PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Kentucky vs Tennessee Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#138
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#55
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game61.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kentucky v Tennessee
23 Jan 2027
KENT v TENN
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
KENT74
TENN71
11 Feb 2025
KENT75
TENN64
03 Feb 2024
KENT92
TENN103
18 Feb 2023
KENT66
TENN54
15 Jan 2022
KENT107
TENN79
06 Feb 2021
KENT71
TENN82
03 Mar 2020
KENT73
TENN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H07/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H11/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A12/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A13/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
H20/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A22/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#319
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H04/11
NCAA
James Madison
#282
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Kansas
#12
L
69-89
69
89
-20
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-49
45-35
46-43
41-39
38-29
40-43
28-37
35-34
29-31
44-42
30-31
33-51
48-22
37-35
39-39
50-41
36-46
33-43
45-37
33-40
155.6Avg total
77.8Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.275.8156.0+4.575%
Season at home (4)80.275.8156.0+4.575%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.877.8155.6+0.060%
Last 5 (5)76.877.0153.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.682.1153.7-10.614%
vs Similar (16)79.877.6157.3+2.269%
vs Weaker (7)83.970.4154.3+13.4100%
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TennesseeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H20/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A22/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A28/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
62-95
62
95
-33
A29/03
NCAA
Wofford
#253
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H03/11
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H10/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#186
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
22-32
60-54
25-32
47-30
31-31
37-44
51-32
27-24
36-31
43-41
34-33
42-29
26-48
36-47
34-31
56-28
33-24
37-23
42-37
41-41
145.2Avg total
76.0Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.061.3142.3+19.7100%
Season at home (3)81.061.3142.3+19.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.069.2145.2+6.870%
Last 5 (5)76.268.2144.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.876.0146.8-5.250%
vs Similar (15)78.975.1153.9+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)80.560.7141.2+19.791%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +6.5+6.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +6.5+6.5
KentuckyTennessee
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H07/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A12/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A13/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A22/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#319
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H04/11
NCAA
James Madison
#282
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H07/11
NCAA
Kansas
#12
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H14/11
NCAA
73.5Avg total
37.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.437.072.3-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.736.774.4+1.144%-
Last 30 away (12)31.837.469.2-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.473.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.074.6+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.740.072.7-7.314%-
vs Similar (16)34.638.172.7-3.631%-
vs Weaker (7)39.931.371.1+8.686%-
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TennesseeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H12/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A13/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H20/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A28/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A29/03
NCAA
Wofford
#253
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H10/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#186
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
33.4Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.131.767.7+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.729.867.5+7.982%-
Last 30 away (13)33.934.268.1-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)33.433.166.5+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.834.668.4-0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.838.573.2-3.850%-
vs Similar (15)36.533.269.7+3.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)35.927.163.0+8.891%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Kentucky wins
3
Tennessee wins
DateGameScore
08/02/26Kentucky v Tennessee74-71
17/01/26Tennessee v Kentucky78-80
28/03/25Tennessee v Kentucky78-65
12/02/25Kentucky v Tennessee75-64
29/01/25Tennessee v Kentucky73-78
09/03/24Tennessee v Kentucky81-85
04/02/24Kentucky v Tennessee92-103
18/02/23Kentucky v Tennessee66-54
14/01/23Tennessee v Kentucky56-63
12/03/22Tennessee v Kentucky69-62
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNorthern Arizona78-77
11/11/26HKansas69-89
07/11/26HJames Madison89-80
04/11/26HManhattan85-57
22/03/26AIowa State63-82
20/03/26HSanta Clara89-84 OT
13/03/26AFlorida63-71
12/03/26AMissouri78-72
11/03/26HLSU87-82
07/03/26HFlorida77-84
Tennesseelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTennessee State83-78
10/11/26HRadford70-47
03/11/26HWofford90-59
29/03/26AMichigan62-95
28/03/26AIowa State76-62
22/03/26AVirginia79-72
20/03/26HMiami (Ohio)78-56
13/03/26AVanderbilt68-75
12/03/26HAuburn72-62
07/03/26HVanderbilt82-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game80.280.2-
Allowed / game75.875.8-
Point differential+4.5+4.5-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Tennessee
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game61.361.3-
Point differential+19.7+19.7-
Avg total142.3142.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.