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Nagasaki vs Osaka Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 81-79
14-15 27-15 20-26 20-23
Position#16
Record4-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game68.2
vs
Position#13
Record4-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game76.2
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nagasaki v Osaka
17 Feb 2027
NAGA v OSAK
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
NAGA100
OSAK96
23 Oct 2024
NAGA81
OSAK79
28 Apr 2024
NAGA84
OSAK66
27 Apr 2024
NAGA85
OSAK87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 72
H27/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
84-66
84
66
+18
77avg 72
H28/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
82-65
82
65
+17
69avg 72
A05/05
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
91avg 72
A06/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
76-68
76
68
+8
68avg 72
H04/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
53-58
53
58
-5
47avg 72
H05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
68-59
68
59
+9
66avg 72
A12/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 72
A13/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 72
A19/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 72
A20/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
21-22
17-20
21-18
18-19
22-18
23-9
21-20
19-11
26-19
24-19
13-16
24-12
14-20
26-30
19-21
17-20
19-11
20-12
20-25
15-19
11-15
13-11
14-13
17-20
21-19
13-7
17-13
19-19
20-21
17-13
23-17
19-20
18-28
23-4
18-20
13-25
23-19
19-15
17-23
151.1Avg total
78.2Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.068.2139.2+2.867%
Season at home (2)64.563.0127.5+1.550%
Season away (4)74.270.8145.0+3.575%
Last 10 (10)78.272.9151.1+5.370%
Last 5 (5)70.068.2138.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.581.4159.9-2.950%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.877.3153.1-1.555%
vs Weaker (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
W
87-85
87
85
+2
84avg 72
A27/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
66-84
66
84
-18
54avg 72
A28/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
92-73
92
73
+19
93avg 72
H04/05
B League
Shimane
#12
W
74-67
74
67
+7
67avg 72
H05/05
B League
Shiga
#24
W
88-73
88
73
+15
91avg 72
A05/10
B League
Shiga
#24
W
86-79
86
79
+7
86avg 72
A06/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
96-67
96
67
+29
99avg 72
H12/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
70-56
70
56
+14
69avg 72
H13/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
60avg 72
A19/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
81-95
81
95
-14
71avg 72
A20/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
22-21
20-17
18-21
19-18
18-22
9-23
20-21
20-12
29-19
29-17
14-25
21-12
20-20
16-22
17-13
23-25
17-17
30-10
18-21
12-15
28-25
32-12
14-27
20-23
23-16
33-16
20-12
19-14
17-9
10-15
24-18
10-18
20-22
20-20
20-27
17-20
15-24
29-19
20-32
157.6Avg total
81.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.876.2158.0+5.767%
Season at home (2)83.061.5144.5+21.5100%
Season away (4)81.283.5164.8-2.250%
Last 10 (10)81.076.6157.6+4.470%
Last 5 (5)80.676.8157.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.082.3160.3-4.333%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.681.5166.2+3.164%
vs Weaker (4)85.277.0162.2+8.2100%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
NagasakiOsaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H27/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A05/05
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A06/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H04/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A13/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A19/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A20/10
B League
76.6Avg total
38.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.381.6-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.739.479.1+0.250%-
Last 30 away (18)40.842.583.3-1.739%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.476.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.241.076.2-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.143.681.6-5.521%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.541.383.7+1.255%-
vs Weaker (5)42.034.876.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A27/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H04/05
B League
Shimane
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H05/05
B League
Shiga
#24
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A05/10
B League
Shiga
#24
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A06/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H12/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H13/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A19/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A20/10
B League
77.5Avg total
39.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.181.6-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.136.980.0+6.275%-
Last 30 away (18)38.943.882.7-4.922%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.877.5+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.273.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.941.180.1-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.040.982.9+1.155%-
vs Weaker (4)42.841.284.0+1.525%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.2
51.0%
51.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.9
35.6%
33.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws14.610.9
74.7%
72.7%10.9
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.8
52.8%
51.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.9
33.3%
33.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.411.5
70.1%
72.7%11.5
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LWWWLWWWWL
Osaka
LLWWWWWWLW
#16
League position
#13
+6.7
Net rating
+4.0
104.5
Offensive rating
107.0
97.9
Defensive rating
103.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
51.7%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
19.5%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.6%
3-point %
33.3%
59.4%
Assist %
70.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 107.0Defence97.9 · 103.0Shooting52.0% · 51.7%3-point %35.6% · 33.3%Ball care16.4% · 19.5%Off. rebounds23.2% · 34.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Osaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nagasaki wins
3
Osaka wins
DateGameScore
28/04/24Nagasaki v Osaka84-66
27/04/24Nagasaki v Osaka85-87
24/12/23Osaka v Nagasaki90-72
23/12/23Osaka v Nagasaki97-95
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24AGunma72-82
19/10/24AGunma78-72
13/10/24AHokkaido79-70
12/10/24AHokkaido68-59
05/10/24HSun Rockers Shibuya53-58
04/10/24HSun Rockers Shibuya76-68
06/05/24AKyoto105-102 OT
05/05/24AKyoto82-65
28/04/24HOsaka84-66
27/04/24HOsaka85-87
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24ASeaHorses Mikawa81-95
19/10/24ASeaHorses Mikawa70-87
13/10/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles70-56
12/10/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles96-67
06/10/24AShiga86-79
05/10/24AShiga88-73
05/05/24HShimane74-67
04/05/24HShimane92-73
28/04/24ANagasaki66-84
27/04/24ANagasaki87-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game71.064.574.2
Allowed / game68.263.070.8
Point differential+2.8+1.5+3.5
Avg total139.2127.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Osaka
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game81.883.081.2
Allowed / game76.261.583.5
Point differential+5.7+21.5-2.2
Avg total158.0144.5164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shimane65183%81.870.2+11.7
2 Chiba65183%82.572.3+10.2
3 Alvark65183%80.371.0+9.3
4 Ryukyu64267%89.575.8+13.7
5 Diamond Dolphins64267%85.075.2+9.8
6 Osaka64267%81.876.2+5.7
7 SeaHorses Mikawa64267%79.073.5+5.5
8 NeoPhoenix64267%80.877.5+3.3
9 Utsunomiya Brex64267%82.079.0+3.0
10 Nagasaki64267%71.068.2+2.8
11 Saga64267%73.070.2+2.8
12 Gunma63350%76.871.8+5.0
13 Akita63350%74.272.3+1.8
14 Kyoto63350%73.271.8+1.3
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya63350%69.569.0+0.5
16 Yokohama63350%77.579.8-2.3
17 Brave Thunders62433%77.784.3-6.7
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles62433%69.275.8-6.7
19 Ibaraki Robots62433%72.282.5-10.3
20 Hiroshima D.61517%67.780.0-12.3
21 Hokkaido61517%64.276.7-12.5
22 Shiga61517%78.091.2-13.2
23 Koshigaya Alphas61517%69.385.5-16.2
24 Sendai6060%71.778.0-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1427202081
Osaka1515262379
← all games of the day
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