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Koshigaya Alphas vs Akita Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 68-80
15-23 11-22 25-16 17-19
Position#20
Record15-32
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Akita 🏆
Japan
Position#14
Record22-25
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game74.9
JapanB League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Akita
06 Apr 2025
KOSH73
AKIT55
05 Apr 2025
KOSH68
AKIT80
12 Mar 2025
KOSH93
AKIT80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
87-80
87
80
+7
85avg 73
A01/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
64-59
64
59
+5
55avg 73
A02/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 73
A05/03
B League
Akita
#14
W
93-80 OT
93
80
+13
91avg 73
H12/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
70-88
70
88
-18
65avg 73
A19/03
B League
Gunma
#6
L
67-92
67
92
-25
58avg 73
A22/03
B League
Gunma
#6
L
57-62
57
62
-5
50avg 73
A23/03
B League
Chiba
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
58avg 73
A26/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
82-75
82
75
+7
80avg 73
H29/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
73-97
73
97
-24
64avg 73
H30/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
22-24
27-23
27-14
14-15
13-14
15-8
22-22
18-18
29-23
14-20
18-23
22-26
21-20
15-10
20-22
17-22
25-31
10-22
18-13
13-27
22-20
14-22
18-23
14-18
19-8
14-22
10-14
14-12
13-23
20-14
21-25
23-24
22-25
23-12
14-14
18-23
14-22
21-29
20-23
153.1Avg total
74.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)76.681.1157.7-4.532%
Season at home (23)79.883.3163.0-3.535%
Season away (24)73.579.0152.5-5.429%
Last 10 (10)74.079.1153.1-5.140%
Last 5 (5)69.480.0149.4-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.782.5157.2-7.812%
vs Similar (11)80.280.2160.4+0.055%
vs Weaker (2)88.570.0158.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Akita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
72-105
72
105
-33
64avg 68
H01/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
61avg 68
H02/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
91-60
91
60
+31
90avg 68
H05/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
80-93 OT
80
93
-13
73avg 68
A12/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
49-75
49
75
-26
44avg 68
A19/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 68
H22/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
81-70
81
70
+11
81avg 68
H23/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
69-77
69
77
-8
64avg 68
A26/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
84-77
84
77
+7
90avg 68
A29/03
B League
Sendai
#23
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 68
A30/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
18-20
20-25
15-30
22-14
15-29
12-14
23-17
22-14
25-10
29-18
15-18
26-22
20-21
10-15
22-20
15-23
15-21
4-10
15-21
33-15
14-26
22-18
23-25
24-18
21-20
19-14
17-18
22-17
17-18
13-20
17-22
16-16
24-21
12-19
32-21
25-18
20-17
23-25
11-20
156.4Avg total
76.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)74.074.9148.9-0.947%
Season at home (23)75.873.4149.3+2.457%
Season away (24)72.276.2148.5-4.038%
Last 10 (10)76.979.5156.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)81.077.6158.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.380.5149.8-11.217%
vs Similar (10)75.572.8148.3+2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)77.969.9147.8+8.062%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
Koshigaya AlphasAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A01/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A02/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A05/03
B League
Akita
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A19/03
B League
Gunma
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A22/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A23/03
B League
Chiba
#5
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A26/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H29/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H30/03
B League
77.8Avg total
36.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.681.8-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.242.184.2+0.138%-
Last 30 away (17)38.741.380.0-2.635%-
Last 10 (10)36.441.477.8-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.474.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.441.278.6-3.935%-
vs Similar (11)42.942.185.0+0.836%-
vs Weaker (2)49.542.592.0+7.050%-
This opponent (Akita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H01/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H02/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H05/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A12/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A19/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H22/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H23/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A26/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A29/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A30/03
B League
80.3Avg total
41.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.774.2+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.635.874.4+2.867%-
Last 30 away (15)36.437.674.0-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.080.3+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.280.4+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.540.075.5-4.533%-
vs Similar (10)36.635.772.3+0.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.633.074.6+8.6100%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.314.7
42.9%
51.2%29.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.6
39.3%
33.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.114.6
72.6%
72.7%14.6
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.0
49.7%
51.2%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.0
33.4%
33.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.411.9
72.6%
72.7%11.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
LWLLLLWLWW
Akita
LWLWWLLWLL
#20
League position
#14
-7.9
Net rating
-4.5
100.3
Offensive rating
103.1
108.1
Defensive rating
107.5
49.6%
Effective FG%
49.9%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
21.3%
Turnover %
19.6%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.3%
3-point %
33.4%
67.1%
Assist %
83.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 103.1Defence108.1 · 107.5Shooting49.6% · 49.9%3-point %39.3% · 33.4%Ball care21.3% · 19.6%Off. rebounds29.4% · 31.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
1
Akita wins
DateGameScore
12/03/25Koshigaya Alphas v Akita93-80 OT
23/10/24Akita v Koshigaya Alphas78-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HHokkaido73-97
29/03/25HHokkaido82-75
26/03/25AChiba68-74
23/03/25AGunma57-62
22/03/25AGunma67-92
19/03/25ANagasaki70-88
12/03/25HAkita93-80 OT
05/03/25AHokkaido79-84
02/03/25AIbaraki Robots64-59
01/03/25AIbaraki Robots87-80
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25ASendai79-80
29/03/25ASendai84-77
26/03/25AIbaraki Robots69-77
23/03/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles81-70
22/03/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles92-84
19/03/25ASeaHorses Mikawa49-75
12/03/25AKoshigaya Alphas80-93 OT
05/03/25HSendai91-60
02/03/25HNeoPhoenix72-74
01/03/25HNeoPhoenix72-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL32%
HomeLLWWL35%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472324
Win %32%35%29%
Points / game76.679.873.5
Allowed / game81.183.379.0
Point differential-4.5-3.5-5.4
Avg total157.7163.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)20% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %6%9%4%
Akita
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL47%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472324
Win %47%57%38%
Points / game74.075.872.2
Allowed / game74.973.476.2
Point differential-0.9+2.4-4.0
Avg total148.9149.3148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%22%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (15)43% (7)38% (8)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4639785%92.980.1+12.8
2 Utsunomiya Brex4738981%85.576.0+9.5
3 Ryukyu47341372%84.577.2+7.3
4 Alvark47341372%76.771.1+5.6
5 SeaHorses Mikawa47321568%82.074.9+7.1
6 Chiba47321568%82.477.4+5.0
7 Gunma47311666%78.172.6+5.5
8 Shimane48301862%80.074.4+5.6
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya47252253%74.471.9+2.5
10 Kyoto47252253%81.579.9+1.6
11 Diamond Dolphins48252352%81.681.3+0.3
12 Osaka47232449%82.482.7-0.3
13 Hiroshima D.48232548%79.682.5-2.9
14 Akita47222547%74.074.9-0.9
15 Nagasaki47222547%76.277.6-1.4
16 Yokohama48222646%76.579.4-2.9
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles47212645%77.780.0-2.3
18 Hokkaido47182938%75.579.3-3.7
19 Saga48163233%75.478.8-3.5
20 Koshigaya Alphas47153232%76.681.1-4.5
21 Brave Thunders47143330%78.787.2-8.5
22 Ibaraki Robots4793819%72.981.1-8.2
23 Sendai4793819%73.583.7-10.2
24 Shiga4774015%77.190.3-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas1511251768
Akita2322161980
← all games of the day
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