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Zalgiris Kaunas vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-84
17-28 17-16 25-11 20-29
Position#9
Record7-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game80.7
Zalgiris Kaunas
vs
CSKA Moscow 🏆
Position#1
Record11-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game82.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16
European cup2018
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v CSKA Moscow
10 Dec 2021
ZAL51
CMO73
17 Nov 2020
ZAL78
CMO87
04 Jan 2019
ZAL79
CMO84
30 Mar 2018
ZAL85
CMO73
24 Jan 2017
ZAL79
CMO74
05 Feb 2016
ZAL59
CMO94
06 Mar 2014
ZAL86
CMO88
17 Jan 2013
ZAL73
CMO87
28 Oct 2012
ZAL76
CMO66
17 Oct 2011
ZAL74
CMO87
03 Feb 2010
ZAL68
CMO83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H29/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H06/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H09/12
LKL
Bayern
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A14/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
79-55
79
55
+24
A16/12
LKL
Darussafaka
#16
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A19/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H21/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H23/12
LKL
Gran Canaria
#14
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A28/12
Euroleague
Skycop
#7
W
93-48
93
48
+45
H30/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
22-8
20-27
23-20
19-29
21-19
20-11
23-16
22-14
19-24
30-16
24-32
12-18
26-28
23-17
23-25
18-9
20-17
23-10
18-19
15-19
18-20
16-14
26-18
16-16
23-17
20-20
21-20
15-24
23-13
18-18
16-14
17-20
9-16
24-21
16-16
23-11
21-14
31-14
18-9
152.6Avg total
81.0Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.480.7162.1+0.747%
Season at home (8)80.982.1163.0-1.238%
Season away (7)82.079.0161.0+3.057%
Last 10 (10)81.071.6152.6+9.480%
Last 5 (5)77.266.8144.0+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)86.087.5173.5-1.525%
vs Similar (8)83.082.0165.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (18)82.666.8149.4+15.889%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#15
L
92-93
92
93
-1
A23/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A29/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A07/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#9
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H10/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#13
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H13/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A18/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
102-84
102
84
+18
H20/12
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
107-80
107
80
+27
A23/12
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#7
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A28/12
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A30/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
28-18
18-30
25-28
24-20
14-21
29-20
26-27
21-21
17-19
17-15
18-21
16-21
23-14
33-19
29-17
24-17
25-23
26-13
13-21
26-18
22-18
14-24
13-19
31-24
25-30
21-14
25-16
32-15
25-24
19-17
31-24
26-19
18-36
18-17
22-24
19-20
28-20
23-17
15-23
172.1Avg total
90.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.582.9171.3+5.673%
Season at home (6)88.778.3167.0+10.3100%
Season away (9)88.385.9174.2+2.456%
Last 10 (10)90.082.1172.1+7.960%
Last 5 (5)90.683.8174.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)90.083.7173.7+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)93.478.9172.3+14.489%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
Zalgiris KaunasCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H29/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H06/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H09/12
LKL
Bayern
#12
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A16/12
LKL
Darussafaka
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A19/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H23/12
LKL
Gran Canaria
#14
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A28/12
Euroleague
Skycop
#7
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H30/12
LKL
73.6Avg total
37.7Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.935.375.1+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.736.676.2+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)40.133.873.9+6.364%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.973.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.070.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)42.536.579.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (8)39.138.677.8+0.550%-
vs Weaker (18)39.633.573.1+6.167%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#15
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A23/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A29/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A07/12
Euroleague
Enisey
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/12
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#13
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H13/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A18/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H20/12
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A23/12
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#7
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A28/12
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A30/12
VTB United League
88.0Avg total
46.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.639.886.4+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.539.185.6+7.481%-
Last 30 away (14)46.640.687.2+6.164%-
Last 10 (10)46.541.588.0+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)50.444.895.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)47.343.791.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.539.485.9+7.174%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.9
54.0%
52.7%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.76.1
38.9%
37.0%18.3
🏀 Free throws21.317.1
80.3%
76.7%17.1
They take 54.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.3
51.5%
52.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.410.0
44.6%
37.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.014.3
79.4%
76.7%14.3
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWWWLWWW
CSKA Moscow
WLWWLWWLWL
#9
League position
#1
+0.6
Net rating
+3.9
110.9
Offensive rating
118.0
110.3
Defensive rating
114.1
55.2%
Effective FG%
57.1%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.9%
3-point %
44.6%
65.6%
Assist %
62.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 118.0Defence110.3 · 114.1Shooting55.2% · 57.1%3-point %38.9% · 44.6%Ball care19.1% · 16.5%Off. rebounds28.9% · 31.8%Free throws0.39 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
7
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
21/11/18CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas99-97 OT
20/05/18CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas77-79
30/03/18Zalgiris Kaunas v CSKA Moscow85-73
03/11/17CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas94-91
24/01/17Zalgiris Kaunas v CSKA Moscow79-74
18/11/16CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas95-86
01/04/16CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas100-86
05/02/16Zalgiris Kaunas v CSKA Moscow59-94
06/03/14Zalgiris Kaunas v CSKA Moscow86-88
10/01/14CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas77-62
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/18HSkycop93-48
28/12/18AGran Canaria66-73
23/12/18HJuventus72-69
21/12/18HMaccabi Tel Aviv80-73
19/12/18ADarussafaka75-71
16/12/18ANevezis79-55
14/12/18ABayern84-88
09/12/18HRytas95-86
06/12/18HOlympiacos83-75
29/11/18HOlimpia Milano83-78
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/18ABC Kalev/Cramo85-80
28/12/18APanathinaikos84-96
23/12/18AVEF Riga107-80
20/12/18HAnadolu Efes102-84
18/12/18AFenerbahce75-79
13/12/18HKhimki M.88-74
10/12/18HEnisey101-71
07/12/18ABaskonia73-76
29/11/18AReal Madrid93-88
23/11/18ABuducnost92-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL47%
HomeLLWWW38%
AwayWLLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%38%57%
Points / game81.480.982.0
Allowed / game80.782.179.0
Point differential+0.7-1.2+3.0
Avg total162.1163.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %20%12%29%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %73%100%56%
Points / game88.588.788.3
Allowed / game82.978.385.9
Point differential+5.6+10.3+2.4
Avg total171.3167.0174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %7%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1615194%84.475.4+8.9
2 Real Madrid1613381%87.776.2+11.5
3 CSKA Moscow1511473%88.582.9+5.6
4 Anadolu Efes1610662%86.582.1+4.4
5 Olympiacos159660%80.677.0+3.6
6 Barcelona158753%76.276.8-0.6
7 Olimpia Milano168850%87.586.2+1.3
8 Bayern168850%80.281.5-1.2
9 Zalgiris Kaunas157847%81.480.7+0.7
10 Panathinaikos157847%79.580.1-0.7
11 Baskonia167944%81.281.6-0.4
12 Khimki M.1661038%79.080.1-1.1
13 Gran Canaria1661038%80.588.6-8.1
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1651131%78.180.8-2.7
15 Buducnost1631319%73.985.9-12.1
16 Darussafaka1521313%75.985.1-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1717252079
CSKA Moscow2816112984
← all games of the day
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