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Kilsyth vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 83-84
21-19 19-20 30-17 13-28
Position#7
Record14-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#4
Record15-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game81.9
AustraliaNBL1 SouthNBL1 South - Quarter-finals
Other2025
Meetings · Kilsyth v Melbourne Tigers
02 Aug 2025
KILS83
MELB84
22 Jun 2024
KILS77
MELB44
25 Jun 2022
KILS82
MELB78
28 Apr 2019
KILS92
MELB72
22 Jul 2017
KILS84
MELB67
23 Apr 2016
KILS73
MELB63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KilsythAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
97-81
97
81
+16
H06/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
99-100
99
100
-1
H14/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A21/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H22/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
98-77
98
77
+21
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A05/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
109-87
109
87
+22
A11/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
104-91
104
91
+13
A15/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
H18/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
61-97
61
97
-36
A26/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
27-19
30-21
21-22
25-29
17-21
32-33
25-17
16-25
20-27
16-26
29-17
22-15
21-13
20-27
29-22
26-22
15-16
31-20
26-19
24-26
20-20
28-15
13-21
27-18
18-23
30-22
34-24
31-28
26-27
23-19
24-17
10-17
34-18
24-21
18-30
14-27
14-29
12-23
21-18
180.4Avg total
92.2Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.086.5174.5+1.661%
Season at home (11)87.385.1172.4+2.264%
Season away (12)88.887.8176.5+1.058%
Last 10 (10)92.288.2180.4+4.070%
Last 5 (5)91.090.4181.4+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.893.4171.1-15.612%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.879.7164.5+5.179%
vs Weaker (8)93.284.5177.8+8.875%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H15/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
95-84
95
84
+11
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
98-83
98
83
+15
H28/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H29/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A05/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A08/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H11/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H18/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
102-99
102
99
+3
A19/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H26/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
15-27
22-22
11-20
16-24
25-19
40-19
14-22
25-20
20-20
21-16
32-27
17-26
17-16
20-13
31-11
17-22
16-27
18-22
20-21
26-19
15-33
25-15
16-26
25-10
22-23
22-26
18-18
28-19
17-20
22-27
30-28
21-29
28-20
23-21
30-29
19-21
26-20
24-13
20-23
174.1Avg total
88.5Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.781.9169.6+5.865%
Season at home (12)87.280.2167.5+7.067%
Season away (11)88.283.7171.9+4.564%
Last 10 (10)88.585.6174.1+2.970%
Last 5 (5)91.488.0179.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)86.482.8169.2+3.660%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.584.9163.5-6.431%
vs Weaker (12)90.977.9168.8+13.092%
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
KilsythMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H06/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H14/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A21/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H22/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A05/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A11/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A15/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H18/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
28-56
28
56
-28
A26/07
NBL1 South
86.5Avg total
42.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.484.4-0.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.039.579.5+0.564%-
Last 30 away (16)43.844.988.6-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.986.5-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.646.690.2-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.146.584.6-8.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.141.584.6+1.671%-
vs Weaker (8)44.039.883.8+4.275%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H15/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H28/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A05/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H11/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H18/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A19/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/07
NBL1 South
86.3Avg total
42.6Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.585.5+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.942.386.2+1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.784.9-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.786.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.888.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.843.887.6+0.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.843.083.8-2.238%-
vs Weaker (12)45.141.586.6+3.658%-
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Kilsyth wins
0
Melbourne Tigers wins
Kilsythlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/25AMt Gambier61-97
18/07/25HWaverley96-95 OT
15/07/25ARingwood104-91
11/07/25ACasey Cavaliers109-87
05/07/25ABallarat85-82
28/06/25HDandenong98-77
22/06/25HGeelong92-77
21/06/25AWaverley81-95
14/06/25HMt Gambier99-100
06/06/25HBendigo Braves97-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/25HBallarat89-77
19/07/25AWaverley102-99
18/07/25HCasey Cavaliers97-94
11/07/25HDiamond Valley87-77
08/07/25ARingwood82-93
05/07/25ASandringham Sabres71-92
29/06/25HBendigo Braves85-66
28/06/25HNW Tasmania98-83
20/06/25AMt Gambier95-84
15/06/25HHobart Chargers79-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayLWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%64%58%
Points / game88.087.388.8
Allowed / game86.585.187.8
Point differential+1.6+2.2+1.0
Avg total174.5172.4176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%36%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWWLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%67%64%
Points / game87.787.288.2
Allowed / game81.980.283.7
Point differential+5.8+7.0+4.5
Avg total169.6167.5171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox2318578%90.983.6+7.3
2 Mt Gambier2317674%96.581.5+15.0
3 Sandringham Sabres2416867%94.789.6+5.1
4 Melbourne Tigers2315865%87.781.9+5.8
5 Kilsyth2314961%88.086.5+1.6
6 Ballarat2314961%87.488.9-1.5
7 Eltham24141058%88.385.3+3.0
8 Hobart Chargers22121055%89.187.6+1.5
9 Ringwood22111150%95.190.8+4.3
10 Casey Cavaliers22111150%87.886.4+1.4
11 Nunawading22111150%87.486.4+1.0
12 Frankston22101245%92.691.0+1.7
13 Waverley2291341%93.796.5-2.9
14 Dandenong2281436%91.195.5-4.4
15 Keilor Thunder2281436%82.488.0-5.7
16 Bendigo Braves2281436%81.794.3-12.6
17 Geelong2271532%81.988.5-6.5
18 NW Tasmania2151624%86.592.4-5.9
19 Diamond Valley2251723%84.595.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kilsyth2119301383
Melbourne Tigers1920172884
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