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KK Zagreb vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 91-80
23-22 24-21 17-27 27-10
Position#7
Record10-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game78.6
KK Zagreb 🏆
Croatia
vs
Gorica
Croatia
Position#5
Record11-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game77.4
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 19· SSD Bosko Bozic Pepsi
Other2025-26
Meetings · KK Zagreb v Gorica
21 Feb 2026
KK Z91
GORI80
09 Nov 2024
KK Z97
GORI102
24 Jan 2024
KK Z81
GORI83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KK Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
97-93
97
93
+4
96avg 77
A30/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
106-92
106
92
+14
110avg 77
A07/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
85-66
85
66
+19
80avg 77
A13/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
W
70-65
70
65
+5
69avg 77
H20/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
99-93
99
93
+6
96avg 77
H10/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
81-86
81
86
-5
no box
A17/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
73-89
73
89
-16
63avg 77
A25/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
79avg 77
H31/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
74avg 77
H07/02
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
74-57
74
57
+17
76avg 77
A14/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
17-18
27-21
25-28
25-23
29-26
26-23
26-20
24-11
24-23
15-16
22-16
20-10
12-23
20-17
18-15
25-20
34-18
17-28
23-27
19-19
19-14
28-23
15-30
19-22
19-26
13-25
22-16
22-18
18-30
14-15
23-14
19-21
23-19
22-26
13-28
18-12
21-11
18-24
17-10
167.4Avg total
84.9Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.278.6156.8-0.459%
Season at home (8)76.876.1152.9+0.662%
Season away (9)79.480.8160.2-1.356%
Last 10 (10)84.982.5167.4+2.460%
Last 5 (5)78.483.2161.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.885.4163.2-7.725%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.073.8151.8+4.264%
vs Weaker (7)87.979.3167.1+8.686%
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Ajdovscina
#7
L
60-72
60
72
-12
no box
H09/12
Slovenian Cup
Omis
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
78avg 79
H13/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
50avg 79
A20/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
89-87
89
87
+2
92avg 79
H10/01
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
A17/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 79
A24/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
89-105
89
105
-16
72avg 79
A31/01
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
100-88
100
88
+12
94avg 79
H04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
81-57
81
57
+24
83avg 79
A07/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 79
H14/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
11-23
20-12
15-25
26-18
22-19
16-27
10-22
15-17
18-20
22-18
12-18
29-14
20-25
18-26
22-22
15-15
18-25
25-25
26-14
19-26
22-15
16-17
11-22
16-20
25-26
23-28
25-31
19-23
35-23
18-22
28-20
15-19
21-16
18-6
27-16
14-19
20-15
22-11
21-18
157.9Avg total
78.9Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.377.4159.8+4.961%
Season at home (9)83.675.8159.3+7.867%
Season away (9)81.179.1160.2+2.056%
Last 10 (10)78.979.0157.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)83.078.6161.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.586.7166.2-7.230%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.272.7151.9+6.573%
vs Weaker (8)89.176.4165.5+12.875%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
KK ZagrebGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amfora
#13
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A30/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A07/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A13/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H20/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H10/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A17/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A25/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H31/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H07/02
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A14/02
Prva Liga
82.5Avg total
43.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.779.3+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.637.580.1+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)38.939.878.6-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)43.539.082.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.477.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.142.379.4-5.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.334.374.5+6.073%-
vs Weaker (7)47.139.486.6+7.7100%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ajdovscina
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H09/12
Slovenian Cup
Omis
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H13/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A20/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H10/01
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A17/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A31/01
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
Prva Liga
78.4Avg total
39.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.680.8+3.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.837.681.4+6.253%-
Last 30 away (13)40.140.080.1+0.146%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.078.4+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.481.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.242.083.2-0.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.836.575.3+2.445%-
vs Weaker (8)44.939.083.9+5.962%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.324.2
61.6%
53.0%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.7
29.7%
32.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.611.6
65.9%
71.6%11.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.8
52.4%
53.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.3
27.2%
32.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.813.6
68.7%
71.6%13.6
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KK Zagreb
WLLLLWWWWW
Gorica
WWWLLWWLLL
#7
League position
#5
+4.4
Net rating
-1.0
97.0
Offensive rating
90.3
92.6
Defensive rating
91.3
54.8%
Effective FG%
47.9%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
21.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.7%
3-point %
27.2%
64.3%
Assist %
65.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 90.3Defence92.6 · 91.3Shooting54.8% · 47.9%3-point %29.7% · 27.2%Ball care21.0% · 18.4%Off. rebounds32.3% · 29.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ KK Zagreb   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
KK Zagreb wins
3
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Gorica v KK Zagreb88-61
22/02/25Gorica v KK Zagreb78-81
09/11/24KK Zagreb v Gorica97-102 OT
24/01/24KK Zagreb v Gorica81-83 OT
14/10/23Gorica v KK Zagreb61-78
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ANovi Zagreb74-57
07/02/26HSkrljevo77-94
31/01/26HOmis87-90 OT
25/01/26AJazine73-89
17/01/26AMarsonia81-86
10/01/26HDakovo99-93
20/12/25HKastela70-65
13/12/25ACrikvenica85-66
07/12/25AOsijek106-92
30/11/25AAmfora97-93
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HCrikvenica77-63
07/02/26AOsijek81-57
04/02/26HAmfora100-88
31/01/26ASonik Puntamika89-105
24/01/26AKastela68-80
17/01/26ANovi Zagreb84-79
10/01/26HSkrljevo89-87
20/12/25AMladost67-73
13/12/25HOmis74-86
09/12/25HAjdovscina60-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW59%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayWWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%62%56%
Points / game78.276.879.4
Allowed / game78.676.180.8
Point differential-0.4+0.6-1.3
Avg total156.8152.9160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game82.383.681.1
Allowed / game77.475.879.1
Point differential+4.9+7.8+2.0
Avg total159.8159.3160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%56%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo1815383%95.774.2+21.5
2 Mladost1815383%84.673.5+11.1
3 Kastela1814478%85.267.6+17.7
4 Omis1813572%84.376.1+8.2
5 Gorica1811761%82.377.4+4.9
6 KK Zagreb1710759%78.278.6-0.4
7 Jazine1910953%81.780.2+1.5
8 Dakovo1881044%83.882.4+1.4
9 Crikvenica1881044%74.777.8-3.2
10 Novi Zagreb1871139%74.573.5+1.0
11 Marsonia1861233%76.077.7-1.7
12 Sonik Puntamika1861233%72.978.2-5.2
13 Amfora1831517%75.590.8-15.3
14 Osijek180180%62.9104.4-41.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KK Zagreb2324172791
Gorica2221271080
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