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Khimki M. vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-77
19-22 25-18 14-17 25-20
Position#18
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#17
Record2-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6
European cup2020
Meetings · Khimki M. v Crvena zvezda
30 Oct 2020
KHM83
CZV77
24 Oct 2017
KHM85
CZV78
30 Oct 2015
KHM91
CZV53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A23/09
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A28/09
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H02/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H05/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H10/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A16/10
Euroleague
Astana
#12
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H19/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
H23/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A26/10
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
23-30
21-13
25-32
20-23
23-20
25-15
24-19
17-24
22-17
23-18
14-19
28-24
23-22
19-10
22-18
20-17
12-24
16-26
22-17
25-25
16-24
16-21
28-24
18-15
18-20
11-19
13-23
22-18
23-31
15-24
28-16
18-16
15-20
22-22
26-23
19-20
25-18
21-18
17-29
166.0Avg total
81.7Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.684.4160.0-8.80%
Season at home (3)77.783.7161.3-6.00%
Season away (2)72.585.5158.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)81.784.3166.0-2.620%
Last 5 (5)80.486.8167.2-6.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.283.5157.7-9.30%
vs Similar (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
vs Weaker (22)94.082.7176.6+11.386%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A17/06
Super League
Primorska
#3
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H26/09
ABA Supercup
Fenerbahce
#9
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A02/10
Euroleague
Cibona
#9
W
104-66
104
66
+38
A05/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#10
W
90-73
90
73
+17
H09/10
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
95-64
95
64
+31
A11/10
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H13/10
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#5
W
93-62
93
62
+31
H18/10
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
H22/10
Euroleague
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A25/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
18-19
18-10
24-23
26-25
15-21
21-23
20-19
20-24
10-18
11-15
22-20
33-11
31-17
20-15
20-23
23-16
13-15
29-18
25-24
23-13
23-18
25-21
24-12
19-19
14-20
27-23
9-13
24-23
22-13
21-11
26-15
18-20
17-23
11-8
27-22
24-18
16-17
15-18
21-20
157.1Avg total
83.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.077.2154.2-0.250%
Season at home (3)81.777.3159.0+4.367%
Season away (1)63.077.0140.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)83.473.7157.1+9.770%
Last 5 (5)83.871.6155.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.777.3159.0+4.367%
vs Similar (5)81.081.8162.8-0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.067.5155.5+20.590%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
Khimki M.Crvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A23/09
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/09
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H02/10
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/10
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H10/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/10
Euroleague
Astana
#12
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H19/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A26/10
VTB United League
83.2Avg total
40.3Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.641.086.6+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.840.285.0+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)46.642.088.6+4.677%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.983.2-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.481.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.039.875.8-3.817%-
vs Similar (2)42.046.088.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker (22)48.540.889.4+7.786%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A17/06
Super League
Primorska
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H26/09
ABA Supercup
Fenerbahce
#9
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A02/10
Euroleague
Cibona
#9
W
64-28
64
28
+36
A05/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#10
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H09/10
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A11/10
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H13/10
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H18/10
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H22/10
Euroleague
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A25/10
ABA League
77.8Avg total
40.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.437.080.4+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.936.280.1+7.669%-
Last 30 away (14)42.837.980.6+4.964%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.377.8+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.876.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.737.772.3-3.033%-
vs Similar (5)37.841.078.8-3.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.035.581.6+10.581%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.5
53.8%
52.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.4
31.0%
38.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.815.9
76.4%
79.3%15.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.1
50.4%
52.7%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.011.1
42.7%
38.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.915.4
77.4%
79.3%15.4
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
LLLLLLWLWL
Crvena zvezda
WWWLWWWLLW
#18
League position
#17
-4.3
Net rating
+17.6
106.4
Offensive rating
112.9
110.7
Defensive rating
95.3
51.0%
Effective FG%
56.3%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.6%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.0%
3-point %
42.7%
72.0%
Assist %
67.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 112.9Defence110.7 · 95.3Shooting51.0% · 56.3%3-point %31.0% · 42.7%Ball care17.8% · 18.6%Off. rebounds29.8% · 30.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Khimki M. wins
1
Crvena zvezda wins
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/20ASaratov82-85
23/10/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv87-89 OT
19/10/20HAstana88-89
16/10/20ABaskonia60-77
14/10/20AReal Madrid85-94
10/10/20HZalgiris Kaunas70-84
05/10/20HBC Kalev/Cramo92-74
02/10/20HPanathinaikos76-78
28/09/20AEnisey92-77
23/09/20ANizhny Novgorod85-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/20AMega Soccerbet76-73
22/10/20HCSKA Moscow86-84 OT
18/10/20HMornar Bar93-62
13/10/20HZalgiris Kaunas69-75
11/10/20ABorac Mozzart95-64
09/10/20HBaskonia90-73
05/10/20ACibona104-66
02/10/20AFenerbahce63-77
26/09/19HPrimorska82-88
17/06/19APartizan76-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.677.772.5
Allowed / game84.483.785.5
Point differential-8.8-6.0-13.0
Avg total160.0161.3158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game77.081.763.0
Allowed / game77.277.377.0
Point differential-0.2+4.3-14.0
Avg total154.2159.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zenit Petersburg220100%73.569.5+4.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas65183%80.274.5+5.7
3 Barcelona54180%78.673.4+5.2
4 Olimpia Milano43175%80.277.0+3.2
5 Baskonia32167%75.371.0+4.3
6 Bayern64267%80.879.0+1.8
7 Valencia53260%78.675.4+3.2
8 Olympiacos53260%76.874.0+2.8
9 Fenerbahce63350%74.772.3+2.3
10 Panathinaikos42250%80.079.8+0.2
11 Crvena zvezda42250%77.077.2-0.2
12 CSKA Moscow63350%79.379.8-0.5
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv62433%78.380.2-1.8
14 Real Madrid62433%79.382.2-2.8
15 Anadolu Efes41325%76.578.5-2.0
16 Alba Berlin41325%77.587.8-10.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3030%70.078.3-8.3
18 Khimki M.5050%75.684.4-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.1925142583
Crvena zvezda2218172077
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