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Fenerbahce vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 78-61
19-11 24-18 14-15 21-17
Position#2
Record15-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Position#9
Record7-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game80.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18
European cup2018
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Zalgiris Kaunas
13 Oct 2026
FEN99
ZAL80
30 Apr 2026
FEN86
ZAL74
28 Apr 2026
FEN89
ZAL78
27 Mar 2026
FEN82
ZAL92
17 Jan 2025
FEN98
ZAL86
20 Dec 2023
FEN80
ZAL78
24 Mar 2023
FEN87
ZAL79
20 Jan 2022
FEN73
ZAL67
18 Mar 2021
FEN84
ZAL61
18 Apr 2019
FEN80
ZAL82
16 Apr 2019
FEN76
ZAL43
10 Jan 2019
FEN78
ZAL61
18 May 2018
FEN76
ZAL67
14 Dec 2017
FEN89
ZAL90
26 Oct 2016
FEN82
ZAL68
02 Feb 2011
FEN80
ZAL72
14 Jan 2010
FEN68
ZAL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
92-85
92
85
+7
118avg 110
H13/12
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
92-68
92
68
+24
no box
H15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
79-75
79
75
+4
108avg 110
H18/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
W
89-65
89
65
+24
114avg 110
A20/12
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
W
65-63
65
63
+2
87avg 110
H28/12
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
91-61
91
61
+30
no box
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
W
96-87
96
87
+9
121avg 110
H04/01
Euroleague
Banvit
#8
L
78-83 OT
78
83
-5
no box
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Khimki M.
#13
L
78-84 OT
78
84
-6
no box
A08/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
25-19
27-18
25-27
28-16
15-15
23-22
26-15
18-26
18-22
24-14
19-13
26-20
14-20
27-15
22-10
16-25
22-18
14-16
22-25
22-12
10-20
16-12
17-19
22-15
25-15
23-15
21-16
27-25
21-16
27-24
21-22
11-15
9-12
24-11
22-28
23-13
18-25
13-19
18-15
158.9Avg total
83.4Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.075.9159.9+8.188%
Season at home (8)88.878.8167.5+10.0100%
Season away (9)79.873.4153.2+6.378%
Last 10 (10)83.475.5158.9+7.970%
Last 5 (5)81.675.6157.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)78.276.5154.8+1.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.674.3159.0+10.388%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
107avg 107
A14/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
79-55
79
55
+24
no box
A16/12
LKL
Darussafaka
#16
W
75-71
75
71
+4
99avg 107
A19/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
80-73
80
73
+7
108avg 107
H21/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
72-69
72
69
+3
no box
H23/12
LKL
Gran Canaria
#14
L
66-73
66
73
-7
91avg 107
A28/12
Euroleague
Skycop
#7
W
93-48
93
48
+45
no box
H30/12
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
101avg 107
H04/01
Euroleague
Neptunas
#2
L
93-98 OT
93
98
-5
no box
A06/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
58-79
58
79
-21
80avg 107
H08/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
26-28
23-17
23-25
18-9
20-17
23-10
18-19
15-19
18-20
16-14
26-18
16-16
23-17
20-20
21-20
15-24
23-13
18-18
16-14
17-20
9-16
24-21
16-16
23-11
21-14
31-14
18-9
17-28
17-16
25-11
20-29
12-16
28-18
22-21
16-23
14-16
15-24
16-23
13-16
151.7Avg total
77.9Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.980.8160.6-0.941%
Season at home (10)78.482.0160.4-3.630%
Season away (7)82.079.0161.0+3.057%
Last 10 (10)77.973.8151.7+4.150%
Last 5 (5)77.876.4154.2+1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.285.5165.7-5.317%
vs Similar (8)83.082.0165.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (16)83.668.7152.3+14.981%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
FenerbahceZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/12
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H18/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/12
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H28/12
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H04/01
Euroleague
Banvit
#8
L
20-27
20
27
-7
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Khimki M.
#13
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A08/01
Euroleague
75.5Avg total
38.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.578.4+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.538.682.1+4.869%-
Last 30 away (17)39.036.675.6+2.447%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.075.5+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.671.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)41.039.580.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)40.937.278.1+3.758%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A16/12
LKL
Darussafaka
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A19/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H23/12
LKL
Gran Canaria
#14
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A28/12
Euroleague
Skycop
#7
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H30/12
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H04/01
Euroleague
Neptunas
#2
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H08/01
Euroleague
71.9Avg total
35.9Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.235.975.1+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.637.175.8+1.559%-
Last 30 away (13)39.834.474.2+5.562%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.071.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.870.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.838.377.2+0.567%-
vs Similar (8)39.138.677.8+0.550%-
vs Weaker (16)39.333.773.0+5.662%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.5
53.5%
52.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.79.5
45.9%
37.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.512.8
77.6%
76.7%12.8
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.3
51.3%
52.7%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.55.5
35.5%
37.0%16.5
🏀 Free throws24.820.4
82.3%
76.7%20.4
They take 53.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LLWWWLWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLLWLWWWWL
#2
League position
#9
+15.3
Net rating
-0.6
122.4
Offensive rating
108.4
107.1
Defensive rating
109.0
58.9%
Effective FG%
51.9%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
14.9%
Turnover %
18.8%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.47
45.9%
3-point %
35.5%
57.7%
Assist %
65.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence122.4 · 108.4Defence107.1 · 109.0Shooting58.9% · 51.9%3-point %45.9% · 35.5%Ball care14.9% · 18.8%Off. rebounds32.1% · 28.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.47Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Fenerbahce wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/19AKhimki M.78-84 OT
06/01/19ABanvit78-83 OT
04/01/19HBaskonia96-87
30/12/18HDarussafaka91-61
28/12/18HReal Madrid65-63
23/12/18AGalatasaray74-84
20/12/18ABuducnost89-65
18/12/18HCSKA Moscow79-75
15/12/18HAfyon Belediye92-68
13/12/18HOlimpia Milano92-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/19HAnadolu Efes58-79
06/01/19ANeptunas93-98 OT
04/01/19HCSKA Moscow79-84
30/12/18HSkycop93-48
28/12/18AGran Canaria66-73
23/12/18HJuventus72-69
21/12/18HMaccabi Tel Aviv80-73
19/12/18ADarussafaka75-71
16/12/18ANevezis79-55
14/12/18ABayern84-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %88%100%78%
Points / game84.088.879.8
Allowed / game75.978.873.4
Point differential+8.1+10.0+6.3
Avg total159.9167.5153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL41%
HomeWWWLL30%
AwayWLLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %41%30%57%
Points / game79.978.482.0
Allowed / game80.882.079.0
Point differential-0.9-3.6+3.0
Avg total160.6160.4161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %18%10%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1715288%84.075.9+8.1
2 Real Madrid1714382%86.975.6+11.3
3 CSKA Moscow1713476%87.781.6+6.1
4 Anadolu Efes1812667%85.880.2+5.6
5 Olympiacos1711665%81.176.9+4.2
6 Barcelona1710759%78.276.6+1.6
7 Olimpia Milano178947%87.486.4+0.9
8 Panathinaikos178947%78.579.3-0.8
9 Bayern178947%79.581.2-1.8
10 Baskonia1771041%81.582.2-0.6
11 Zalgiris Kaunas1771041%79.980.8-0.9
12 Khimki M.1871139%78.980.1-1.2
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv1761135%78.280.5-2.2
14 Gran Canaria1761135%79.787.8-8.1
15 Buducnost1731418%74.085.6-11.6
16 Darussafaka1721512%74.685.5-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1924142178
Zalgiris Kaunas1118151761
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