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Brave Thunders vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 09:05
Final 71-93
19-18 8-31 19-25 25-19
Position#25
Record2-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#1
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game74.3
JapanB League· Kawasaki Todoroki Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brave Thunders v Nagasaki
02 Nov 2025
BRAV79
NAGA99
01 Nov 2025
BRAV71
NAGA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brave Thunders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
83-91
83
91
-8
68avg 74
H04/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
88-114
88
114
-26
82avg 74
H05/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
100-65
100
65
+35
98avg 74
A11/10
B League
Toyama
#24
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 74
A12/10
B League
Sendai
#11
L
68-69
68
69
-1
56avg 74
H15/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
65avg 74
H18/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
73-90
73
90
-17
66avg 74
H19/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
63-82
63
82
-19
52avg 74
A25/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
63-79
63
79
-16
60avg 74
A26/10
B League
Gunma
#5
W
83-79
83
79
+4
87avg 74
A29/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
17-19
25-17
25-31
31-27
18-26
15-28
24-33
26-12
22-26
27-17
25-10
27-20
18-22
16-30
17-16
17-13
15-20
21-17
15-19
7-24
22-21
26-19
17-22
21-18
19-29
16-28
17-15
13-22
17-25
12-19
21-16
15-13
22-22
12-28
14-16
17-27
22-23
18-16
26-13
161.4Avg total
77.1Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.184.3161.4-7.220%
Season at home (5)76.890.0166.8-13.20%
Season away (5)77.478.6156.0-1.240%
Last 10 (10)77.184.3161.4-7.220%
Last 5 (5)70.883.2154.0-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)78.787.9166.6-9.319%
vs Similar (3)92.082.0174.0+10.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
94-97
94
97
-3
82avg 72
A04/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
102-68
102
68
+34
92avg 72
A05/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
76-67
76
67
+9
67avg 72
H10/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
84avg 72
H11/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
107-82
107
82
+25
107avg 72
H15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 72
A18/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
92-69
92
69
+23
90avg 72
A19/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-71
91
71
+20
80avg 72
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-67
91
67
+24
97avg 72
A26/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
91-73
91
73
+18
86avg 72
H29/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
20-27
27-25
17-17
31-21
18-18
34-13
19-16
15-21
28-16
19-15
14-15
22-16
19-20
20-17
24-20
22-16
20-25
35-22
30-19
29-14
18-15
17-25
21-22
29-22
23-17
16-16
24-14
25-27
22-16
31-17
13-11
26-20
17-17
23-23
25-7
25-19
18-21
28-16
20-17
165.7Avg total
91.4Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.474.3165.7+17.190%
Season at home (4)89.873.8163.5+16.0100%
Season away (6)92.574.7167.2+17.883%
Last 10 (10)91.474.3165.7+17.190%
Last 5 (5)90.071.2161.2+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.581.3154.8-7.823%
vs Similar (6)81.774.0155.7+7.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.473.6163.0+15.791%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.9+4.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.9+4.9
Brave ThundersNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H04/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H05/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/10
B League
Sendai
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H15/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H18/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H19/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A25/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/10
B League
Gunma
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A29/10
B League
81.5Avg total
38.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.883.2-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.743.283.9-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)40.142.582.6-2.353%-
Last 10 (10)38.243.381.5-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.044.879.8-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.943.483.3-3.537%-
vs Similar (3)44.737.782.3+7.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A04/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A05/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H11/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A18/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A19/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A25/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/10
B League
85.3Avg total
45.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.680.3+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.039.179.1+0.967%-
Last 30 away (18)41.239.981.2+1.344%-
Last 10 (10)45.739.685.3+6.190%-
Last 5 (5)46.437.684.0+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.039.775.7-3.715%-
vs Similar (6)42.840.082.8+2.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.239.384.5+5.991%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.7
50.9%
53.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.7
32.3%
33.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.111.0
68.3%
73.1%11.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.7
55.0%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.613.7
37.4%
33.7%41.1
🏀 Free throws16.211.9
73.5%
73.1%11.9
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brave Thunders
WLLLLLLWLL
Nagasaki
WWWWWWWWWL
#25
League position
#1
-8.9
Net rating
+21.7
100.1
Offensive rating
116.3
109.0
Defensive rating
94.6
49.9%
Effective FG%
55.6%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
20.4%
Turnover %
16.7%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.3%
3-point %
37.4%
71.5%
Assist %
69.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 116.3Defence109.0 · 94.6Shooting49.9% · 55.6%3-point %32.3% · 37.4%Ball care20.4% · 16.7%Off. rebounds30.6% · 32.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Brave Thunders   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brave Thunders wins
1
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
26/01/25Nagasaki v Brave Thunders78-83
25/01/25Nagasaki v Brave Thunders76-80
03/12/23Nagasaki v Brave Thunders92-85
02/12/23Nagasaki v Brave Thunders77-80 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25AGunma83-79
26/10/25ANeoPhoenix63-79
25/10/25ANeoPhoenix63-82
19/10/25HDiamond Dolphins73-90
18/10/25HDiamond Dolphins72-86
15/10/25HSendai68-69
12/10/25AToyama78-88
11/10/25AToyama100-65
05/10/25HHiroshima D.88-114
04/10/25HHiroshima D.83-91
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25HKyoto91-73
26/10/25AToyama91-67
25/10/25AToyama91-71
19/10/25ASun Rockers Shibuya92-69
18/10/25ASun Rockers Shibuya85-76
15/10/25HSeaHorses Mikawa107-82
11/10/25HSaga85-73
10/10/25HSaga76-67
05/10/25AAltiri Chiba102-68
04/10/25AAltiri Chiba94-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brave Thunders
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%0%40%
Points / game77.176.877.4
Allowed / game84.390.078.6
Point differential-7.2-13.2-1.2
Avg total161.4166.8156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %90%100%83%
Points / game91.489.892.5
Allowed / game74.373.874.7
Point differential+17.1+16.0+17.8
Avg total165.7163.5167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba10100100%85.671.2+14.4
2 Diamond Dolphins1110191%83.570.0+13.5
3 Nagasaki109190%91.474.3+17.1
4 Utsunomiya Brex119282%85.676.5+9.2
5 Shimane118373%84.579.7+4.7
6 Hiroshima D.117464%90.584.1+6.4
7 Hokkaido117464%82.081.9+0.1
8 Alvark106460%79.577.8+1.7
9 Ryukyu116555%82.177.0+5.1
10 SeaHorses Mikawa116555%84.380.7+3.5
11 Sendai116555%79.980.7-0.8
12 Shiga116555%78.679.6-1.0
13 NeoPhoenix115645%81.478.9+2.5
14 Gunma115645%80.578.5+1.9
15 Osaka115645%80.579.8+0.6
16 Saga115645%81.285.1-3.9
17 Koshigaya Alphas114736%70.575.0-4.5
18 Yokohama114736%77.582.7-5.2
19 Altiri Chiba114736%80.086.9-6.9
20 Sun Rockers Shibuya114736%74.282.5-8.4
21 Nagoya Fighting Eagles113827%79.985.5-5.5
22 Kyoto113827%73.881.0-7.2
23 Toyama113827%79.488.5-9.2
24 Brave Thunders102820%77.184.3-7.2
25 Ibaraki Robots112918%73.680.2-6.5
26 Akita112918%71.983.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brave Thunders198192571
Nagasaki1831251993
← all games of the day
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