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Aomori vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 102-98
24-25 25-25 26-24 27-24
Position#8
Record18-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game86.9
Aomori 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#3
Record21-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game74.1
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aomori v Koshigaya Alphas
31 Jan 2024
AOMO102
KOSH98
07 Jan 2024
AOMO62
KOSH90
06 Jan 2024
AOMO72
KOSH100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Nara
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 71
A23/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
72avg 71
A24/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
73-75
73
75
-2
72avg 71
A30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 71
A31/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
72-100
72
100
-28
50avg 71
H06/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
62-90
62
90
-28
42avg 71
H07/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
85-93
85
93
-8
84avg 71
A20/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
88avg 71
A21/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 71
H27/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
93-81
93
81
+12
87avg 71
H28/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
18-26
18-22
29-26
20-16
17-20
25-19
13-21
26-22
16-23
15-10
16-20
19-13
16-20
22-19
28-28
13-29
19-27
19-21
21-23
14-21
20-22
10-27
18-20
24-24
23-19
21-22
17-28
27-26
19-19
23-24
22-12
23-25
19-21
21-24
19-16
21-14
23-18
23-27
26-22
165.2Avg total
80.0Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)85.086.9171.9-1.853%
Season at home (17)80.985.3166.2-4.453%
Season away (17)89.288.4177.6+0.853%
Last 10 (10)80.085.2165.2-5.230%
Last 5 (5)82.686.2168.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.788.8163.5-14.233%
vs Similar (20)88.088.3176.3-0.250%
vs Weaker (4)86.282.5168.8+3.875%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
W
75-54
75
54
+21
68avg 77
H23/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
73avg 77
H24/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
80-81
80
81
-1
73avg 77
A29/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
no box
A30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
100-72
100
72
+28
101avg 77
A06/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
90-62
90
62
+28
89avg 77
A07/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
74avg 77
H20/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
103-74
103
74
+29
101avg 77
H21/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 77
A26/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
64-90
64
90
-26
49avg 77
A27/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
17-16
16-12
23-12
22-19
17-22
27-13
15-29
23-20
19-17
19-22
19-22
14-23
21-13
13-15
18-15
29-13
27-19
21-19
23-21
21-14
22-20
27-10
20-18
18-13
17-21
21-13
29-26
35-14
23-22
21-18
24-20
14-16
23-20
16-17
22-16
16-29
20-12
13-21
15-28
157.3Avg total
83.2Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)83.274.1157.3+9.162%
Season at home (15)82.271.2153.4+11.067%
Season away (19)84.176.4160.4+7.758%
Last 10 (10)83.274.1157.3+9.160%
Last 5 (5)83.473.6157.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.576.8155.2+1.825%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.074.0158.0+10.065%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.1+0.1
AomoriKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A24/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H06/01
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A20/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H27/01
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H28/01
B2.League
81.5Avg total
39.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.285.4-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.044.185.1-3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)43.342.385.7+1.053%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.181.5-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.884.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.345.082.3-7.733%-
vs Similar (20)43.242.886.0+0.550%-
vs Weaker (4)44.242.887.0+1.575%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H23/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H24/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A29/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
56-32
56
32
+24
A06/01
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H21/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/01
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A27/01
B2.League
77.4Avg total
41.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.337.980.2+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.536.479.8+7.169%-
Last 30 away (17)41.439.180.5+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)41.735.777.4+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.278.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.040.877.8-3.825%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.137.580.6+5.765%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.5
53.8%
52.4%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.8
30.9%
33.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws17.711.6
65.5%
71.0%11.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.1
50.3%
52.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws25.818.1
70.2%
71.0%18.1
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
WLWLLLWLLL
Koshigaya Alphas
LWWWWWLLLW
#8
League position
#3
-7.0
Net rating
+13.1
102.4
Offensive rating
111.4
109.4
Defensive rating
98.3
51.3%
Effective FG%
51.0%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.41
30.9%
3-point %
34.7%
60.1%
Assist %
62.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 111.4Defence109.4 · 98.3Shooting51.3% · 51.0%3-point %30.9% · 34.7%Ball care18.3% · 15.6%Off. rebounds27.3% · 32.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Aomori   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aomori wins
3
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Aomori v Koshigaya Alphas62-90
06/01/24Aomori v Koshigaya Alphas72-100
15/10/23Koshigaya Alphas v Aomori77-81
14/10/23Koshigaya Alphas v Aomori100-95
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HShizuoka93-81
27/01/24HShizuoka82-86
21/01/24AYamagata Wyverns91-81
20/01/24AYamagata Wyverns85-93
07/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas62-90
06/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas72-100
31/12/23ANiigata85-80
30/12/23ANiigata73-75
24/12/23ANara75-76
23/12/23ANara82-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AFukuoka64-90
26/01/24AFukuoka75-69
21/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings103-74
20/01/24HEhime Orange Vikings85-73
07/01/24AAomori90-62
06/01/24AAomori100-72
30/12/23ANara79-83 OT
29/12/23ANara80-81
24/12/23HFukushima81-83
23/12/23HFukushima75-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeLLLLW53%
AwayLLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %53%53%53%
Points / game85.080.989.2
Allowed / game86.985.388.4
Point differential-1.8-4.4+0.8
Avg total171.9166.2177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)75% (4)55% (11)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341519
Win %62%67%58%
Points / game83.282.284.1
Allowed / game74.171.276.4
Point differential+9.1+11.0+7.7
Avg total157.3153.4160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%47%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)20% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %12%0%21%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3431391%88.075.2+12.8
2 Shiga3425974%88.379.9+8.4
3 Kumamoto34241071%85.281.1+4.1
4 Fukuoka34221265%78.074.8+3.2
5 Koshigaya Alphas34211362%83.274.1+9.1
6 Aomori34181653%85.086.9-1.8
7 Yamagata Wyverns34181653%82.685.3-2.7
8 Kobe34151944%78.478.8-0.4
9 Shizuoka34151944%80.080.4-0.4
10 Nara34142041%73.077.6-4.6
11 Fukushima34132138%80.884.9-4.1
12 Ehime Orange Vikings3492526%79.586.7-7.2
13 Iwate3482624%69.575.1-5.6
14 Niigata3452915%72.183.0-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aomori24252627102
Koshigaya Alphas2525242498
← all games of the day
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