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Kilsyth vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 May 2022
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 68-74
14-28 27-12 17-13 10-21
Position#3
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#12
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game87.0
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 4
Other2022
Meetings · Kilsyth v Ballarat
12 May 2024
KILS68
BALL80
24 Jun 2023
KILS96
BALL97
14 May 2022
KILS68
BALL74
11 May 2019
KILS71
BALL87
08 Apr 2017
KILS63
BALL69
23 Jul 2016
KILS95
BALL79
15 Aug 2015
KILS69
BALL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KilsythAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#13
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A02/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H03/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H10/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A11/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H31/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A21/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H23/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H30/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A06/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
W
100-73
100
73
+27
A07/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
22-27
16-22
26-22
13-16
24-17
16-20
25-15
23-24
17-18
22-26
18-13
25-17
25-13
20-30
15-17
23-11
17-21
20-24
16-18
19-24
12-18
18-20
12-13
24-13
24-17
17-17
21-19
11-13
20-17
26-23
20-23
16-15
17-21
29-22
25-14
29-16
155.1Avg total
80.1Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.673.6152.2+5.080%
Season at home (2)69.565.0134.5+4.5100%
Season away (3)84.779.3164.0+5.367%
Last 10 (10)80.175.0155.1+5.180%
Last 5 (5)78.673.6152.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.982.3159.2-5.460%
vs Similar (14)79.678.1157.7+1.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.374.2157.5+9.267%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A27/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H03/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A04/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H10/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H31/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A01/08
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
H23/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H30/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A01/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A07/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
26-21
21-22
29-16
26-15
27-17
21-21
20-14
29-14
18-23
23-12
18-20
32-20
19-22
17-15
15-20
30-11
22-28
18-20
16-17
14-22
18-29
19-14
20-19
21-26
23-29
19-17
24-15
16-21
30-18
29-12
24-28
19-28
26-30
19-12
20-19
24-28
24-24
19-15
24-15
168.2Avg total
88.4Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.587.0179.5+5.550%
Season at home (2)97.588.5186.0+9.050%
Season away (2)87.585.5173.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)88.479.8168.2+8.670%
Last 5 (5)88.286.4174.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.880.8160.5-1.050%
vs Similar (8)80.880.9161.6-0.138%
vs Weaker (18)85.476.9162.3+8.472%
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
KilsythBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H03/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H10/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A11/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H31/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A21/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H23/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H30/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A06/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A07/05
NBL1 South
81.7Avg total
40.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.641.179.7-2.441%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.541.478.9-3.943%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.780.4-1.140%-
Last 10 (9)40.241.481.7-1.256%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.080.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.142.179.2-5.040%-
vs Similar (13)38.239.878.0-1.531%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.042.284.2-0.267%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A27/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H03/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H10/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H31/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A01/08
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H23/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H30/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A01/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A07/05
NBL1 South
90.4Avg total
46.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.783.2-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.740.883.5+1.953%-
Last 30 away (13)39.942.882.8-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)46.044.490.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.051.094.0-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.239.577.8-1.225%-
vs Similar (8)38.243.281.5-5.038%-
vs Weaker (18)43.741.585.2+2.256%-
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kilsyth wins
5
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
26/06/21Ballarat v Kilsyth50-61
27/07/19Ballarat v Kilsyth80-66
11/05/19Kilsyth v Ballarat71-87
21/05/17Ballarat v Kilsyth81-76
08/04/17Kilsyth v Ballarat63-69
23/07/16Kilsyth v Ballarat95-79
15/08/15Kilsyth v Ballarat69-76 OT
26/04/15Ballarat v Kilsyth78-100
Kilsythlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/22ANW Tasmania100-73
06/05/22AHobart Chargers82-78
30/04/22HCasey Cavaliers73-66
23/04/22HKnox66-64
21/04/22ARingwood72-87
31/07/21HDandenong83-71
11/07/21AFrankston82-74
10/07/21HRingwood88-76
03/07/21HMt Gambier77-87
02/07/21ARingwood78-74
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/22ABendigo Braves91-82
01/05/22ASandringham Sabres84-89
30/04/22HEltham99-79
23/04/22HGeelong96-98 OT
01/08/21ABendigo Braves71-84
31/07/21HEltham86-76
10/07/21HKnox83-77
04/07/21ADiamond Valley88-69
03/07/21HNunawading94-67
27/06/21AMelbourne Tigers92-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game78.669.584.7
Allowed / game73.665.079.3
Point differential+5.0+4.5+5.3
Avg total152.2134.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game92.597.587.5
Allowed / game87.088.585.5
Point differential+5.5+9.0+2.0
Avg total179.5186.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier440100%104.288.8+15.5
2 Geelong54180%89.274.8+14.4
3 Frankston54180%94.480.8+13.6
4 Nunawading54180%77.867.8+10.0
5 Kilsyth54180%78.673.6+5.0
6 NW Tasmania43175%73.272.0+1.2
7 Ringwood43175%72.879.8-7.0
8 Ballarat42250%92.587.0+5.5
9 Diamond Valley42250%89.289.8-0.5
10 Waverley42250%84.087.2-3.2
11 Melbourne Tigers42250%73.880.0-6.2
12 Knox52340%78.878.4+0.4
13 Hobart Chargers31233%78.079.3-1.3
14 Sandringham Sabres62433%75.284.7-9.5
15 Keilor Thunder41325%75.578.0-2.5
16 Dandenong51420%79.883.4-3.6
17 Casey Cavaliers51420%77.289.4-12.2
18 Bendigo Braves5050%71.281.8-10.6
19 Eltham3030%68.380.0-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kilsyth1427171068
Ballarat2812132174
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