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Bayern vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 101-95 (OT)
10-26 23-17 25-23 29-21 14-8
Position#5
Record14-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game76.9
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#15
Record8-15
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24
European cup2020
Meetings · Bayern v Alba Berlin
26 Sep 2026
BAY95
ABE61
21 Jun 2026
BAY81
ABE84
14 Jun 2026
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2026
BAY102
ABE94
01 May 2026
BAY85
ABE79
02 Feb 2025
BAY99
ABE86
14 Nov 2024
BAY115
ABE88
10 Jun 2024
BAY70
ABE79
08 Jun 2024
BAY79
ABE67
05 May 2024
BAY77
ABE53
05 Oct 2023
BAY80
ABE68
17 Mar 2023
BAY75
ABE76
18 Feb 2023
BAY83
ABE77
08 Jan 2023
BAY79
ABE80
19 Jun 2022
BAY81
ABE96
14 Jun 2022
BAY58
ABE71
10 May 2022
BAY78
ABE83
28 Jan 2022
BAY62
ABE56
13 Jun 2021
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2021
BAY69
ABE81
16 May 2021
BAY85
ABE79
25 Apr 2021
BAY62
ABE100
05 Feb 2021
BAY101
ABE95
10 Nov 2019
BAY84
ABE80
23 Dec 2018
BAY70
ABE78
16 Dec 2018
BAY83
ABE81
16 Jun 2018
BAY106
ABE85
10 Jun 2018
BAY72
ABE66
03 Jun 2018
BAY95
ABE106
25 Mar 2018
BAY72
ABE91
13 May 2017
BAY80
ABE73
06 May 2017
BAY95
ABE68
18 Feb 2017
BAY78
ABE70
16 Oct 2016
BAY97
ABE58
01 Mar 2016
BAY84
ABE75
28 Feb 2016
BAY96
ABE65
21 Feb 2016
BAY65
ABE67
02 Jun 2015
BAY89
ABE83
28 May 2015
BAY85
ABE73
26 Apr 2015
BAY70
ABE68
15 Jun 2014
BAY92
ABE86
08 Jun 2014
BAY88
ABE81
04 May 2014
BAY72
ABE80
12 May 2013
BAY89
ABE83
04 May 2013
BAY88
ABE67
10 Feb 2013
BAY79
ABE61
26 Nov 2011
BAY79
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#14
W
77-76
77
76
+1
75avg 76
H10/01
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
82-80
82
80
+2
74avg 76
H13/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
no box
H15/01
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
80avg 76
H17/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
51-75
51
75
-24
38avg 76
A21/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
W
98-78
98
78
+20
92avg 76
A23/01
BBL
Khimki M.
#18
W
95-93
95
93
+2
96avg 76
A26/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
69-66
69
66
+3
57avg 76
A29/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
103-105 OT
103
105
-2
no box
H31/01
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
74-70
74
70
+4
63avg 76
A03/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
13-16
18-24
20-19
13-19
19-21
24-16
26-24
15-23
19-16
16-12
22-21
21-19
27-18
16-17
21-17
10-20
10-22
15-21
16-12
24-21
25-22
26-19
23-16
26-15
18-29
29-31
22-18
25-27
15-12
10-21
19-6
22-21
24-23
26-21
20-27
11-17
16-16
22-20
25-17
160.5Avg total
81.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.576.9155.4+1.661%
Season at home (11)79.974.5154.4+5.573%
Season away (12)77.279.2156.4-1.950%
Last 10 (10)81.079.5160.5+1.570%
Last 5 (5)87.882.4170.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.277.6154.8-0.460%
vs Similar (13)82.079.5161.5+2.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.074.7159.7+10.392%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
76-84
76
84
-8
71avg 74
A12/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 74
H14/01
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
82-76
82
76
+6
80avg 74
A17/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
103-63
103
63
+40
no box
H20/01
German Cup
Baskonia
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
83avg 74
A22/01
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
99-85
99
85
+14
101avg 74
H24/01
BBL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
H27/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
63-72
63
72
-9
50avg 74
H29/01
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
W
86-70
86
70
+16
78avg 74
H31/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 74
A02/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
26-18
9-26
23-22
18-13
16-29
22-22
14-20
26-26
25-17
13-13
18-20
21-18
25-18
30-13
27-14
21-18
25-32
21-11
17-16
28-20
25-25
26-16
20-24
15-20
22-14
19-18
12-19
14-22
16-18
17-19
16-13
17-26
26-18
21-15
22-11
26-18
15-17
27-16
18-24
157.4Avg total
81.7Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.382.3158.6-6.035%
Season at home (13)75.581.1156.6-5.531%
Season away (10)77.383.8161.1-6.540%
Last 10 (10)81.775.7157.4+6.060%
Last 5 (5)80.474.6155.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.981.0154.9-7.130%
vs Similar (9)80.180.0160.1+0.156%
vs Weaker (11)89.474.2163.5+15.2100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
BayernAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H10/01
BBL
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H13/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/01
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H17/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A21/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A23/01
BBL
Khimki M.
