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Nagasaki vs Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 75-79
15-22 12-21 27-24 21-12
Position#16
Record5-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Chiba 🏆
Japan
Position#5
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game69.8
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nagasaki v Chiba
27 Jan 2027
NAGA v CHIB
upcoming
16 May 2026
NAGA102
CHIB93
15 May 2026
NAGA82
CHIB74
28 Dec 2025
NAGA93
CHIB77
27 Dec 2025
NAGA86
CHIB79
27 Oct 2024
NAGA75
CHIB79
26 Oct 2024
NAGA50
CHIB82
09 Oct 2023
NAGA89
CHIB86
08 Oct 2023
NAGA91
CHIB82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
W
82-65
82
65
+17
69avg 71
A05/05
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
91avg 71
A06/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
76-68
76
68
+8
68avg 71
H04/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
53-58
53
58
-5
47avg 71
H05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
68-59
68
59
+9
66avg 71
A12/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 71
A13/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 71
A19/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 71
A20/10
B League
Osaka
#13
W
81-79
81
79
+2
74avg 71
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
50-82
50
82
-32
34avg 71
H26/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
26-19
24-19
13-16
24-12
14-20
26-30
19-21
17-20
19-11
20-12
20-25
15-19
11-15
13-11
14-13
17-20
21-19
13-7
17-13
19-19
20-21
17-13
23-17
19-20
18-28
23-4
18-20
13-25
23-19
19-15
17-23
14-15
27-15
20-26
20-23
13-25
15-19
11-21
11-17
148.1Avg total
74.4Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.671.2140.9-1.662%
Season at home (4)65.071.8136.8-6.850%
Season away (4)74.270.8145.0+3.575%
Last 10 (10)74.473.7148.1+0.770%
Last 5 (5)72.077.0149.0-5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.579.2153.7-4.646%
vs Similar (12)76.277.4153.7-1.258%
vs Weaker (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
63-81
63
81
-18
50avg 76
A19/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
67-83
67
83
-16
54avg 76
A21/05
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
83avg 76
H05/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
80-61
80
61
+19
70avg 76
H06/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
91-67
91
67
+24
92avg 76
A12/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 76
A13/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
88avg 76
H19/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
68-57
68
57
+11
57avg 76
H20/10
B League
Saga
#18
W
79-74
79
74
+5
80avg 76
A23/10
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
82-50
82
50
+32
77avg 76
A26/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
20-20
15-19
15-19
14-22
17-24
24-19
12-18
26-7
19-25
14-24
18-21
21-12
26-15
19-20
14-14
26-16
21-13
26-21
18-17
20-17
20-28
20-23
13-13
28-22
18-24
32-15
14-23
14-24
19-18
20-8
15-7
18-18
25-16
17-23
19-17
25-13
19-15
21-11
17-11
150.8Avg total
78.6Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.069.8151.8+12.288%
Season at home (4)82.871.5154.2+11.2100%
Season away (4)81.268.0149.2+13.275%
Last 10 (10)78.672.2150.8+6.470%
Last 5 (5)78.869.2148.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.479.6152.0-7.238%
vs Similar (14)82.176.7158.8+5.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.174.2160.4+11.975%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
NagasakiChiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A05/05
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A06/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H04/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A13/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A19/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A20/10
B League
Osaka
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H23/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H26/10
B League
73.6Avg total
36.4Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.479.9-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.939.178.0-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)40.141.581.6-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.273.6-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.241.277.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.142.578.6-6.523%-
vs Similar (12)42.340.382.7+2.058%-
vs Weaker (5)42.034.876.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A19/05
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A21/05
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H05/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A12/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A13/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H19/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H20/10
B League
Saga
#18
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A23/10
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A26/10
B League
78.1Avg total
40.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.981.5-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.541.382.8+0.355%-
Last 30 away (19)40.140.780.7-0.642%-
Last 10 (10)40.937.278.1+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.080.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.940.874.6-6.938%-
vs Similar (14)42.240.983.1+1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.541.085.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.7
49.6%
51.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.0
34.1%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.410.8
75.0%
72.7%10.8
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.3
53.0%
51.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.29.5
29.5%
33.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.313.2
76.3%
72.7%13.2
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LWLWWWLWWW
Chiba
WWWWLWWWLL
#16
League position
#5
+0.1
Net rating
+8.8
100.1
Offensive rating
106.0
100.0
Defensive rating
97.2
50.2%
Effective FG%
48.8%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
18.2%
Turnover %
14.2%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.1%
3-point %
29.5%
60.7%
Assist %
67.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 106.0Defence100.0 · 97.2Shooting50.2% · 48.8%3-point %34.1% · 29.5%Ball care18.2% · 14.2%Off. rebounds24.3% · 26.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nagasaki wins
1
Chiba wins
DateGameScore
26/10/24Nagasaki v Chiba50-82
09/10/23Nagasaki v Chiba89-86
08/10/23Nagasaki v Chiba91-82
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24HChiba50-82
23/10/24HOsaka81-79
20/10/24AGunma72-82
19/10/24AGunma78-72
13/10/24AHokkaido79-70
12/10/24AHokkaido68-59
05/10/24HSun Rockers Shibuya53-58
04/10/24HSun Rockers Shibuya76-68
06/05/24AKyoto105-102 OT
05/05/24AKyoto82-65
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24ANagasaki82-50
23/10/24ASaga79-74
20/10/24HKyoto68-57
19/10/24HKyoto92-84
13/10/24AIbaraki Robots73-81
12/10/24AIbaraki Robots91-67
06/10/24HUtsunomiya Brex80-61
05/10/24HUtsunomiya Brex91-84 OT
21/05/24ARyukyu67-83
19/05/24ARyukyu63-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game69.665.074.2
Allowed / game71.271.870.8
Point differential-1.6-6.8+3.5
Avg total140.9136.8145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chiba
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game82.082.881.2
Allowed / game69.871.568.0
Point differential+12.2+11.2+13.2
Avg total151.8154.2149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shimane98189%86.371.4+14.9
2 Alvark98189%80.171.4+8.7
3 Chiba87188%82.069.8+12.2
4 NeoPhoenix97278%85.677.7+7.9
5 Utsunomiya Brex97278%80.276.2+4.0
6 Ryukyu96367%87.378.1+9.2
7 Osaka96367%83.477.9+5.6
8 SeaHorses Mikawa96367%80.775.4+5.2
9 Nagasaki85362%69.671.2-1.6
10 Gunma95456%77.170.3+6.8
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya95456%75.269.7+5.6
12 Diamond Dolphins95456%84.680.3+4.2
13 Yokohama95456%75.378.1-2.8
14 Saga94544%72.473.1-0.7
15 Akita94544%76.076.8-0.8
16 Kyoto94544%75.178.2-3.1
17 Sendai93633%74.776.3-1.7
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles92722%70.677.1-6.6
19 Hokkaido92722%69.979.7-9.8
20 Brave Thunders92722%72.282.1-9.9
21 Ibaraki Robots92722%74.485.1-10.7
22 Hiroshima D.92722%71.182.6-11.4
23 Shiga91811%76.786.9-10.2
24 Koshigaya Alphas91811%69.683.4-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1512272175
Chiba2221241279
← all games of the day
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