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KK Triglav Kranj vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 75-67
21-17 18-17 25-20 11-13
Position#10
Record6-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#8
Record6-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game78.6
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 18· Sportna dvorana Planina
Other2023-24
Meetings · KK Triglav Kranj v Rogaska
16 Oct 2026
KK T72
ROGA74
17 Jan 2026
KK T89
ROGA72
25 Jan 2025
KK T77
ROGA80
03 Feb 2024
KK T75
ROGA67
16 Apr 2022
KK T90
ROGA80
07 Dec 2021
KK T76
ROGA78
09 Jan 2021
KK T53
ROGA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KK Triglav Kranj winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KK Triglav KranjSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKranj
Date
Competition
Sencur
#5
L
75-92
75
92
-17
76avg 66
A01/12
Liga Nova KBM
Plama P.
#12
W
99-62
99
62
+37
no box
H04/12
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
W
81-72
81
72
+9
81avg 66
H11/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
60-86
60
86
-26
43avg 66
A13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
96-72
96
72
+24
104avg 66
H22/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
52-103
52
103
-51
29avg 66
H03/01
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
81-63
81
63
+18
78avg 66
A08/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
78-83
78
83
-5
77avg 66
A15/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
91-68
91
68
+23
86avg 66
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
68avg 66
A27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
21-26
14-23
21-19
26-8
28-15
24-16
21-23
19-25
18-16
26-15
18-16
10-29
15-18
18-21
17-18
20-12
26-25
33-11
17-24
9-25
17-31
16-24
10-23
20-17
23-11
18-17
20-18
22-25
19-20
22-20
15-18
22-14
31-13
20-23
18-18
15-18
19-23
19-20
19-17
156.4Avg total
78.5Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.377.1152.4-1.835%
Season at home (8)77.173.6150.8+3.550%
Season away (9)73.780.1153.8-6.422%
Last 10 (10)78.577.9156.4+0.650%
Last 5 (5)74.879.0153.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.183.1151.3-15.014%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.674.1150.7+2.553%
vs Weaker (5)83.657.4141.0+26.2100%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
LTH Castings
#7
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 78
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
no box
A12/12
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
89-92
89
92
-3
87avg 78
H18/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
95-60
95
60
+35
no box
H20/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
89avg 78
A23/12
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
73-74
73
74
-1
74avg 78
A05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 78
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
L
87-99
87
99
-12
87avg 78
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 78
A16/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
77-69
77
69
+8
78avg 78
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-14
24-29
22-23
26-27
30-21
29-21
27-21
13-24
23-25
29-27
22-18
15-22
18-22
26-17
26-6
25-15
16-23
28-17
31-26
18-29
17-18
20-20
18-15
18-21
27-22
15-19
23-23
34-30
25-17
22-21
33-22
7-39
22-19
12-24
20-16
22-23
22-19
21-19
12-17
22-14
171.7Avg total
87.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.278.6154.8-2.535%
Season at home (9)81.381.4162.8-0.156%
Season away (8)70.475.5145.9-5.112%
Last 10 (10)87.284.5171.7+2.740%
Last 5 (5)82.483.6166.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.187.6164.7-10.433%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.977.6154.4-0.750%
vs Weaker (6)88.876.0164.8+12.867%
This opponent (KK Triglav Kranj) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -4.4-4.4
KK Triglav KranjRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KK Triglav KranjLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A01/12
Liga Nova KBM
Plama P.
#12
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H04/12
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H11/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H22/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
26-56
26
56
-30
H03/01
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A08/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A15/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A27/01
Liga Nova KBM
79.4Avg total
39.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.836.375.2+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.935.773.6+2.250%-
Last 30 away (16)39.636.976.5+2.856%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.579.4+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.478.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.943.675.4-11.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.334.875.1+5.565%-
vs Weaker (5)43.831.475.2+12.480%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LTH Castings
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A12/12
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H18/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H20/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A23/12
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A16/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
85.2Avg total
43.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.640.382.8+2.362%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.441.184.4+2.369%-
Last 30 away (13)41.539.380.8+2.254%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.485.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.680.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.443.784.1-3.244%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.240.582.6+1.754%-
vs Weaker (6)45.836.882.7+9.0100%-
This opponent (KK Triglav Kranj) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KK Triglav Kranjtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Triglav Kranj: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.4
52.9%
52.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.9
32.8%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.913.7
76.5%
74.0%13.7
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.3
56.3%
52.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.2
37.6%
33.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.415.5
79.9%
74.0%15.5
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KK Triglav Kranj
LWLWLWLWWL
Rogaska
WLLWLLWLWL
#10
League position
#8
-5.7
Net rating
-6.3
102.9
Offensive rating
110.2
108.6
Defensive rating
116.5
51.4%
Effective FG%
56.3%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
20.6%
Turnover %
23.7%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.8%
3-point %
37.6%
70.0%
Assist %
59.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 110.2Defence108.6 · 116.5Shooting51.4% · 56.3%3-point %32.8% · 37.6%Ball care20.6% · 23.7%Off. rebounds28.5% · 34.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ KK Triglav Kranj   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
KK Triglav Kranj wins
6
Rogaska wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek72-78
20/01/24HLTH Castings91-68
15/01/24APerspektiva Ilirija78-83
08/01/24ATajfun Sentjur81-63
03/01/24HCedevita Olimpija52-103
22/12/23HPolzela96-72
13/12/23AKK Krka Novo mesto60-86
11/12/23HHelios Domzale81-72
04/12/23HPlama P.99-62
01/12/23ASencur75-92
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HPolzela77-69
16/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto76-82
12/01/24HHelios Domzale87-99
09/01/24HPerspektiva Ilirija99-94
05/01/24ASencur73-74
23/12/23ATajfun Sentjur93-95
20/12/23HVojnik95-60
18/12/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek89-92
12/12/23AVojnik99-87
09/12/23ALTH Castings84-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KK Triglav Kranj
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL35%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%50%22%
Points / game75.377.173.7
Allowed / game77.173.680.1
Point differential-1.8+3.5-6.4
Avg total152.4150.8153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%12%11%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW35%
HomeLWLLW56%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%56%12%
Points / game76.281.370.4
Allowed / game78.681.475.5
Point differential-2.5-0.1-5.1
Avg total154.8162.8145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1715288%91.576.5+15.1
2 Helios Domzale1713476%83.575.2+8.4
3 Perspektiva Ilirija1711665%80.878.1+2.8
4 LTH Castings179853%83.885.5-1.7
5 Sencur178947%78.180.1-2.0
6 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1771041%83.485.0-1.6
7 Tajfun Sentjur1771041%78.984.8-5.9
8 KK Triglav Kranj1761135%75.377.1-1.8
9 Rogaska1761135%76.278.6-2.5
10 Polzela1731418%78.088.6-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KK Triglav Kranj2118251175
Rogaska1717201367
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