PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-65
11-17 17-17 22-19 24-12
Position#15
Record8-17
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#16
Record9-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game82.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26
European cup2020
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos
03 Oct 2024
ABE77
PAO87
10 Nov 2023
ABE85
PAO99
19 Oct 2022
ABE94
PAO65
06 Apr 2022
ABE87
PAO78
26 Feb 2021
ABE74
PAO65
06 Feb 2015
ABE59
PAO65
16 Jan 2013
ABE73
PAO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
H27/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
63-72
63
72
-9
50avg 75
H29/01
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
W
86-70
86
70
+16
78avg 75
H31/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 75
A02/02
BBL
Bayern
#5
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
no box
A05/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
83-65
83
65
+18
78avg 75
H07/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
101-77
101
77
+24
100avg 75
A09/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
76avg 75
H12/02
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
67-76
67
76
-9
56avg 75
A14/02
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
82avg 75
A19/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
22-14
19-18
12-19
14-22
16-18
17-19
16-13
17-26
26-18
21-15
22-11
26-18
15-17
27-16
18-24
26-10
17-23
23-25
21-29
17-6
17-21
26-22
23-16
28-19
24-25
26-24
23-9
21-20
26-18
21-14
12-16
20-20
18-16
15-17
14-23
22-24
20-21
18-22
24-22
157.7Avg total
81.3Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.483.3160.6-5.932%
Season at home (13)75.581.1156.6-5.531%
Season away (12)79.385.7165.0-6.333%
Last 10 (10)81.376.4157.7+4.950%
Last 5 (5)83.075.0158.0+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.284.8164.0-5.633%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.081.0161.0-1.038%
vs Weaker (13)85.972.9158.8+13.092%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
W
80-75
80
75
+5
85avg 78
H10/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
88-71
88
71
+17
91avg 78
H13/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
74-100
74
100
-26
65avg 78
A15/01
Euroleague
Aris
#9
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 78
A17/01
Basket League
Khimki M.
#18
W
94-78
94
78
+16
89avg 78
H21/01
Euroleague
Larisa
#11
W
98-89
98
89
+9
100avg 78
A24/01
Basket League
Real Madrid
#7
L
66-76
66
76
-10
54avg 78
A27/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
92avg 78
H29/01
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
77avg 78
H31/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#12
W
88-77
88
77
+11
87avg 78
A05/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
19-19
24-25
13-13
25-21
20-21
25-18
18-11
12-31
22-17
21-26
19-26
23-20
24-16
25-25
21-14
23-20
23-13
24-18
24-27
23-25
33-24
18-17
24-23
12-25
15-24
23-15
16-12
22-20
26-14
20-18
23-20
16-14
20-29
22-12
20-25
21-18
17-17
23-19
27-23
164.3Avg total
85.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.782.6163.2-1.939%
Season at home (12)83.379.0162.3+4.350%
Season away (11)77.786.5164.2-8.727%
Last 10 (10)85.079.3164.3+5.770%
Last 5 (5)84.278.8163.0+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.584.4164.9-3.930%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.582.2161.8-2.838%
vs Weaker (12)87.172.8159.8+14.383%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
Alba BerlinPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H27/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H29/01
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H31/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A02/02
BBL
Bayern
#5
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A05/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H07/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A09/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H12/02
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A14/02
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A19/02
Euroleague
78.3Avg total
40.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.579.7+2.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.937.278.1+3.675%-
Last 30 away (14)41.539.981.4+1.664%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.678.3+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.080.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.041.681.6-1.656%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.836.874.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker (13)44.137.581.5+6.692%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/01
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H13/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/01
Euroleague
Aris
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A17/01
Basket League
Khimki M.
#18
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H21/01
Euroleague
Larisa
#11
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A24/01
Basket League
Real Madrid
#7
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A27/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/01
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H31/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/02
Euroleague
82.6Avg total
42.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.178.8+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.437.879.2+3.769%-
Last 30 away (14)37.740.778.4-3.043%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.682.6+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.083.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.541.879.3-4.330%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.841.677.4-5.938%-
vs Weaker (12)44.235.279.4+8.992%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.2
48.2%
52.7%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.6
37.8%
38.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws13.912.0
86.3%
79.3%12.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.2
54.6%
52.7%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
38.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.016.1
80.5%
79.3%16.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLWWWLWWLL
Panathinaikos
WLWLWWWLWW
#15
League position
#16
+9.9
Net rating
+7.8
106.0
Offensive rating
118.4
96.1
Defensive rating
110.6
52.1%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
17.7%
Turnover %
20.2%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
46.3%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.8%
3-point %
34.7%
49.7%
Assist %
64.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 118.4Defence96.1 · 110.6Shooting52.1% · 53.6%3-point %37.8% · 34.7%Ball care17.7% · 20.2%Off. rebounds32.2% · 46.3%Free throws0.21 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alba Berlin wins
4
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/21AFenerbahce84-89
14/02/21ABamberg67-76
12/02/21HBayreuth80-68
09/02/21ACrailsheim Merlins101-77
07/02/21HChemnitz83-65
05/02/21ABayern95-101 OT
02/02/21AGottingen86-75
31/01/21HVechta86-70
29/01/21HReal Madrid63-72
27/01/21HCSKA Moscow68-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/21AOlympiacos88-77
31/01/21HPromitheas78-80
29/01/21HValencia91-72
27/01/21AReal Madrid66-76
24/01/21ALarisa98-89
21/01/21HKhimki M.94-78
17/01/21AAris93-75
15/01/21AFenerbahce74-100
13/01/21HLyon-Villeurbanne88-71
10/01/21HAEK Athens80-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL32%
HomeWLLLL31%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %32%31%33%
Points / game77.475.579.3
Allowed / game83.381.185.7
Point differential-5.9-5.5-6.3
Avg total160.6156.6165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW39%
HomeWLWWW50%
AwayLLLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %39%50%27%
Points / game80.783.377.7
Allowed / game82.679.086.5
Point differential-1.9+4.3-8.7
Avg total163.2162.3164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%42%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2518772%81.473.6+7.9
2 CSKA Moscow2517868%83.679.4+4.2
3 Olimpia Milano2617965%81.777.7+4.0
4 Real Madrid26161062%80.176.9+3.2
5 Bayern26161062%79.277.7+1.4
6 Anadolu Efes25151060%80.876.2+4.6
7 Zenit Petersburg25151060%77.075.4+1.6
8 Fenerbahce26151158%78.879.6-0.7
9 Valencia26141254%82.681.8+0.7
10 Zalgiris Kaunas26141254%77.677.1+0.5
11 Baskonia26131350%80.077.2+2.8
12 Lyon-Villeurbanne25111444%77.180.0-2.8
13 Olympiacos26111542%78.880.7-1.9
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv24101442%78.878.9-0.1
15 Panathinaikos2391439%80.782.6-1.9
16 Alba Berlin2581732%77.483.3-5.9
17 Crvena zvezda2671927%73.478.8-5.4
18 Khimki M.252238%78.491.0-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1117222474
Panathinaikos1717191265
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.