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Khimki M. vs Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 89-65
20-16 29-17 19-13 21-19
Position#7
Record9-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#13
Record2-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game86.4
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Khimki M. v Minsk
28 Mar 2021
KHM89
MIN65
24 Nov 2019
KHM77
MIN73
20 Jan 2019
KHM70
MIN50
05 Oct 2017
KHM83
MIN55
05 Mar 2017
KHM80
MIN72
10 Apr 2016
KHM100
MIN72
17 Jan 2015
KHM98
MIN77
08 Mar 2014
KHM99
MIN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.RussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A25/02
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H28/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#7
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
81-100
81
100
-19
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A08/03
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A11/03
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
A15/03
VTB United League
Valencia
#8
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H19/03
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
W
89-70
89
70
+19
A22/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
70-91
70
91
-21
H26/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
17-27
13-14
18-14
21-26
31-20
15-24
27-29
17-18
28-20
17-24
16-15
25-20
22-21
20-27
14-32
22-19
19-20
14-18
26-21
15-8
23-26
22-28
21-30
15-29
15-22
15-16
28-25
17-27
21-17
11-14
19-19
30-8
27-22
11-18
21-22
11-14
18-25
18-27
23-25
164.9Avg total
78.9Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.683.6169.2+2.050%
Season at home (8)88.485.9174.2+2.538%
Season away (10)83.481.8165.2+1.660%
Last 10 (10)78.986.0164.9-7.130%
Last 5 (5)76.284.4160.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)79.891.5171.3-11.812%
vs Similar (2)91.584.5176.0+7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)85.776.3162.0+9.3100%
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H09/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H17/01
VTB United League
AEK Athens
#12
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H20/01
Champions League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H24/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H30/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
73-99
73
99
-26
H07/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#8
L
66-113
66
113
-47
A28/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
67-101
67
101
-34
A07/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
57-78
57
78
-21
A14/03
VTB United League
Astana
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H21/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
25-17
25-17
15-20
25-12
23-19
15-29
12-20
16-20
17-20
22-27
35-28
18-18
15-17
16-21
23-24
19-22
17-19
19-18
11-17
19-20
16-25
20-24
18-30
15-32
11-31
20-21
20-29
16-27
13-22
18-29
20-23
13-17
14-20
13-23
17-18
24-24
16-19
11-19
27-18
159.9Avg total
72.1Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)71.986.4158.3-14.611%
Season at home (9)70.682.4153.0-11.911%
Season away (9)73.290.4163.7-17.211%
Last 10 (10)72.187.8159.9-15.710%
Last 5 (5)68.294.2162.4-26.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.687.2157.8-16.66%
vs Similar (10)76.879.8156.6-3.040%
vs Weaker (3)101.753.3155.0+48.3100%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
Khimki M.Minsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A25/02
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H28/02
VTB United League
Real Madrid
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H05/03
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A08/03
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A11/03
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A15/03
VTB United League
Valencia
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H19/03
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
W
57-30
57
30
+27
A22/03
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H26/03
Euroleague
83.8Avg total
42.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.244.888.1-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.547.191.6-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)41.942.684.5-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.883.8+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.678.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)41.646.588.0-4.932%-
vs Similar (2)54.538.092.5+16.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)49.735.785.3+14.0100%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H09/01
VTB United League
Zielona Gora
#6
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H17/01
VTB United League
AEK Athens
#12
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H20/01
Champions League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H30/01
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H07/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#8
L
26-63
26
63
-37
A28/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A07/03
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A14/03
VTB United League
Astana
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/03
VTB United League
76.7Avg total
34.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.277.8-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.935.873.6+2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)39.543.883.2-4.331%-
Last 10 (10)34.442.376.7-7.910%-
Last 5 (5)31.447.478.8-16.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.042.979.9-5.925%-
vs Similar (10)39.138.477.5+0.750%-
vs Weaker (3)48.026.374.3+21.7100%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.3
52.7%
52.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.7
33.2%
37.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.014.4
84.7%
75.7%14.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.8
48.2%
52.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.0
34.5%
37.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws13.610.1
74.3%
75.7%10.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
LWLLLWLWLL
Minsk
LLLLLLLLLW
#7
League position
#13
-9.7
Net rating
-19.8
106.4
Offensive rating
96.6
116.1
Defensive rating
116.4
51.6%
Effective FG%
49.5%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
21.5%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.2%
3-point %
34.5%
62.5%
Assist %
49.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 96.6Defence116.1 · 116.4Shooting51.6% · 49.5%3-point %33.2% · 34.5%Ball care17.1% · 21.5%Off. rebounds24.7% · 27.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Minsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Khimki M. wins
0
Minsk wins
DateGameScore
26/01/20Minsk v Khimki M.80-94
24/11/19Khimki M. v Minsk77-73
11/04/19Minsk v Khimki M.92-108
20/01/19Khimki M. v Minsk70-50
12/04/18Minsk v Khimki M.79-82
05/10/17Khimki M. v Minsk83-55
05/03/17Khimki M. v Minsk80-72
26/11/16Minsk v Khimki M.73-77
10/04/16Khimki M. v Minsk100-72
20/12/15Minsk v Khimki M.88-94 OT
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/21HZenit Petersburg70-91
22/03/21AZielona Gora89-70
19/03/21HValencia68-77
15/03/21ACSKA Moscow73-92
11/03/21ACrvena zvezda81-92
08/03/21AZenit Petersburg81-78
05/03/21HAlba Berlin81-100
02/03/21HReal Madrid78-77
28/02/21HZielona Gora94-99
25/02/21AOlimpia Milano74-84
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/21HAstana78-80
14/03/21ANizhny Novgorod57-78
07/03/21ACSKA Moscow67-101
28/02/21ASaratov66-113
07/02/21HZenit Petersburg73-99
30/01/21HUnics Kazan66-76
24/01/21HBC Kalev/Cramo72-80
20/01/21HAEK Athens90-95
17/01/21HZielona Gora75-80
09/01/21HNizhny Novgorod77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
VTB United League 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %50%38%60%
Points / game85.688.483.4
Allowed / game83.685.981.8
Point differential+2.0+2.5+1.6
Avg total169.2174.2165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%25%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minsk
VTB United League 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %11%11%11%
Points / game71.970.673.2
Allowed / game86.482.490.4
Point differential-14.6-11.9-17.2
Avg total158.3153.0163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zenit Petersburg2118386%84.971.5+13.4
2 CSKA Moscow2015575%93.275.8+17.4
3 Unics Kazan2015575%82.274.7+7.5
4 Lokomotiv Kuban1913668%86.479.9+6.4
5 Nizhny Novgorod1811761%80.280.9-0.7
6 Zielona Gora23131057%87.586.4+1.1
7 Khimki M.189950%85.683.6+2.0
8 Saratov2081240%82.886.7-3.9
9 Parma Perm1871139%79.581.3-1.8
10 BC Kalev/Cramo2061430%72.881.8-9.0
11 Astana1851328%75.986.1-10.2
12 Enisey1941521%76.387.7-11.4
13 Minsk1821611%71.986.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.2029192189
Minsk1617131965
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