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KK Triglav Kranj vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 72-74
13-19 21-22 18-17 20-16
Position#8
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#7
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game63.7
Allowed / game86.3
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 4· Sportna dvorana Planina
Other2026-27
Meetings · KK Triglav Kranj v Rogaska
16 Oct 2026
KK T72
ROGA74
17 Jan 2026
KK T89
ROGA72
25 Jan 2025
KK T77
ROGA80
03 Feb 2024
KK T75
ROGA67
16 Apr 2022
KK T90
ROGA80
07 Dec 2021
KK T76
ROGA78
09 Jan 2021
KK T53
ROGA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KK Triglav Kranj winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KK Triglav KranjSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKranj
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#7
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
82avg 76
A18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
L
64-65
64
65
-1
63avg 76
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
74-73
74
73
+1
71avg 76
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
82-58
82
58
+24
81avg 76
H03/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
85-84
85
84
+1
84avg 76
A08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
70-86
70
86
-16
67avg 76
H11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
65-72
65
72
-7
56avg 76
A13/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#6
L
69-72
69
72
-3
59avg 76
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
79-89
79
89
-10
75avg 76
H30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
79-60
79
60
+19
80avg 76
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
21-20
22-22
19-16
15-19
11-15
23-14
15-17
17-14
23-12
16-29
18-18
20-17
22-13
20-13
20-15
19-24
22-22
22-18
22-20
19-20
11-29
25-22
15-15
9-20
21-24
18-14
17-14
17-18
17-27
18-10
17-17
8-23
31-22
11-23
29-21
16-15
25-21
22-7
16-17
151.6Avg total
76.1Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.773.7149.3+2.033%
Season at home (2)79.074.5153.5+4.550%
Season away (1)69.072.0141.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)76.175.5151.6+0.640%
Last 5 (5)72.475.8148.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.483.8161.2-6.527%
vs Similar (5)78.482.0160.4-3.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.472.5153.9+8.964%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
87-82
87
82
+5
85avg 73
A28/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
84avg 73
A06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
106-73
106
73
+33
105avg 73
H13/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
97avg 73
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
75-92
75
92
-17
70avg 73
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
97-79
97
79
+18
100avg 73
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
75avg 73
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#2
L
75-92
75
92
-17
63avg 73
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#4
L
49-87
49
87
-38
32avg 73
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
59avg 73
H10/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
18-18
18-13
32-25
15-28
20-21
23-24
26-11
17-24
31-17
27-17
31-15
24-20
20-21
22-22
16-19
12-15
19-29
21-27
23-21
27-19
21-26
27-20
22-14
24-15
23-29
12-14
17-22
20-27
29-26
24-21
2-18
13-25
4-23
19-22
13-17
21-25
21-6
11-20
14-29
168.0Avg total
82.2Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)63.786.3150.0-22.70%
Season at home (2)71.086.0157.0-15.00%
Season away (1)49.087.0136.0-38.00%
Last 10 (10)82.285.8168.0-3.640%
Last 5 (5)72.883.6156.4-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.087.1160.1-14.112%
vs Similar (7)86.187.7173.9-1.643%
vs Weaker (7)91.080.9171.9+10.171%
This opponent (KK Triglav Kranj) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
KK Triglav KranjRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KK Triglav KranjLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A13/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
76.3Avg total
36.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.379.5-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.639.580.1+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)37.541.278.7-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)36.439.976.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.843.878.6-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.543.580.0-6.918%-
vs Similar (5)37.844.682.4-6.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.736.378.0+5.464%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A28/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H13/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#2
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#4
L
17-48
17
48
-31
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/10
Liga Nova KBM
83.8Avg total
39.8Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.545.083.5-6.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.643.284.9-1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)34.947.182.0-12.114%-
Last 10 (10)39.844.083.8-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.284.8-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.846.080.8-11.212%-
vs Similar (7)39.643.783.3-4.143%-
vs Weaker (7)45.944.190.0+1.771%-
This opponent (KK Triglav Kranj) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KK Triglav Kranjtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Triglav Kranj: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.2
56.1%
53.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.3
27.2%
30.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.111.8
69.0%
70.0%11.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.7
52.0%
53.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.9
32.6%
30.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws26.817.6
65.7%
70.0%17.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KK Triglav Kranj
WLLLLWWWLL
Rogaska
LLLLWLWWLW
#8
League position
#7
+0.7
Net rating
-3.0
90.2
Offensive rating
91.0
89.5
Defensive rating
93.9
49.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.42
27.2%
3-point %
32.6%
75.1%
Assist %
69.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.2 · 91.0Defence89.5 · 93.9Shooting49.8% · 50.9%3-point %27.2% · 32.6%Ball care17.2% · 17.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ KK Triglav Kranj   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
KK Triglav Kranj wins
6
Rogaska wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/26HHelios Domzale79-60
30/09/26HPerspektiva Ilirija79-89
26/09/26AZlatorog Lasko69-72
13/05/26APerspektiva Ilirija65-72
11/05/26HPerspektiva Ilirija70-86
08/05/26APerspektiva Ilirija85-84
03/05/26HTajfun Sentjur82-58
30/04/26AZlatorog Lasko74-73
27/04/26HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek64-65
18/04/26ARogaska94-96 OT
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HGorica67-80
03/10/26APolzela49-87
26/09/26HSencur75-92
04/05/26AZlatorog Lasko76-80
30/04/26HHelios Domzale97-79
21/04/26AKK Krka Novo mesto75-92
18/04/26HKK Triglav Kranj96-94 OT
13/04/26HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek106-73
06/04/26APolzela94-99 OT
28/03/26ATajfun Sentjur87-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KK Triglav Kranj
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game75.779.069.0
Allowed / game73.774.572.0
Point differential+2.0+4.5-3.0
Avg total149.3153.5141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game63.771.049.0
Allowed / game86.386.087.0
Point differential-22.7-15.0-38.0
Avg total150.0157.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sencur330100%95.776.7+19.0
2 KK Krka Novo mesto440100%84.866.5+18.2
3 Perspektiva Ilirija43175%87.572.5+15.0
4 Polzela32167%80.768.0+12.7
5 Gorica32167%75.774.0+1.7
6 Zlatorog Lasko42250%72.078.0-6.0
7 KK Triglav Kranj31233%75.773.7+2.0
8 Helios Domzale4040%64.083.2-19.2
9 Rogaska3030%63.786.3-22.7
10 Tajfun Sentjur3030%67.390.7-23.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KK Triglav Kranj1321182072
Rogaska1922171674
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