#18
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A26/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A29/01
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H31/01
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A03/02
BBL
77.3Avg total
37.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.179.3+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.836.978.7+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.580.1-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.477.3-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.681.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.039.279.2+0.860%-
vs Similar (13)39.540.379.8-0.846%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.237.778.9+3.658%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A12/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H14/01
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A17/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/01
German Cup
Baskonia
#10
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A22/01
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H24/01
BBL
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H27/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H29/01
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H31/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A02/02
BBL
83.0Avg total
42.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.079.4+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.538.378.8+2.267%-
Last 30 away (12)40.240.180.3+0.258%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.583.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.680.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.141.677.7-5.540%-
vs Similar (9)39.036.775.7+2.356%-
vs Weaker (11)45.538.584.0+6.991%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.6
49.5%
52.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.7
36.5%
38.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.115.0
78.5%
79.3%15.0
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.2
51.4%
52.7%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.0
39.1%
38.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws12.611.0
87.3%
79.3%11.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLWWWLWLWW
Alba Berlin
WWLLWWWWLL
#5
League position
#15
-0.1
Net rating
+5.3
105.2
Offensive rating
106.7
105.4
Defensive rating
101.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
54.6%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.3%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.5%
3-point %
39.1%
55.7%
Assist %
55.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 106.7Defence105.4 · 101.4Shooting51.3% · 54.6%3-point %36.5% · 39.1%Ball care18.7% · 19.3%Off. rebounds32.8% · 29.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bayern wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
03/01/21Alba Berlin v Bayern85-72
09/10/20Alba Berlin v Bayern72-90
10/11/19Bayern v Alba Berlin84-80
28/04/19Alba Berlin v Bayern75-85
23/12/18Bayern v Alba Berlin70-78
16/12/18Bayern v Alba Berlin83-81
16/06/18Bayern v Alba Berlin106-85
13/06/18Alba Berlin v Bayern72-68
10/06/18Bayern v Alba Berlin72-66
07/06/18Alba Berlin v Bayern69-96
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/21As.Oliver Wurzburg74-70
31/01/21HCrailsheim Merlins103-105 OT
29/01/21ACSKA Moscow69-66
26/01/21AKhimki M.95-93
23/01/21ABayreuth98-78
21/01/21AOlimpia Milano51-75
17/01/21HHamburg85-71
15/01/21HReal Madrid76-81 OT
13/01/21HZenit Petersburg82-80
10/01/21HChemnitz77-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/21AGottingen86-75
31/01/21HVechta86-70
29/01/21HReal Madrid63-72
27/01/21HCSKA Moscow68-71
24/01/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg99-85
22/01/21ABaskonia84-77
20/01/21HBasketball Braunschweig103-63
17/01/21ABasketball Braunschweig82-76
14/01/21HOlimpia Milano70-84
12/01/21AAnadolu Efes76-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%73%50%
Points / game78.579.977.2
Allowed / game76.974.579.2
Point differential+1.6+5.5-1.9
Avg total155.4154.4156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%45%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)50% (4)62% (8)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeWLLLL31%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %35%31%40%
Points / game76.375.577.3
Allowed / game82.381.183.8
Point differential-6.0-5.5-6.5
Avg total158.6156.6161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2417771%81.274.0+7.2
2 Olimpia Milano2215768%82.478.2+4.2
3 CSKA Moscow2416867%84.079.6+4.4
4 Real Madrid2315865%81.376.9+4.4
5 Bayern2314961%78.576.9+1.6
6 Zenit Petersburg2213959%77.775.0+2.7
7 Fenerbahce24141058%78.678.3+0.3
8 Anadolu Efes23131057%80.077.3+2.7
9 Zalgiris Kaunas23131057%79.377.7+1.6
10 Valencia24121250%82.082.8-0.9
11 Olympiacos24111346%80.181.2-1.1
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv22101245%79.778.9+0.9
13 Baskonia23101343%79.278.7+0.5
14 Panathinaikos2391439%80.782.6-1.9
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne2391439%76.780.5-3.8
16 Alba Berlin2381535%76.382.3-6.0
17 Crvena zvezda2371630%74.178.7-4.6
18 Khimki M.232219%79.191.4-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bayern1023252914101
Alba Berlin26172321895
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