-
vs Similar (21)37.439.476.9-2.052%-
vs Weaker (6)42.521.564.0+21.0100%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#44
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H09/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H14/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H22/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H24/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A30/03
NCAA
Colgate
#168
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H04/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H09/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H13/11
NCAA
67.9Avg total
36.1Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.431.667.0+3.850%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.930.867.7+6.160%-
Last 30 away (10)32.533.165.6-0.630%-
Last 10 (10)36.131.867.9+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.832.467.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)31.133.564.5-2.418%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)37.930.568.4+7.468%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kentucky wins
1
Michigan State wins
DateGameScore
16/11/22Michigan State v Kentucky86-77 OT
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HEastern Illinois99-53
12/11/25ALouisville88-96
08/11/25HValparaiso107-59
05/11/25HNicholls State77-51
28/03/25ATennessee65-78
23/03/25HIllinois84-75
21/03/25HTroy76-57
15/03/25AAlabama70-99
14/03/25HOklahoma85-84
08/03/25AMissouri91-83
Michigan Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25HSan Jose State79-60
09/11/25HArkansas69-66
04/11/25HColgate80-69
30/03/25AAuburn64-70
28/03/25HOle Miss73-70
24/03/25HNew Mexico71-63
22/03/25HBryant University87-62
15/03/25HWisconsin74-77
14/03/25HOregon74-64
09/03/25HMichigan79-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game92.894.388.0
Allowed / game64.854.396.0
Point differential+28.0+40.0-8.0
Avg total157.5148.7184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Michigan State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total141.0141.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia550100%99.462.6+36.8
2 LSU330100%95.766.3+29.3
3 Vanderbilt440100%101.572.8+28.8
4 Tennessee440100%90.262.2+28.0
5 Missouri550100%91.470.4+21.0
6 Ole Miss440100%84.865.0+19.8
7 Mississippi St.330100%85.770.0+15.7
8 South Carolina330100%85.070.7+14.3
9 Kentucky43175%92.864.8+28.0
10 Auburn43175%88.870.5+18.2
11 Texas43175%80.262.0+18.2
12 Arkansas43175%86.869.2+17.5
13 Florida43175%87.875.2+12.5
14 Alabama32167%91.381.7+9.7
15 Oklahoma42250%91.080.8+10.2
16 Texas A&M42250%84.877.8+7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illinois440100%97.866.8+31.0
2 Wisconsin440100%93.265.0+28.2
3 Indiana440100%92.064.8+27.2
4 USC330100%98.371.3+27.0
5 Northwestern440100%84.260.2+24.0
6 Iowa330100%86.363.0+23.3
7 Nebraska440100%89.067.0+22.0
8 Penn State440100%81.562.8+18.8
9 Rutgers330100%79.061.7+17.3
10 Purdue440100%88.271.8+16.5
11 Ohio State440100%87.871.5+16.2
12 Michigan330100%91.075.0+16.0
13 Michigan State330100%76.065.0+11.0
14 Oregon440100%74.266.5+7.8
15 Washington43175%82.066.8+15.2
16 Minnesota43175%78.564.5+14.0
17 Maryland43175%79.069.2+9.8
18 UCLA43175%75.567.0+8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky273966
Michigan State443983
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