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Tajfun Sentjur vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 82-87
26-19 18-18 13-18 25-32
Position#10
Record7-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Rogaska 🏆
Slovenia
Position#7
Record6-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game86.2
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 21· Osnovna sola Hrusevec Sentjur
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tajfun Sentjur v Rogaska
13 Feb 2027
TSE v ROGA
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
TSE82
ROGA87
27 Sep 2025
TSE84
ROGA88
20 Oct 2024
TSE75
ROGA79
23 Dec 2023
TSE95
ROGA93
06 May 2023
TSE87
ROGA92
19 Dec 2022
TSE68
ROGA79
15 Nov 2022
TSE83
ROGA88
09 Apr 2022
TSE89
ROGA77
04 Dec 2021
TSE90
ROGA88
22 May 2021
TSE101
ROGA94
23 Dec 2020
TSE88
ROGA95
02 Nov 2019
TSE71
ROGA86
13 Oct 2018
TSE77
ROGA80
23 Apr 2018
TSE0
ROGA20
13 Feb 2018
TSE76
ROGA86
28 Oct 2016
TSE57
ROGA60
13 Apr 2016
TSE77
ROGA84
28 May 2015
TSE67
ROGA65
24 May 2015
TSE88
ROGA81
18 Apr 2015
TSE89
ROGA71
10 Jan 2015
TSE76
ROGA65
14 Dec 2013
TSE59
ROGA78
15 Dec 2012
TSE88
ROGA69
10 Dec 2011
TSE73
ROGA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tajfun Sentjur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tajfun SentjurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSentjur
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#7
W
97-72
97
72
+25
98avg 72
A08/12
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
W
93-80
93
80
+13
99avg 72
H13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
95-70
95
70
+25
93avg 72
A20/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
74-70
74
70
+4
66avg 72
H10/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
67-91
67
91
-24
no box
A17/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H23/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
76-100
76
100
-24
no box
A28/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
82-100
82
100
-18
no box
H09/02
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
88-75
88
75
+13
no box
A14/02
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
L
76-83
76
83
-7
73avg 72
A14/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
23-27
24-20
20-10
23-26
17-18
24-12
29-24
28-20
23-22
19-18
25-10
25-23
16-22
21-12
12-13
24-22
15-18
13-29
15-22
20-27
27-22
21-20
19-22
19-20
17-35
23-20
17-25
28-28
12-27
14-20
28-25
24-21
23-15
16-18
25-21
19-18
16-24
13-21
28-20
166.7Avg total
83.5Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.184.4162.4-6.337%
Season at home (9)78.184.4162.6-6.333%
Season away (10)78.084.3162.3-6.340%
Last 10 (10)83.583.2166.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)81.889.8171.6-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)74.085.9159.9-11.921%
vs Similar (7)81.179.3160.4+1.943%
vs Weaker (4)78.873.0151.8+5.875%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
53-89
53
89
-36
50avg 72
H30/12
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
69-97
69
97
-28
58avg 72
A06/01
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
85avg 72
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
A17/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
no box
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A02/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
A04/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
61-82
61
82
-21
no box
A14/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
72avg 72
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
83-84
83
84
-1
80avg 72
H16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-20
20-15
4-23
22-31
10-30
26-26
20-24
13-17
19-23
21-15
20-14
26-23
17-23
20-18
20-32
15-16
13-25
18-26
24-29
19-18
13-21
22-24
30-25
17-11
17-22
29-20
23-15
20-30
9-18
16-28
12-23
24-13
15-22
19-26
25-16
19-15
24-25
21-21
15-16
23-22
160.8Avg total
74.7Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.586.2166.7-5.830%
Season at home (10)80.784.4165.1-3.730%
Season away (10)80.288.0168.2-7.830%
Last 10 (10)74.786.1160.8-11.430%
Last 5 (5)78.682.6161.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.685.4161.0-9.827%
vs Similar (6)80.384.8165.2-4.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.884.8176.5+7.062%
This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -8.5-8.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -8.5-8.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
Tajfun SentjurRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tajfun SentjurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/12
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A20/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H10/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H23/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A28/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H09/02
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A14/02
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/03
Liga Nova KBM
87.9Avg total
42.9Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.343.081.2-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.643.681.2-6.136%-
Last 30 away (16)38.942.481.2-3.538%-
Last 10 (10)42.945.087.9-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.047.488.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.945.181.9-8.226%-
vs Similar (7)41.139.780.9+1.457%-
vs Weaker (4)39.838.878.5+1.050%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H30/12
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A06/01
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A17/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A02/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A04/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A14/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H16/03
Liga Nova KBM
80.4Avg total
35.6Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.344.683.9-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.443.684.1-3.243%-
Last 30 away (16)38.245.483.7-7.225%-
Last 10 (10)35.644.880.4-9.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.045.482.4-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.946.282.1-10.313%-
vs Similar (6)39.242.281.3-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.245.490.6-0.150%-
This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tajfun Sentjurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tajfun Sentjur: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.3
52.7%
54.3%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.7
35.5%
33.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.013.1
77.1%
72.9%13.1
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.3
51.3%
54.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.66.9
28.0%
33.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.114.4
71.6%
72.9%14.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tajfun Sentjur
LWLLLLWWWW
Rogaska
LLLWWLLWLL
#10
League position
#7
-6.5
Net rating
-7.3
101.4
Offensive rating
93.3
107.9
Defensive rating
100.5
53.0%
Effective FG%
47.7%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
22.8%
Turnover %
19.2%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.5%
3-point %
28.0%
70.7%
Assist %
69.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 93.3Defence107.9 · 100.5Shooting53.0% · 47.7%3-point %35.5% · 28.0%Ball care22.8% · 19.2%Off. rebounds34.5% · 25.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Tajfun Sentjur   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tajfun Sentjur wins
6
Rogaska wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26APolzela76-83
14/02/26AZlatorog Lasko88-75
09/02/26HSencur82-100
28/01/26APerspektiva Ilirija76-100
23/01/26HHelios Domzale87-91
17/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto67-91
10/01/26HKK Triglav Kranj74-70
20/12/25ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek95-70
13/12/25HPolzela93-80
08/12/25ARogaska97-72
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/26HPerspektiva Ilirija83-84
09/03/26ASencur78-79
14/02/26ASencur61-82
04/02/26APerspektiva Ilirija89-87
02/02/26AHelios Domzale82-81
20/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto74-98
17/01/26AKK Triglav Kranj72-89
12/01/26HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek86-75
06/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto69-97
30/12/25HKK Krka Novo mesto53-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tajfun Sentjur
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL37%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%33%40%
Points / game78.178.178.0
Allowed / game84.484.484.3
Point differential-6.3-6.3-6.3
Avg total162.4162.6162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%11%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)40% (5)-
Overtime %5%0%10%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL30%
HomeLLWWL30%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%30%30%
Points / game80.580.780.2
Allowed / game86.284.488.0
Point differential-5.8-3.7-7.8
Avg total166.7165.1168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2120195%94.470.8+23.7
2 Perspektiva Ilirija2015575%90.281.6+8.6
3 Sencur2114767%88.480.0+8.4
4 Helios Domzale2012860%85.383.2+2.2
5 KK Triglav Kranj20101050%80.578.2+2.2
6 Zlatorog Lasko2181338%85.296.1-11.0
7 Tajfun Sentjur1971237%78.184.4-6.3
8 Rogaska2061430%80.586.2-5.8
9 Polzela2161529%82.089.0-7.1
10 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek2141719%76.791.9-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tajfun Sentjur2618132582
Rogaska1918183287
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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