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Nagasaki vs Diamond Dolphins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 87-68
30-18 17-17 25-23 15-10
Position#16
Record5-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Position#9
Record5-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game80.3
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nagasaki v Diamond Dolphins
07 Mar 2027
NAGA v DIAM
upcoming
05 Mar 2027
NAGA v DIAM
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
NAGA95
DIAM87
08 Nov 2025
NAGA91
DIAM96
03 Nov 2024
NAGA74
DIAM83
02 Nov 2024
NAGA87
DIAM68
06 Mar 2024
NAGA94
DIAM82
04 Feb 2024
NAGA90
DIAM96
03 Feb 2024
NAGA76
DIAM91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Dolphins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
91avg 71
A06/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
76-68
76
68
+8
68avg 71
H04/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
53-58
53
58
-5
47avg 71
H05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
68-59
68
59
+9
66avg 71
A12/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 71
A13/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 71
A19/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 71
A20/10
B League
Osaka
#13
W
81-79
81
79
+2
74avg 71
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
50-82
50
82
-32
34avg 71
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 71
H27/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
14-20
26-30
19-21
17-20
19-11
20-12
20-25
15-19
11-15
13-11
14-13
17-20
21-19
13-7
17-13
19-19
20-21
17-13
23-17
19-20
18-28
23-4
18-20
13-25
23-19
19-15
17-23
14-15
27-15
20-26
20-23
13-25
15-19
11-21
11-17
15-22
12-21
27-24
21-12
148.8Avg total
73.7Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.272.1142.3-1.956%
Season at home (5)67.073.2140.2-6.240%
Season away (4)74.270.8145.0+3.575%
Last 10 (10)73.775.1148.8-1.460%
Last 5 (5)71.278.8150.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.577.8152.2-3.346%
vs Similar (12)76.277.4153.7-1.258%
vs Weaker (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
This opponent (Diamond Dolphins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond DolphinsJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDolphins
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 80
H20/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
69-79
69
79
-10
48avg 80
A05/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
83-62
83
62
+21
82avg 80
A06/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
82-62
82
62
+20
80avg 80
H12/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
94-87
94
87
+7
93avg 80
H13/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
77-84
77
84
-7
66avg 80
A19/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
105-77
105
77
+28
105avg 80
A20/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
72-98
72
98
-26
62avg 80
H23/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
74-92
74
92
-18
69avg 80
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
105-82
105
82
+23
112avg 80
H27/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
22-15
25-21
13-20
18-28
12-15
23-22
16-14
30-21
9-15
20-11
24-15
28-13
16-21
19-18
19-10
33-27
16-15
20-25
25-20
21-15
19-27
21-29
16-13
26-12
26-20
28-18
25-27
22-30
19-25
15-22
16-21
21-16
14-25
24-22
15-29
19-18
27-15
29-24
30-25
163.6Avg total
83.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.680.3164.9+4.256%
Season at home (5)85.484.2169.6+1.260%
Season away (4)83.575.5159.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)83.480.2163.6+3.250%
Last 5 (5)86.686.6173.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.098.0170.0-26.00%
vs Similar (17)84.379.3163.6+5.065%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.478.2167.7+11.283%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
NagasakiDiamond Dolphins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A06/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H04/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A13/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A19/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A20/10
B League
Osaka
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H27/10
B League
73.1Avg total
34.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.979.5-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.139.377.5-1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)41.040.581.5+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)34.638.573.1-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.841.875.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.141.577.6-5.523%-
vs Similar (12)42.340.382.7+2.058%-
vs Weaker (5)42.034.876.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Diamond Dolphins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond DolphinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H20/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A05/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A06/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H12/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H13/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A19/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A20/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H23/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H27/10
B League
80.7Avg total
41.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.981.2+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (20)44.038.582.5+5.665%-
Last 30 away (10)39.039.778.7-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.680.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.683.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.055.096.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (17)41.237.778.9+3.559%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.239.283.3+5.058%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.7
50.8%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.9
32.1%
33.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.011.6
77.3%
72.7%11.6
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Diamond Dolphinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Diamond Dolphins: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.7
56.6%
51.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.79.8
30.0%
33.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.5%
72.7%14.3
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLWLWWWLWW
Diamond Dolphins
WLLWLWWWLL
#16
League position
#9
-2.2
Net rating
+5.1
99.6
Offensive rating
111.9
101.8
Defensive rating
106.7
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.0%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
15.5%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.1%
3-point %
30.0%
56.8%
Assist %
75.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 111.9Defence101.8 · 106.7Shooting49.8% · 51.0%3-point %32.1% · 30.0%Ball care19.1% · 15.5%Off. rebounds25.3% · 34.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Diamond Dolphins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nagasaki wins
3
Diamond Dolphins wins
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HChiba75-79
26/10/24HChiba50-82
23/10/24HOsaka81-79
20/10/24AGunma72-82
19/10/24AGunma78-72
13/10/24AHokkaido79-70
12/10/24AHokkaido68-59
05/10/24HSun Rockers Shibuya53-58
04/10/24HSun Rockers Shibuya76-68
06/05/24AKyoto105-102 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HSeaHorses Mikawa105-82
26/10/24HSeaHorses Mikawa74-92
23/10/24HNeoPhoenix72-98
20/10/24AIbaraki Robots105-77
19/10/24AIbaraki Robots77-84
13/10/24HBrave Thunders94-87
12/10/24HBrave Thunders82-62
06/10/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-62
05/10/24ANagoya Fighting Eagles69-79
20/05/24HHiroshima D.73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%40%75%
Points / game70.267.074.2
Allowed / game72.173.270.8
Point differential-1.9-6.2+3.5
Avg total142.3140.2145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Diamond Dolphins
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game84.685.483.5
Allowed / game80.384.275.5
Point differential+4.2+1.2+8.0
Avg total164.9169.6159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba109190%82.471.5+10.9
2 Alvark109190%79.970.2+9.7
3 Shimane108280%83.571.5+12.0
4 NeoPhoenix108280%86.678.3+8.3
5 Utsunomiya Brex108280%79.474.4+5.0
6 Ryukyu107370%88.278.2+10.0
7 Sun Rockers Shibuya106460%76.169.8+6.3
8 Gunma106460%77.671.4+6.2
9 Osaka106460%83.079.7+3.3
10 SeaHorses Mikawa106460%78.575.7+2.8
11 Diamond Dolphins95456%84.680.3+4.2
12 Nagasaki95456%70.272.1-1.9
13 Kyoto105550%77.477.2+0.2
14 Yokohama105550%74.477.8-3.4
15 Saga94544%72.473.1-0.7
16 Akita104640%76.678.0-1.4
17 Sendai103730%73.476.5-3.1
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles103730%71.375.6-4.3
19 Hokkaido103730%70.478.3-7.9
20 Brave Thunders92722%72.282.1-9.9
21 Hiroshima D.102820%72.483.9-11.5
22 Ibaraki Robots102820%73.886.4-12.6
23 Shiga101910%77.186.4-9.3
24 Koshigaya Alphas101910%69.783.5-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki3017251587
Diamond Dolphins1817231068
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